Tara Hastings

Fantastic weather this weekend

April 11th, 2014 at 6:24 pm by under Weather

After morning rain showers we saw some sun breaking through the clouds this afternoon.  It really was a gorgeous day with highs and lows above normal.

almanac

If you have any late evening plans skies will begin to clear and temperatures will slowly fall into the 50′s.

Temperatures will fall into the middle 40′s by Saturday morning.  We’ll start off with lots of sunshine and see a few clouds later in the afternoon.

Sat 8am Sat 5pm

There’s a slight chance we may see an isolated shower pop in the afternoon as the warm front moves northward.  If they do form they will be light and spotty.

Temperatures will be in the low to middle 70′s on Saturday and a few degrees warmer on Sunday.

We’re going to see a very breezy weekend with winds out of the south and southwest at 10-20 mph.

Winds sat 6pm Winds Sun 6pm

The breezy winds are going to pick up some of the pollen.  If you have allergies especially to trees you may need to grab the tissue.

top pollen pollen count

The winds increase Sunday as a cold front approaches.  Ahead of the front we will be dry but as the front approaches Monday we’ll see a good chance of rain.

Sun 8am Sun 7pm

There is some pretty cold air behind the front.  We *may* see a few wet snowflakes Monday night and Tuesday morning if the cold air arrives before the batch of rain moves eastward.  Apparently winter isn’t finished just yet.

Tara
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More rain on the way

April 7th, 2014 at 7:14 am by under Weather

We are starting off dry across most of the area however showers are possible as an area of low pressure heads northward.

sat image

Rain will be likely through the day.  The best chance for a bursts of heavy rain and thunderstorms is between 12-3pm. Some of these storms may produce some gusty winds and hail.

mon 8am mon 2pm

Rain will be a little more scattered in nature later tonight.

mon 7pm

Rain may be heavy at times and we may see another half inch to three quarters of an inch of rainfall.  We’re already above normal for the month of April and we’re only a week into the month.

almanac rainfall rainfall amounts

Winds will not be as gusty this afternoon however as the area of low pressure gets closer to us the winds will increase.

winds mon 6pmwinds tue 5am

 

There’s a chance for a few showers later tonight but we should start off Tuesday on the dry side.

tue 7am tue 3pm

Have a great day!

Tara
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A chilly morning but a warmer afternoon

April 5th, 2014 at 6:10 pm by under Weather

After a soggy start to our Friday morning it was great to wake up to sunshine this morning.  We have high pressure over the Miami Valley producing light winds and tons of sunshine.

EATON CAMERA SURFACE MAP

Temperatures were cool this morning and for the afternoon.  We were below normal today but will be a little closer to normal tomorrow.

almanac

Lows will again be chilly tonight with readings below normal.

CHILLY LOWS

High pressure keeps us clear but chilly tonight.  We’ll start your Sunday with sunny skies before clouds increase late Sunday evening.

SUN 7AM SUN 5PM

By Sunday evening clouds increase ahead of our next storm system.  We’ll see mostly cloudy skies Sunday night with rain developing after midnight.

MON 7AM

Rain will continue through much of Monday as low pressure tracks through Ohio.

MON 12PM MON 7PM

We’ll see the potential for another half inch to inch of rainfall.  Seems like we’re getting a lot of April showers – hopefully we’ll get a lot of May flowers!

Tara
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Heavy rainfall this morning

April 4th, 2014 at 5:47 am by under Weather

The thunder may have woke you up this morning as a batch of heavy rain moves through the Miami Valley.  The good news is the severe thunderstorms will stay south of us.  We’ll still see very heavy rainfall, gusty winds and foggy conditions.

Visibility is dropping to 1-2 miles.  Watch out for patchy fog this morning

VISIBILITY

We saw 1-2 inches of rainfall yesterday and we may see an additional 1-2 inches of rain today.  Because of this rainfall we have a Flood Advisory in effect for Dayton.

FLOOD ADVISORY 24 HOUR RAINFALL

Some roadways that are prone to high water may be closed today.  Make sure you “turn around, don’t drown” if you see a flooded roadway.

FLOOD AWARENESS

The batch of heavy rain will be here through 8am and will move eastward just before noon.

FRI 8AM FRI 11AM

The winds are going to be gusty today too.  We have a Wind Advisory in effect until this afternoon as a cold front moves through.  This will produce wind gusts near 40 mph.

ADI WIND

By 5pm for the evening rush the rain will be gone and we may see a few breaks in the clouds.  Temperatures will start out in the 60′s this morning then fall into the 50′s by the afternoon as a cold front moves through.

FRI 5PM

Skies become clear over night as high pressure builds into the area for the weekend.  That means dry conditions and sunshine for Saturday and Sunday.

sat 7am SAT 5PM

Temperatures will be in the 30′s tonight and Sunday morning.  So it will be cool but it will be dry for the weekend.  We’re tracking another storm system that will bring more rain to the Miami Valley for Monday.

Tara
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Strong storms possible today and tonight

April 3rd, 2014 at 6:29 am by under Weather

We’re tracking two batches of showers and thunderstorms.  One will move through today along a warm front the other along a cold front later tonight and early Friday morning. We’re under an elevated risk of severe weather today and early tomorrow morning.

todays outlookfriday outlook

The main threat will be strong winds, some hail and very heavy rainfall.

severe wx parameters

There is a flood watch in effect for most of the area until Friday morning.  We have the potential to see 2-4 inches of rain from both of these batches of rain.

flood watch

This morning we’re seeing some scattered showers ahead of the main line of storms that’s in western Illinois as of 6am.  The rain we’re seeing today is along a warm front.  The heavy batch of showers and thunderstorms will move through between 11am and 2pm.  So grab the rain gear if you’re heading south to see the Reds.

thu 8am thu 5pm

reds forecast

It appears we may get a break shortly after the evening rush hour.  Thunderstorms will become scattered around 6pm which means we may have a dry first pitch for the Dayton Dragons home opener!  Be prepared for the possibility of rain though just in case one of those scattered showers sticks around.

dayton dragons

Later tonight and tomorrow morning we will be tracking the cold front that will move through the area.  This will bring us round 2 of showers and thunderstorms.

fri 6am

Some of these storms may be strong and produce gusty winds and heavy rainfall.  We may see some very heavy rain at times.  Total amounts will approach 2 to 4 inches.

rainfall amounts

Once the front moves through tomorrow morning we will see conditions improve Friday afternoon and for the weekend. Fri 5pm

High pressure builds into the area for the weekend.  This will bring cooler temperatures for Saturday but a lot of sunshine for the entire weekend.

sat 7am

Have a great day and stay weather aware!

Tara
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Rain today, rain tomorrow and rain Friday

April 2nd, 2014 at 6:36 am by under Weather

We’re starting out with some rain showers across parts of the Miami Valley this morning.  Some areas north of Dayton have already picked up a half to three quarters of an inch.  We’ll see some rain this morning, a lull for part of the day before more rain moves this way tonight.

WED 8AM WED 5PM

Soggy conditions continue for the rest of the week.  More rain moves into the area on Thursday and Friday.  Thunderstorms are possible Thursday and some of them may be on the stronger side.  Right now we are under an elevated risk of severe weather.

severe weather threat rain percentage

Clouds stick around through much of the day and into the night.  Rain which may be heavy at times develops again tonight and into Thursday afternoon.

THU 6AM THU 5PM

This storm system is taking its time moving through our area.  On the northwest side of the low pressure, Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and parts of Minnesota will be seeing snow.  For us all rain and a lot of it.  Many areas have the potential to pick up 2-4 inches of rainfall.  Some may surpass four inches within those heavier thunderstorms.

FRI 7AMrainfall forecast

I do have good news for the weekend.  Sunny skies return!  Temperatures do drop into the 50′s for Saturday and Sunday.

Tara

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More sunshine for the afternoon

April 1st, 2014 at 6:40 am by under Weather

We had a few showers this morning around the Miami Valley but they are now east of the area.  We’ll see mostly cloudy conditions for the first half of the day but look for more sunshine for the afternoon.

A weak cold front brought the light showers and clouds this morning.  It will be east of the area by the afternoon.

TUE 8AM TUE 5PM

If you have any outdoor activities today is the day to do it.  Clouds increase later tonight and rain is likely through the end of the week.

rain percentage

Temperatures stay above normal for this time of the year.

TEMPERATURE TREND

We’re tracking another storm system that will bring us the chance for rain on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.
Clouds increase later tonight with a few showers possible after midnight.  Look for cloudy skies with on and off showers for Wednesday.

WED 6AM WED 5PM

As the storm system gets closer there’s a better chance of rain on Thursday and Friday.  Some of the rain may be heavy at times.

THU 7AM

The monthly outlook for April from the Climate Prediction Center came out yesterday.  It looks like we have the chance for seeing above normal precipitation with below normal temperatures.

APRIL TEMP OUTLOOK APRIL PRECIP OUTLOOK

Have a great day!
Tara
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Spring has sprung

March 31st, 2014 at 7:16 am by under Weather

I was at a conference over the weekend and noticed a white layer from my view in the plane.  It was kind of neat to see the dusting of snow on the ground from the air but not to wipe it off my windshield!  The snow that fell Saturday night brought our seasonal snowfall total up a bit.  We’re still in the number three spot.

TOP TEN SNOWFALL

There’s still more winter weather out there across the US.  While we’re going to be nice and mild today blizzard conditions will be seen across the northern plains.

BLIZZARD WARNINGS

We’re going to see sunny & mild temperatures through the entire day today.  So if you’re heading to GABP for the Reds opening day make sure you take your sunglasses!  It’s a great day for baseball.

REDS FORECAST

A cold front will swing through later tonight & early Tuesday morning.  This will bring a chance for a few spotty showers after midnight and early Tuesday morning.

MON 6PM TUE 3AM

By Tuesday afternoon we’ll return to partly cloudy skies with highs in the 60′s.

TUE 7AMTUE 5PM

 

Our normal high for this time of year is around 55.  We’ll be above that for much of this week.

TEMPERATURE TREND

The weather pattern becomes a little unsettled for the next several days.  Rain will be likely even with some thunderstorms possible.

Tara

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Snow showers to start Tuesday

March 24th, 2014 at 6:10 pm by under Weather

Temperatures in the 30′s and snow.  Doesn’t feel or sound like it’s almost the end of March but that’s what we have to deal with tomorrow.

The chilly air mass is going to hang around for the next several days.  The normal high this time of year is around 53 but we’ll be staying in the 30′s for the first half of the work week.

850 temps tuesday

A storm system to our west will be moving in late tonight and tomorrow morning.  This will bring cloudy skies tonight and through all of the day tomorrow.  We’ll also see snow showers develop after midnight.  The best chance will be between 9am and 2pm.

mon 8pm tue 5am

tue 9am tue 3pm

The snow will be light but we may see a burst or two around the lunch hour.  I don’t think we’ll see too much accumulation.  Maybe a dusting or an inch on grassy surfaces however much of it will melt on contact.

Either way it doesn’t appear we’re going to  make too much headway with our seasonal snowfall ranking.  This latest round may boost us into the third spot which we are tied for right now.

TOP TEN SNOWFALL

It does get warmer I promise!  Temperatures bounce back into the 50′s by the end of the week and the weekend.

850 temps thursday

Let’s hope this is the last snowfall we see for the rest of this season!

Tara
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The big chill continues

March 23rd, 2014 at 6:22 pm by under Weather

It really didn’t feel like a spring Sunday around the Miami Valley at all.  We did see some sunshine but the northerly winds kept temperatures in the 30′s for much of the day.

almanac

Our normal high for this time of year is 53.  We’re going to be staying below that number for the next several days.

Wheres spring

The chilly air mass will be sticking around through the first half of the new work week.  Temperatures do warm by the end of the week and next weekend.  So there is hope spring will head this way soon.

850 temps cold 850 temps warm

We’ll see mostly clear skies with temperatures falling into the teens later tonight.  We’ll start off Monday with mostly sunny skies but clouds begin to increase later in the afternoon and evening.

Mon 8am Mon 6pm

There is blue on the map in Indiana by Monday night.  Yes that’s SNOW.

There’s a chance for snow showers Monday night and into early Tuesday.

Tue 8am Tue 7pm

It doesn’t look like this is going to accumulate.  We may see some accumulation on grassy surfaces but it will likely melt after it makes contact.  The ground is still a bit too warm.

Temperatures DO warm up for the end of the week!

Tara
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Another chill in the air

March 22nd, 2014 at 6:29 pm by under Weather

After yesterday’s highs in the 60′s we spent most of the day in the 40′s.  Our high today is a little misleading because it was actually recorded shortly after midnight.

almanac

Temperatures fell throughout much of the day.

24 hour temps

Clouds are sticking around tonight but I do expect some sunshine for tomorrow as high pressure that’s now in Canada heads southward.

surface map

We’ll start off with some clouds tomorrow morning then see increasing sunshine as the day continues.

sun 8am sun 6pm

Highs the next few days will stay in the 30′s as a chilly air mass stays over the Miami Valley.

850 temps cold

So even though the calendar says it’s spring mother nature didn’t get the message.  Highs will be below normal through the next few days but it looks like we’ll return BACK to the 50′s for the end of the week!

Until then look for a chilly day on Monday with temperatures starting in the teens and staying in the 30′s.  We’ll see some sunshine but clouds increase as a storm system approaches Tuesday.  YES – there’s a chance for snow showers Tuesday.

Mon 8am mon 7pm

I know you’re looking forward to spring and I promise to have 50′s in the forecast for next weekend.

Tara
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Windy and warm but winter returns

March 14th, 2014 at 6:12 pm by under Weather

Today we saw highs climb into the lower 60′s.   Along with the above normal temperatures also came VERY strong winds out of the southwest.   There is still a Wind Advisory out for the Miami Valley until 7pm.

12 HOUR WIND GUSTS wind advisory

Winds will subside later tonight and will not be as gusty.  Wind speeds will drop to 8-10 mph for much of the day Saturday.

WINDS SAT 8AM WINDS SAT 6PM

There’s a cold front to our west.  Ahead of this front winds are strong out of the southwest.  The front is expected to move through later tonight and it may spark off a few light spotty showers.

storm system location

A few clouds tonight with a spotty shower is not out of the question.  If they do form they will be very light.

FRI 10PM

We return to some sunshine for Saturday with highs near 50.

SAT 9AM SAT 5PM

Yesterday I mentioned a storm system will skirt our southern counties on Sunday.  Today I walked in and noticed some of the computer models are bringing the storm farther north.  So what does that mean for us?  Well it means we could see some rain or snow.  Yes….snow.

SUN 7AMSUN 7PM

It’s too early to talk about accumulations or anything but this is a situation where you need to stay tuned to the forecast.  The storm track may shift a little farther north or south.

We’ll be sure to watch it throughout the weekend and let you know where the storm will go.

Tara
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Yesterday’s snowfall moves us into the top 3

March 13th, 2014 at 5:59 pm by under Weather

The burst of snowfall yesterday boosted our seasonal snowfall by a few inches and now we’re in the tied for the third spot.

snowfall amounts TOP TEN SNOWFALL

Anyone finished with winter yet?  Today we started out with temperatures in the teens which meant some of those wet road ways were a little icy.  The sunny skies did melt the snow today but highs were still below normal for this time of year.

24 hour temps

Temperatures are going to increase for the day tomorrow on breezy southwesterly winds. Winds will be gusty at time to 20-25mph.

fri 7am winds

We’re tracking a cold front moving through on Friday.  Breezy winds and sunny skies are expected ahead of the front at first Friday morning.  But clouds increase around the evening commute.

fri 8am fri 6pm

The front gets a little closer to us by sunset.  This means we’ll see more clouds and there’s a slight chance for a few scattered showers during the overnight hours.

fri 11pm

By Saturday morning the rain will be gone and we’ll see a mix of sun and clouds with temperatures again above normal in the lower 50′s.

Highs drop back into the 30′s for Sunday and Monday.  We’re also tracking a storm system that will skirt our southern counties Sunday.  This may bring a chance of rain or snow showers to the southern half of the area Sunday.  Stay tuned.

Tara
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Snow ending replaced by cold temperatures tonight

March 12th, 2014 at 6:16 pm by under Weather

After about an inch of rainfall and heavy snows in northern Ohio cold temperatures are now the main weather story.

Thanks to a few of our viewers who sent us photos via report!t.  The snow stuck to the ground a little more farther north.

Jonathan Bateman Eldora Speedway Cody Miller Greenville

Dayton ended up picking up about .7″ of snow while areas north saw about 2-3″ of snowfall.

snowfall amounts

Gusts have been around 30-40 mph throughout the day.

wind gusts

Wind speeds will ease later tonight and tomorrow.  However temperatures are going to take a nose dive tonight.  Make sure the kids get the full winter gear tomorrow morning!  Wind chill values are likely to dip below zero.

bus stop

We will see some spots see refreeze tonight after the rain and snow we saw today.  So be careful tomorrow morning.  We’ll start off cold but with sunny skies for your Thursday.  Temperatures will stay below normal for the afternoon – highs will stay in the 20′s.

thu 8am Thu 5pm

The good news is temperatures will warm back into the 50′s for Friday!  It will be breezy with a mix of sun and clouds but at least it will be near normal.

Enjoy the rest of your week!
Tara

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From 60′s to snow in 24 hours

March 11th, 2014 at 5:55 pm by under Weather

Did you get out and enjoy the nice weather???  Highs made it into the upper 60′s close to 70 today!  Don’t get too excited it’s not going to stick around.  We’re tracking a late season snow storm that will bring some accumulating snow to the Miami Valley.

Right now the area of low pressure is in the central plains but will head this way later tonight and tomorrow.

storm system location

There is a Winter Weather Advisory for areas north of Dayton from Wednesday 8am until 8pm.  Snow is likely to accumulate and be the heaviest farther north.

winter storm warning

The rain will begin sometime after midnight and spread throughout the Miami Valley.

wed 3am

As you wake up Wednesday morning you’ll feel a cold rain falling around most of the area.  Winds will begin to increase out of the north and northwest.  Wind speeds will be 10-20 mph.

The rain will change over to snow from north to south by the lunch hour.  There’s a chance some of the area will pick up some sleet but I am not anticipating any freezing rain.

wed 9amwed 1pm

The rain may be heavy at times overnight and during the morning hours.  There’s also a good chance for a heavier burst of snow around 11am.

By the evening rush hour the snow will begin but temperatures continue to fall with very breezy winds out of the north and northwest.

wed 5pm

So how much snow can we expect?  Well it appears this system is going to keep the heavier snow farther north.  I’m anticipating around 1-2 inches of snowfall for the Dayton area.

If you’re traveling farther north to Toledo or Fort Wayne heavier snowfall is expected there.  They may see six inches or more.

SNOWFALL FORECAST ADI

So here’s another summary:

winter storm timeline

One other note.  There may be some slick spots Wednesday night and early Thursday morning.  Temperatures are going to fall into the teens and single digits.  This may cause some icy road conditions for the morning commute.

There is some better news for the end of the week.  Highs bounce right back into the 50′s for the end of the week.

Tara
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Spring today but back to winter Wednesday

March 10th, 2014 at 6:50 pm by under Weather

Wow what an amazing day!  I saw many people outside walking, running and washing cars.   While we didn’t see full sunshine the breezy southwesterly winds pushed our temperatures into the lower 60′s!

Highs today

The spring like temperatures will continue for tomorrow too.  Highs will be about the same with readings in the upper 50′s and lower 60′s.  Winds will not be as strong during the day but we’ll still see a bit more cloud cover especially during the afternoon and evening.  Spring isn’t too far away!

Spring Countdown

But it appears winter is going to make a return.  We’ll be watching the rain snow line during this next winter wave.

rain snow line wed 11am

The warmer temperatures aren’t going to last long.  Colder air will invade the Miami Valley as a storm system approaches.  Again all of the day Tuesday will be dry but rain develops after midnight.

Tue 11pm

It now looks like the heaviest snow will fall north of the Miami Valley.  Winter Storm Watches are in effect for areas around Toledo and Fort Wayne, IN.  While we will get some snow it will be as the storm system is exiting meaning lesser amounts of snow.

By 8am Wednesday rain will likely be falling around the area.  Snow may begin a bit early for Mercer and Auglaize counties.  By 11am the colder air heads south and we’ll begin to transition from rain to snow.

Wed 8am wed 11am

Light snow will continue during the first half of the day Wednesday with the storm exiting by the evening rush.

wed 1pm wed 5pm

As far as snowfall amounts – it appears areas north of the Miami Valley may see the heaviest amounts of snow.  While we will see some snow I’m not anticipating this to be a big storm at all.  One thing that concerns me is icy roads Wednesday night and Thursday morning.  Temperatures are going to drop into the lower teens Wednesday night.  So no matter if we saw just rain or light snow any wet road surface may become slick or icy as those temperatures fall.

We’ll continue to track this storm as it heads this way!  Until then enjoy the 60 degree temperatures again on Tuesday!!

Tara
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A big warm up before temperatures crash again

March 9th, 2014 at 6:18 pm by under Weather

The weather story the next couple of days will be the warmer temperatures.  Get out and enjoy this taste of spring because we have a chilly couple of days in the middle of the week.  (I’ll get to that in a moment…)

Today we saw near normal temperatures, sunshine and a bit of a breeze.  Highs today were in the 40′s.

ALMANACE

Highs are going to soar the next couple of days into the upper 50′s close to 60 Monday and Tuesday!

HIGHS THIS WEEK

Winds will really pick up later tonight and through the day on Monday.  Those winds are going to help usher in those warmer temperatures.

MON WINDS

We’re going to see a bit more cloud cover through the day Monday and Tuesday so even though it will be warmer we won’t have full sunshine both days.

MON 7AM MON 5PM

It will be a great day to head to the park, get a car wash (which reminds me I need to do that – I still have white salt spots on my car!) or just sit on the patio for lunch.  Clouds will thicken a little more on Tuesday.

TUE 5AM

Of course, like the season we’ve been seeing this year the warmer temperatures aren’t going to last.  There’s a winter storm that will take shape in the central plains by Tuesday evening and head toward the Miami Valley on Wednesday.

TUE 7PM

Temperatures crash into the 30′s for Wednesday and Thursday – and YES there is a chance for snow.  After the winter we’ve had, the way the computer models have been under performing I don’t feel comfortable putting any type of snowfall forecast.  What I will tell you is that some of the precipitation will start off as rain and transition to snow as the colder air heads southward.  Will there be accumulating snow?  YES that is possible.  However it all depends on the track of the storm – right now it looks like that will be the northern half of the area.  It does look like flurries/snow showers will occur across the entire area Wednesday afternoon/evening.

We’ll keep an eye on it for you.  It appears this winter isn’t over just yet.

Tara
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Above normal next few days

March 8th, 2014 at 6:21 pm by under Weather

Hopefully you had a wonderful day and enjoyed the above normal temperatures!  We hit a high of 52 in Dayton.  I saw many people enjoying the day by running outside.

almanac

The 50′s didn’t last all that long though.  Temperatures as of 6pm are falling into the 30′s in the northern half of the Miami Valley.

We are going to see a front pass through the area tonight and that may bring a few flurries or light rain showers.  No snow accumulation is expected.  All of the precipitation should be coming to an end around midnight.

sat 7pm sun 12am

Don’t forget tonight is the night you set your clocks FORWARD one hour as we SPRING ahead into Daylight Saving Time.

spring forward

Temperatures will fall into the 20′s late tonight.  By Sunday morning we’ll see lots of sunshine and it will stick around for the entire day.

sun 8am sun 5pm

Highs on Sunday will be in the middle 40′s but they soar to near 60 on Monday!

850 temps warm

The warmth isn’t going to last for long.  Colder air heads this way for the middle of the week as a storm system approaches.

850 temps cold

There’s a chance for either rain or snow on Wednesday.  Something we’ll continue to watch as this long winter rolls on.

Tara
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Winter storm update Sat night

March 2nd, 2014 at 6:15 pm by under Weather

We had some sleet and snow this morning as the first wave of this winter storm moved through the Miami Valley.  There was a bit of a lull but now more snow and possibly a little sleet is heading toward the Miami Valley.

We still have a Winter Storm Warning in effect until 7am Monday along and south of I-70.

winter storm warning

Several of you had to scrap off a thin layer of ice on your windshield.  While others had snow covered roads this morning.

brooke moore dayton Tamara Eaton

Areas north of Dayton picked up a bit more snowfall this morning with the first wave of energy.  Others around the Miami Valley picked up about an inch. Dayton Int’l Airport picked 2.1″ as of right now.  This puts us at 47.5″ for the season which keeps us in 4th place for the most snowfall in one season.  Here are other area snowfall totals form this morning.

Snowfall totals

One thing this storm system has brought with it has been sleet.  There is a shallow layer of cold air meaning the precipitation starts off as snow, melts as it moves through a warmer layer and then refreezes as it falls into a layer of colder air below freezing.  This is when we get these ice pellets.  More sleet means less snowfall.

sleet explainer

The rain snow line has been right over the Dayton area all day long.  We still have a slight chance of seeing some sleet tonight with the latest snow batch moving in.  Again because the cold layer is so shallow Doppler radar may show blue (which would normally indicate snow) but may actually be sleet. The rain snow line will be around us early this evening then falling south later tonight.

rain snow line 6pm rain snow line 2am

Snow may be heavy at times through the next few hours.  It may also mix with sleet early this evening.  The accumulation snow will eventually come to an end around 2am with a few flurries still possible early Monday morning.  Roads may be a bit icy for the Monday morning commute.  Here’s our TOTAL snowfall forecast.  This includes what has already falling this morning.

SNOWFALL FORECAST ADI

After the snow stops falling it is going to get cold.  Temperatures will fall dramatically tonight.  Cold air from Canada heads southward right over the Miami Valley.

850 temps 850 temps monday

There’s a Wind Chill Advisory in effect from 1am Monday until 1pm Monday.  Wind chill values will dip to -10 to -15 by Monday morning.

windchill

Stay safe and try to stay warm!
Tara

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Another winter storm heading this way

March 1st, 2014 at 7:31 pm by under Weather

Yes you read the headline correctly – more winter weather despite it being March 1st.  Hopefully you got out and enjoyed the wonderful temperatures today.  It’s going to snow, sleet and get cold again.

Today we managed to get up to 50 degrees in Dayton!

almanac

Now we’re headed right back to winter.  We’re tracking a couple of different features in the atmosphere.  One is a cold front to our northwest producing a batch of snow.  The second is the storm on the west coast.  The west coast storm has been producing heavy rains in California.  These two are going to come together and produce our winter weather Sunday.

west coast storm

The precipitation will begin later tonight as snow farther north and some sleet for the central and southern sections of the Miami Valley.  There’s a slight chance rain may even develop too farther south.  The heaviest batch of precipitation will be through the day tomorrow.  The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Warning for the entire Miami Valley beginning Saturday at 10pm through Monday at 10am.

winter storm warning

Like many of the winter storms we’ve seen this season we have to pay close attention to the rain/snow line and warm air.  This system like others in the past have a shallow layer of warm air which will produce sleet.  Depending on how far the warm air lifts north will impact our snowfall amounts.

Here’s a look at one of the computer models we use and where it suggests the rain/snow line will set up.  Notice the northern Miami Valley will likely see mostly snow through much of Sunday.  However the central Miami Valley – along the I-70 corridor – will see the chance for sleet until just before noon.

rain snow line 1 rain snow line 2

Here’s what we’re expecting through this event.  Snow and sleet will be the main issues.  It doesn’t appear there will be too much ice accumulation but we may see a layer of “ice” on top of the snow.  Remember how we had that a few weeks?

Tonight look for some snow overnight with a few spots with sleet/freezing rain/rain.  By Sunday morning most of the northern Miami Valley sees all snow.

Sun 2am Sun 7am

By lunchtime there’s still a chance for some sleet in the central Miami Valley.  The line eventually falls farther south by the evening and everyone changes over to snow.  We’ll see our highs for the day shortly after midnight and temperatures will fall through the afternoon.  By 5pm temperatures will be in the  teens.

sun 11pmSun 5pm

Here’s our snowfall forecast.  Keep in mind the blue area may be one or two inches plus or minus – it all depends on how much sleet we see.

snowfall forecast

It’s important to note:  no matter what kind of precipitation type you see roads will likely be snow covered.   Stay safe and make sure you keep looking back at the forecast.  Jamie Jarosik will be doing live cutins during the Today Show Sunday.  Brian Davis and myself we be monitoring the situation on Sunday and will have team coverage Sunday at 6pm.

Stay safe!
Tara
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