Slow-moving cold front brings thunderstorm chance today…

April 16th, 2013 at 7:09 am by under Weather

A cold front just west of us this morning will move into the Miami Valley today–slowly–bringing in the chance of showers and thunderstorms.  This morning, there is an area of rain northwest of us on Live Doppler 2HD… here is the 7am shot:

satrad

Our Futuretrac forecast model seems to have a pretty good handle on the day ahead.  The best chance of rain through the first part of the day will be across the northern counties (although coverage doesn’t look quite this good):

forecast

The threat of severe weather through early afternoon is minimal.  Around lunch, we couldn’t rule out a spotty shower or two, but it does look like a general lull in the activity.  Late this afternoon, as the front moves into our southern counties… with daytime heating & increasing instability… we are likely to see new development.  There’s even the chance of thunderstorms later today, especially across that area:

forecast2

There is a slight chance a few of the thunderstorms could have some stronger winds or hail… mainly in southeast Green county… and portions of Butler, Warren and Clinton counties.

With the front splitting the area today, we are going to have a pretty good temperature spread.  Here are the forecast afternoon highs… generally cool in the far north, and warm in the far south… mild in the middle:

highs

I’ve circled the area included in the slight risk for stronger storms.  There is still a lot in question about whether this will occur, so be sure to stay tuned to WDTN and www.wdtn.com!

The front stalls south & then lifts back north on Wednesday… so we will stick with above-normal temperatures and unsettled weather for the next few days.

Jamie
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