Jamie Jarosik

Winter-ish records set in Spring…

April 16th, 2014 at 5:08 am by under Weather

Yesterday we set two weather records in Dayton: for cold, and for snow!

record low high

snow record

This morning, high pressure is centered right over us, and we are coming close to another record: a record low. The previous record low for today is 23-degrees, set back in 1962. Most are in the mid-20s and some will dip very close to that record value! This means frost and a hard freeze. During the afternoon, the high slowly moves east of the area, and this will allow a southeast wind to develop. That, combined with sunshine, will help warm us around 30-degrees… as we top out in the mid-50s.

Sunshine continues on Thursday, and after some scattered frost in the morning, we should come back above normal, with highs in the mid-60s. Sixty-degree highs will repeat Friday, but we could see a few showers in the afternoon and evening, as a weak cold front drops in:

sfc

That front will cool things down a touch on Saturday, but we should still see highs near 60-degrees. Easter is looking dry and mild now, although a chilly morning for any early egg hunts!

Jamie
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Morning snow… then just cold!

April 15th, 2014 at 7:58 am by under Weather

Rain mixed with sleet and snow… and as expected changed to ALL snow overnight. Early this morning, a lot of the Miami Valley saw light snow accumulation. Here are some of the snowfall totals reported by our Weathercheckers and via NWS reports:

snow

While many of us do not enjoy snow this late in the season, it’s happened before. Here are some late-season snow stats:

snow info

We will be dry through the rest of the day, with lots of clouds through lunch… which will slowly break up during the afternoon hours. Temperatures will struggle today, however, and we will only see highs in the upper 30s. This is about 25-degrees below normal!

A big concern for early gardeners tonight, as we will see a hard freeze and some widespread frost. We’ll even be close to a record low!

record

Be sure to protect the plants in the ground, or bring in any potted plants that can’t withstand the cold. After a frigid morning Wednesday, the afternoon will see southerly winds and some sunshine… which will help push highs into the mid-50s. And 60s are back for the second half of the week!

Jamie
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Rain, wind… and snow. Yes, snow.

April 14th, 2014 at 7:04 am by under Weather

Today, as a cold front moves in… we will experience gusty winds and rain through the Miami Valley. Keep tabs on where the scattered showers are by staying connected to Live Doppler 2HD. You can see the morning winds have been gusting:

wind

We have a WIND ADVISORY in effect through 10am, as winds may get up near 45 or 50mph. This would cause some downed tree limbs, scattered power outages, and minor property damage. These stronger gusts will decrease to 30-35mph for the afternoon… so while not meeting advisory criteria, it will be windy all day. The winds will shift slightly later today as the front passes, and this will allow cooler air to move in, as well:

temps

So the morning temperatures are the highest we will see today. We expect to drop down into the upper 20s tonight, and as this cold air moves in… rain will mix with sleet and snow… and eventually change to ALL snow. And, yes, we will see some light snow accumulation. Most spots have the potential to pick up an inch or so… slightly higher amounts across the northern counties:

snow

Temperatures both Tuesday and Wednesday mornings dip into the 20s. I know all of this is very hard to take after we hit 80 DEGREES on Sunday! Many were out working in the yard this weekend… so as we drop below freezing, make sure to protect any plants you need to–bring in the potted plants for sure!

Jamie
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Mild today, then warming up again for the weekend…

April 11th, 2014 at 7:06 am by under Weather

A cold front, and a wave of low pressure are affecting the Miami Valley this morning. This brought rain to the area overnight, and we will be dealing with showers through the rest of the morning. Here is the 7am look at Live Doppler 2HD… showing most of the rain across our northern counties:

radar

Click HERE to get the most current image of the radar.

The heaviest/steadiest rain fell to the north of Dayton. Our Weatherchecker in Ft. Lorame (Shelby Co) reported .8″ this morning. Here are some other totals:

rainfall amounts

Once this system works through, we will dry out for the afternoon. You can see cooler air behind it… so we won’t be quite as warm as yesterday:

TEMPS

Expect highs in the mid-60s as the sun breaks out later today. Tonight, skies actually go mostly clear… before a few more clouds will develop on Saturday. Warm air surges northward again this weekend! As breezy conditions develop, highs will be increasing each day:

Trend

Rain chances will be fairly low this weekend. The best chance of an isolated shower or thunderstorm is going to be through the first part of Sunday. I hope you get to be outside and enjoy this great weekend weather!

Jamie
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Windy and warmer today, with rain this evening/overnight

April 10th, 2014 at 7:40 am by under Weather

Morning temperatures are in the mid-upper 40s… it is a nice, cool start to the day! As southerly winds increase today… highs will climb up near 70-degrees across much of the region:

TEMPS

Very nice–BUT kind of gusty, as winds occasionally approach 30-35mph. Sunshine is in the forecast through the first part of the day, with clouds gradually increasing later this afternoon. By evening, our northern counties will see a few scattered showers or even a thunderstorm. This, as a cold front approaches the area. The front will move into the Miami Valley tonight, and we expect a good chance of rain area-wide. The showers will even linger into Friday morning, so some area roads will be wet for the drive to work:

forecast

Showers end by lunch, and clouds will even break in the afternoon tomorrow. Temperatures will be a bit cooler behind the front, with highs in the lower 60s. This is still right around normal… so not too bad. AND 70-degree temps are back for the weekend!

Most of the weekend looks dry, but there is the slight chance of a pop-up shower or thunderstorm.

Jamie
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Cool today, and windy and warm on Thursday…

April 9th, 2014 at 5:39 am by under Weather

High pressure to our southwest will keep us dry and sunny as we head through the day. Temperatures will be near seasonal norms… reaching the upper 50s this afternoon:

TEMPS

The high shifts east of us Thursday, and this will allow southerly winds to increase over the area:

WIND

The strong southerly flow will boost temperatures, and we expect highs tomorrow to be up near 70-degrees. The only issue will be increasing clouds late in the day, with the chance for a spotty shower or two (especially to the north and west) by evening. A better chance of rain will come overnight and into Friday, as a cold front moves in:

FORECAST 2

This will also cool temperatures slightly, with Friday’s highs in the low to mid 60s across the area. We will start a warm up again on Saturday, as we climb into the upper 60s… and right back into the 70s on Sunday. Right now the weekend looks to see a lot of dry weather… but there is the slight chance of a few showers late Saturday… and through the day Sunday. The chance is low–around 20 to 30 percent. Stay tuned if you have specific plans outside at a certain time. We will keep you posted on the latest forecast information on WDTN, Channel 2!

Jamie
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Shower chances taper & a warm-up this week!

April 8th, 2014 at 9:18 am by under Weather

We had some pretty decent downpours yesterday and during the evening hours even some rumbles of thunder. Here are some of the rain totals called in by our Weathercheckers:

rain

The rain ended early this morning, and we are back to dry conditions for awhile. The sun has even come out in spots! Clouds are expected to increase again this afternoon, and as some upper level energy swings in later today… we could even see a few more showers. Here is Futuretrac for the late afternoon/evening hours:

forecast

The rain will be gone by Wednesday morning, and while mid-week will be dry… it will still be cool. Highs will be near-normal in the mid-upper 50s. What we’re all looking forward to is a 70-degree day on Thursday! Winds will be increasing… so it will be breezy… but we will make it up near 70 with dry conditions and sunshine during the afternoon. Thursday night into Friday… the next cold front arrives:

sfc

This brings more showers, and a slight dip in our temperatures for the end of the week. But it won’t be a prolonged cool period… we warm right back up for Saturday and Sunday!

Jamie
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Flyer fever… the crummy weather can’t spoil our excitement!

March 28th, 2014 at 8:22 am by under Weather

What a win for the Dayton Flyers last night!! So exciting to head into the Elite Eight! If you are up for a once in a lifetime experience… and you’re heading down to Memphis, here’s what you can expect in town:

event

Beyond thunderstorms today, game-day weather looks pretty nice down that way! NOT so much here in the Miami Valley, unfortunately. A cold front moving in from the west brought rain overnight and early this morning. Until the boundary is through, we will see that slight chance of a spotty shower:

TEMPS

AND to go along with the clouds and rain… we’ve had WIND. Quite the wind gusts overnight, as they got as high as 45mph:

wind

This afternoon, we will see dry and breezy conditions, and dry weather will continue tonight. During the morning Saturday, we will see our next round of rain push into the Miami Valley. AND it’s not JUST going to be rain! Yes, we could see some snow mixing in and or just all snow at times:

FORECAST

It will be a chilly, raw start to the weekend, with some light slushy accumulation possible in spots. There is good news, however… much better weather arrives for Sunday, with sunshine and lower 50s. We even expect 60s early next week! Enjoy!

GO DAYTON FLYERS!!!!!!!!!!!
Jamie
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Sunshine but still chilly…

March 26th, 2014 at 5:09 am by under Weather

Yesterday’s system brought about .8″ of snow to Dayton. As expected, it fell a bit intense at times. Thankfully, it just made the roads wet… as it melted on contact. The grass and elevated surfaces did pick up some light accumulation, but it didn’t last long. It’s already been a cold week, and the snow was really like adding insult to injury. BUT it could be worse:

SNOW

Yes, it was just last year we had a SIGNIFICANT late season snow! While we didn’t get that much yesterday, the .8″ we did receive was more than enough to break the tie for 3rd place in seasonal snowfall:

SNOW RANK

So now 2013-2014 stands alone in 3rd! While today will still be a chilly day, we will get warm enough to have RAIN showers across the area soon. Southerly winds develop tonight, and will increase on Thursday. Even though clouds will also thicken, we have highs set to reach 50-degrees. Rain on Thursday will be scattered–unorganized–and there will be some dry weather in between.

The BEST chance for rain looks to be Thursday night into Friday morning, as a front approaches. We could even hear some rumbles of thunder overnight. Mild weather lingers Friday, as we dry out for the afternoon. Then, another system taking shape for Saturday; this one will make it slightly cooler… and continue the unsettled pattern. Look for rainy conditions at times, as the storm moves in from the southwest.

Saturday’s slight dip in temps is short-lived… we will be back in the upper 50s/lower 60s Sunday into Monday!

Jamie
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Winter-like today: cold & breezy w/snow showers

March 25th, 2014 at 7:36 am by under Weather

Winter weather returns today, as a disturbance brings snow showers into the Miami Valley. This snow will move into the western counties around 9am… and then work east. Futuretrac has the snow right over the central & eastern counties during the lunch hour:

FORECAST

If you stay in the office through lunch, you might miss the snow all together. It will come to an end after 2 or 3pm, so the drive home from work will be dry. Any accumulation will be light, and mainly on grassy areas/raised surfaces. Roads will mainly just be wet… but still could be slick. Most spots stay under a half-inch. Clouds break this evening, and it looks like a COLD night, as the disturbance reinforces the chilly air in place:

TEMPS

High pressure builds back in for Wednesday, bringing the sun with it. It will, however remain cold. Really, there are just two more cold days before temps get back near normal:

TREND

That warm-up does come along with the chance for rain. Expect a few scattered showers Thursday… and more so Thursday night and into Friday.

Jamie
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More like winter for a few days, then back to normal…

March 24th, 2014 at 7:28 am by under Weather

High pressure is keeping our weather quiet today, as we remain in a cold air mass:

temps2

temps

Where clouds have formed this AM it’s a bit warmer, with lower 20s… and where it’s been mostly clear, we’ve dropped into the teens. We do expect a good deal of sun today, but clouds will be on the increase this afternoon. Our next disturbance drops into the area tonight, and scattered snow showers will develop. Yes, snow! Right now, the best chance of overnight snow looks like it will be across the southern Miami Valley. So if you live in Butler, Warren or Clinton counties… even southern Preble, Montgomery or Greene… that is where the highest likelihood of snow is. The better chance for snow area-wide is on Tuesday… and we could see some light accumulation:

forecast

The snow may fall intense at times, and this would reduce visibility and put down some quick accumulation. Most spots will see up to an inch… so not a lot… but enough to make things slick in spots. The winds will increase, too… so with highs just above freezing… it will be quite the blustery day! We will return to dry weather on Wednesday, as the sun comes out. BUT it will still be cold, with highs in the mid-30s.

We will finally get into a warm-up for the second half of the week, with highs back in the 50s… which will be right around normal.

Jamie
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Spring-like today… but not for long!

March 21st, 2014 at 9:38 am by under Weather

A warm front will move through the Miami Valley today, and this will bring in some mild air as we finish off the week.  Here’s the morning surface map, with the front south of us:

TEMPS

There have been clouds, and even a few spotty showers ahead of the front. But as it lifts through and to our north, dry conditions will build in for the day and we’ll even see some sunshine. Expect breezy southerly winds this afternoon, which will help to boost temperatures in the lower 60s. This warm-up will be short-lived, however, as a cold front will move in tonight. A few showers will be possible as this occurs… starting late tonight, and possibly lingering across the south through early Saturday morning:

FORECAST

Behind the front we dry off and cool down for the afternoon. The high Saturday will be near 50-degrees… and then even colder on Sunday, with highs in the upper 30s. Quite the chill will be around through much of next week, with upper 30-degree highs through Tuesday… THAT is when we could see some snow showers. Yes, snow showers.

Enjoy today, and brace yourself for the change!Jamie
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Welcome Spring… but we still have some ups & downs…

March 20th, 2014 at 7:40 am by under Weather

Spring officially begins today at 12:57pm (during the UD/OSU game!)… and we will ring in the new season with near-normal temperatures this afternoon:

TEMPS

The normal high is 51-degrees, so we will be just shy of that. We do expect lots of clouds, some breaks of sun… and breezy conditions. High pressure moves just south of the area today, keeping us dry, but we couldn’t rule out a spotty sprinkle or light shower as we head towards evening and overnight.

A warm front will develop, and it looks like areas north of I-70 would stand the best chance at seeing some light precipitation. A few showers may linger here through early Friday morning, but we expect dry conditions in the afternoon. The first FULL day of Spring will certainly FEEL more like it, with breezy southwest winds… and highs near 60! But it doesn’t last long:

EVENT

The ups and downs of March continue, with quite the low spot next week: the chance for snow showers on Tuesday.

Jamie
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Windy Wednesday…with showers…

March 19th, 2014 at 6:42 am by under Weather

A storm system to our west will drag a cold front through the Miami Valley today. And along with it will come gusty winds and showers at times. We have a strong southerly flow ahead of the front:

TEMPS

Winds may gust near 30-35 mph through the day. And while it won’t be a wash-out, we do expect showers–which could really happen at any time today. Be prepared with an umbrella and/or hooded jacket… and you can always see where the rain is falling by checking out LIVE DOPPLER 2HD.

There still could be a few lingering showers around this evening, if you’re heading down for First Four action at UD Arena:

EVENT

But rain tapers off overnight. We will see dry conditions through the day Thursday, with a good deal of sun. But it will still be breezy… and cool. Temperatures will run slightly below normal, with highs in the upper 40s.

We still expect another warm-up on Friday… as we make a run at 60-degrees. This will again come along with some gusty winds, but most of the day will be dry. A cold front will move in for Friday night/early Saturday. This will bring the chance for showers… and open the door for much cooler air to move into the Miami Valley. Sunday through much of next week looks to be quite chilly, despite the official start of Spring tomorrow!

Jamie
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High & dry for one more day, then the rain comes…

March 18th, 2014 at 7:26 am by under Weather

High pressure in control of our weather will keep things dry and nice through the afternoon. We will see a good deal of sunshine today, too, and temperatures will climb into the 50s. So we are heading in the right direction:

TEMPS

It will be a really nice evening for basketball in Dayton!

EVENT

Then a cold front approaching tonight will bring the chance of rain late, but more so Wednesday morning:

FORECAST

The chance for showers will continue through early afternoon as the front slowly moves through. WINDS will also increase, and we do expect a blustery day, with wind gusts between 30-35mph. Thankfully, while temperatures will be cooler… they will still be near-normal, with highs expected near 50-degrees.

If you are planning to travel to Buffalo for the UD/OSU game, tomorrow you’ll be dealing with on and off rain showers for the drive. It will also be a windy drive! Northeast Ohio into Pennsylvania and New York will actually get cold enough to see a rain/snow mix Wednesday night… and that will continue through the day Thursday. Here is the local forecast for BUFFALO:

travel

So who are you cheering for? We want to hear from you–is your house divided? Comment on our WDTN Facebook page, where the debate is on-going. I am UD all the way! Go Flyers! :)

Jamie
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Clouds break and we start to warm…

March 17th, 2014 at 6:59 am by under Weather

A storm system that moved south of the Miami Valley on Sunday took temperatures down significantly. Clouds moved in, and blustery winds made it feel even colder. Take a look at the temperature trend over the past few days:

TEMPS

Good news if you want Spring… not only is it just THREE days away, but we also have a WARM UP this week! Today will still be chilly, but high pressure to the west will build in and gradually clear the skies:

satrad

Sunshine will help in getting temperatures into the lower 40s this afternoon. Normal highs are closer to 50-degrees, so we will still be running below average. On Tuesday, we will continue with sun… AND develop a more southerly flow. This will allow us to climb back above normal, and Tuesday looks to be a nice cool day! We will see highs near 57.

A small bump in the road mid-week: a front that will bring showers to the Miami Valley on Wednesday morning:

sfc

Temperatures will cool a bit, but still be near-normal during this time. Then, we will soar on Friday as we get back up near 60-degrees!

Jamie
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Temps drop, winds increase… quite the change for Sunday!

March 15th, 2014 at 11:09 pm by under Weather

It was another beautiful day in the Miami Valley on Saturday. As our roller coaster ride called March continues, we were UP today, running above normal again. But things change for Sunday as we head DOWN hill:

TEMPS

The storm system we have been watching has been trending farther south with the precipitation. So now it looks like the chance for snow will remain in the southern counties. The snow creeps close by Sunday evening, but the better chance will actually be at night. Here’s my thinking on precip chances:

FORECAST

So really nothing expected north of Dayton… only a slight chance in town… and a slightly better chance to the south. Any accumulation will be light–under 1″ if not under 1/2″. The winds do increase Sunday as the storm moves by. We can expect sustained winds 15-25 mph, with gusts up near 30 mph. With highs near freezing, it will be quite the blustery day!

But don’t let the downs get you down! Next week SPRING officially arrives!

EVENT

And we do have some 50s… and possibly even 60-degrees… in the forecast as we ring in the new season!

Jamie
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Storm moves away… cold for a day!

March 13th, 2014 at 7:46 am by under Weather

A late season winter storm affected the Miami Valley Wednesday, bringing rain, wind, cold and snow as expected. We started with the rain… and it fell heavy at times:

rain

Then the winds picked up. Quite the blustery day, as the northerly flow ushered in much colder air:

temps

And as we turned colder, the precip mixed with sleet and snow… and eventually changed over to all snow. Here are some of the snow totals reported by our Weathercheckers and the National Weather Service:

snow

Now high pressure is building, bringing dry conditions and setting us up for a bright day ahead. We expect mostly sunny skies, and lighter winds… but it is still going to be quite cold. Our high is forecast to be near 30-degrees, which is about 18-degrees below normal. This chill does not last long, however! A warm-up ensues Friday as southerly winds increase over the region. Expect a breezy, cool day with highs in the mid-upper 50s!

Jamie
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Rain to snow today… not to mention wind and cold!

March 12th, 2014 at 6:42 am by under Weather

A late season winter storm is hitting the Miami Valley today! The system is still on track to bring morning rain, lunchtime mix, and afternoon snow to the Dayton area. Here is what we expect today:

impacts

A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the northern half of the Miami Valley, where we expect the highest snowfall amounts:

winter storm warning     SNOWFALL FORECAST ADI

I’m still thinking Dayton will be in the 1-2″ range… with increasing totals as you travel north… and a bit less as you travel south. This may still change slightly, and we are keeping a close eye on trends. There have been signs that the far northern portion of Mercer/Auglaize counties could be up near 6″.

All of the Miami Valley is also under a Wind Advisory through 8pm, for winds that will gust up near 40mph. Temperatures will really tank today, too… falling into the 20s for most of the afternoon hours.

We expect single-digit lows tonight, with sub-zero wind chills. THAT will be hard to take after the almost 70-degree temps we got to enjoy Tuesday afternoon! Thankfully, we won’t stay frigid for long… highs should be back in the 50s Friday and Saturday afternoons.

Jamie
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One more mild day before we return to wintry weather…

March 11th, 2014 at 9:00 am by under Weather

It was an amazing day Monday, as we reached a high of 62-degrees in Dayton. Today will be very similar, with lots of clouds… a little sun… and highs in the lower 60s. Northern counties will be a bit cooler, as they are closer to a stalled front. You can see this on our morning surface map, w/temperatures plotted:

temps

temps2

We will stay on the “warm” side of that boundary as we climb about 15-degrees above normal this afternoon. Things will change tonight as the next storm system moves in. This storm will bring rain, snow, wind and much colder air to the region. Here is the timeline, as it looks right now:

Tonight: Rain develops after midnight. It may fall heavy at times, and we could even hear a couple rumbles of thunder. It’s going to be a cold rain, with temperatures dropping into the mid-30s.

Wednesday Morning: A cold rain with snow mixing in across the north first. This mix will continue to spread south through late morning.

Wednesday Afternoon: Rain/snow mix changes to all snow area-wide. Temperatures drop into the 20s as winds increase.

Wednesday Evening: Slick spots develop as the sun sets and temperatures remain below freezing.

Here is what we are currently thinking in terms of snowfall for the area:

snow

As you go north, higher totals and southern counties will get less. Dayton is right in the middle, again–looks like 1-2″. Of course, these amounts are not set in stone, and they may change a bit as the storm takes shape and tracks our way. Bottom line: Wednesday is wet to start… slick to end… and cold and windy all around!

Jamie
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