Yes you read the headline correctly – more winter weather despite it being March 1st. Hopefully you got out and enjoyed the wonderful temperatures today. It’s going to snow, sleet and get cold again.
Today we managed to get up to 50 degrees in Dayton!
Now we’re headed right back to winter. We’re tracking a couple of different features in the atmosphere. One is a cold front to our northwest producing a batch of snow. The second is the storm on the west coast. The west coast storm has been producing heavy rains in California. These two are going to come together and produce our winter weather Sunday.
The precipitation will begin later tonight as snow farther north and some sleet for the central and southern sections of the Miami Valley. There’s a slight chance rain may even develop too farther south. The heaviest batch of precipitation will be through the day tomorrow. The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Storm Warning for the entire Miami Valley beginning Saturday at 10pm through Monday at 10am.
Like many of the winter storms we’ve seen this season we have to pay close attention to the rain/snow line and warm air. This system like others in the past have a shallow layer of warm air which will produce sleet. Depending on how far the warm air lifts north will impact our snowfall amounts.
Here’s a look at one of the computer models we use and where it suggests the rain/snow line will set up. Notice the northern Miami Valley will likely see mostly snow through much of Sunday. However the central Miami Valley – along the I-70 corridor – will see the chance for sleet until just before noon.
Here’s what we’re expecting through this event. Snow and sleet will be the main issues. It doesn’t appear there will be too much ice accumulation but we may see a layer of “ice” on top of the snow. Remember how we had that a few weeks?
Tonight look for some snow overnight with a few spots with sleet/freezing rain/rain. By Sunday morning most of the northern Miami Valley sees all snow.
By lunchtime there’s still a chance for some sleet in the central Miami Valley. The line eventually falls farther south by the evening and everyone changes over to snow. We’ll see our highs for the day shortly after midnight and temperatures will fall through the afternoon. By 5pm temperatures will be in the teens.
Here’s our snowfall forecast. Keep in mind the blue area may be one or two inches plus or minus – it all depends on how much sleet we see.
It’s important to note: no matter what kind of precipitation type you see roads will likely be snow covered. Stay safe and make sure you keep looking back at the forecast. Jamie Jarosik will be doing live cutins during the Today Show Sunday. Brian Davis and myself we be monitoring the situation on Sunday and will have team coverage Sunday at 6pm.