Weather

Cloudy weekend and our chances for a White Christmas

December 20th, 2014 at 6:28 pm by under Weather

Today we saw another cloudy day.  A thick deck of clouds has been pretty persistent over the last few days and today was no exception.  We haven’t seen the sunshine for several days this month.

CLOUDY DAYS

Take a look at this video The National Weather Service in Wilmington put together click here.  It really shows the cloudy days all this month.

Despite the clouds we saw temperatures today into the 30′s.

almanac

Tomorrow is the first day of winter.  The winter solstice is when the sun’s rays are directed at the Tropic of Capricorn.  This means it’s the first day of winter for us but the first day of summer in the Southern Hemisphere.

WINTER SOL 2WINTER SOL 1

There’s a chance we may see a few peeks of sun for the first day of winter.  If we do it’s going to be short lived…we’re tracking a storm system that will bring more clouds next week.

SUN 8A SUN 6P

Temperatures begin to warm up Monday with highs in the middle 40′s.  We’ll see more clouds, breezy southwest winds and a chance for a few showers later in the afternoon and evening.

MON 8A MON 7P

Looking ahead to Christmas:  There’s a storm system that will form and strengthen over the Great Lakes.  Tuesday we’ll be warm with highs in the lower 50′s and rain likely.  By Wednesday we’ll see rain changing to snow as colder air moves into the area.  Winds begin to pick up out of the west and northwest.  There’s a chance for a few flurries on Thursday too.

CHRISTMAS STORM

While I know many people are wondering if we’re going to see a White Christmas I want to point out we’re not going to see a lot of accumulating snow from this system.  We WILL see VERY windy conditions.  This means what snow that does fall may blow and drift.

This is the way it looks like right now but we’ll continue to monitor it all week long for you.  We’ll have updates on-air and online at wdtn.com

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+
Instagram


Cloudy, chilly with a few flurries

December 18th, 2014 at 5:43 am by under Weather

Today will be much like yesterday….cloudy and cool.  Temperatures will stay in the lower 30′s.  Clouds will stick around and there’s a slight chance for a few flurries this afternoon.  The best chance will be after 2 p.m.

rain percentage

There’s a storm system producing snow to the west of us in Missouri, and western Illinois.  It will weaken as it moves eastward.

thu 8athu 2p

thu 11p

We’ll have another cold start Friday morning with temperatures in the 20′s but for the afternoon clouds will clear.  Look for some sunshine during the afternoon.

Fri 7aFri 12p

We’re keeping an eye on a storm system that will head this way next week.  At first we’ll see warmer temperatures move this way which means rain.  However the colder air will filter into the area behind the storm and it will turn colder, windy and we may see some snow.  It all depends on the track of the storm and when the cold air arrives…BUT there’s a a chance we could have a White Christmas.  So you’re saying there’s a chance?  YES I’m saying there’s a chance.

Stay warm!
Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+
Instagram


Chilly air mass in place

December 17th, 2014 at 6:08 am by under Weather

Well we have quite a difference this morning than yesterday morning.  Yesterday we were in the 40′s and today we’re right around freezing. Much of us are seeing temperatures 15 to 20 degrees cooler today than yesterday.

24 temps change

 

 

We’re seeing gusty winds out of the west.  Wind chill values are in the 20′s.   wind chills

There is a few flurries and a few pockets of drizzle.  Due to the temperature around freezing there may be some slick spots on area roadways.

Radar

The precipitation will come to an end by late morning but the clouds will hang around the area. We may see a few peeks of sunshine before it sets tonight.

wed 8a wed 5pm

Look for a mostly cloudy skies again Thursday.  There’s a slight chance we may see a few flurries by the afternoon and evening.

Thu 8a

Temperatures will stay below normal for the next few days.  It will feel like December.

Have a great day!
Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+
Instagram

 


Foggy start, mild with showers later

December 15th, 2014 at 6:22 am by under Weather

We’re seeing a few school districts operating on a two hour delay due fog.  You can find the latest closings by clicking here.

Visibilities are down to a quarter of a mile north and east of Dayton.

visibilities

We’re tracking an area of low pressure heading this way later today.  We’re going to see temperatures above normal ahead of the storm.

sat image

Our jet stream or storm track will bring winds out of the southwest in the upper levels of the atmosphere today and the switch to the northwest once the low passes us.  This means above normal temperatures at first then near normal for Wednesday through Friday.

Jet Mon am Jet Wed am

As the storm system approaches we’re going to see a chance for showers. Much of the day will be dry but we’ll see a chance for showers later this evening.

Mon 8am Mon 5p

rain percentage

Showers will continue for Tuesday as the low exits the Great Lakes.

Tue 8a Tue 5p

Temperatures then drop to near normal conditions for the rest of the week.

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+
Instagram


The return of sunshine for the second half of the week!

December 11th, 2014 at 6:38 am by under Weather

High pressure building into the region has helped to clear the skies out overnight:

satellite

With the clear skies, temperatures have dropped into the 20s. Even though it’s the coldest morning of the week so far, these readings are pretty close to normal for this time of year:

temps

There is a westerly wind, making it feel even colder… wind chills are in the teens! This afternoon, we will finally… FINALLY… enjoy some sunshine. Temperatures will be seasonably chilly, with highs in the upper 30s. The high moves right over us on Friday, so we should be close to full sun, and we’ll even be a little warmer, with highs in the lower 40s.

Over the weekend, a strong upper level ridge will build into the region, continuing our warm-up:

upper

There will be some low level moisture streaming northward, and this may lead to an increase in cloud cover Sunday and Monday–even some light precipitation. BUT we still should see highs top out in the upper 40s to near 50-degrees!

With the warm-up coming… 2News Today anchor, @WDTNBrooke says it has been difficult for her to get into the holiday spirit. So let’s look at the chances of having a white Christmas:

Stats    Snow Chance

Unfortunately, our two-week temperature outlook is for warmer-than-normal conditions, so it’s not looking good for snow on or around the holiday.

Enjoy the warm-up while it lasts!
Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


More light precip today, then a quiet stretch…

December 9th, 2014 at 8:16 am by under Weather

A cold front moved through the Miami Valley this morning, and has brought light precipitation to the area:

temps     satrad

We will spend the day with more gray skies in the region, as clouds again dominate. The chance for a sprinkle or a flurry will also linger through tonight. We do not expect any snow accumulation during this time, but colder air is moving in, so we will drop below freezing tonight for the first time in a couple days:

LOWS

Watch for some isolated slick spots late tonight and early Wednesday morning. We will run just below normal, with chilly conditions Wednesday and Thursday afternoons. Highs will be in the mid-upper 30s. The chill doesn’t last too long, we will swing up in the other direction by the end of the week! Friday through early next week, highs will be back in the mid-upper 40s. And we do expect a nice stretch of dry weather to go along with it the warm-up!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Above normal for one day then turning chilly…

December 8th, 2014 at 9:06 am by under Weather

It was sure nice to see the sun yesterday! With highs near normal, it ended up being a really nice finish to the weekend. Clouds moved in late day, and continued to thicken overnight. We won’t see as much sun today as on Sunday, but most of the day will be dry. We then await the approach of this cold front:

satrad

You can see showers along the front to the west… those will work into the area later today into tonight. Initially, it will be the chance for rain showers, but as colder air moves in, we will see the potential for some mixed precip tonight (rain, freezing rain, snow):

forecast

Lows will dip to right around freezing, so we don’t expect much accumulation or a huge icing issue. We may, however, see a few slick spots develop late tonight into Tuesday morning. And the chance of a rain or especially snow shower will continue through Tuesday afternoon. After today, a majority of this week will be chilly, with highs in the mid-upper 30s for a few days:

temps

But there are signs of a nice weekend ahead!
Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook

 


Tracking a cold front for Monday and Tuesday

December 7th, 2014 at 6:03 pm by under Weather

It was great to see the sunshine this morning!  Clouds have returned ahead of a cold front and they’ll be with us through the first part of the new work week.

Troy camera

The cold front is well to the west of us but it will be making progress eastward through the day tomorrow.

SURFACE MAP

Already there are some light rain showers and even snow farther north in Western Wisconsin.

Radar

Tonight we’ll be dry but clouds will continue to hang around through Monday.  There’s a chance for a few showers shortly after 5 p.m.

Mon 8a Mon 5p

Colder air builds into the area Monday night and early Tuesday morning.  We’ll see a chance for the rain showers to change over to a few flurries late.

Tue 12aTue 9aTue 5p

Depending on the temperature profile there may be a little wintry mix or freezing drizzle. It’s something we’ll continue to watch.

The rest of the work week looks quiet with near normal temperatures.

Have a great week!

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+Instagram

 


Rain has ended; dry for the rest of the weekend

December 6th, 2014 at 6:13 pm by under Weather

It was a wet Friday and first start of Saturday.  Many areas picked up one to two inches of rainfall.

Here’s a look at the Doppler radar estimates for the last 24 hours.

Rainfall amounts almanac

The rain is off to the east of us right now.  We still have some  clouds around the Miami Valley but skies will continue to clear through the evening.

East coast rainfall

It will become mostly clear and chilly by Sunday morning.  Temperatures will be dropping into the 20′s.

Tonights lows

Look for a quiet and dry end to the weekend with temperatures near normal.

Sat 11pmSun 9aSun 6p

We’re tracking a cold front that will move through the Miami Valley Monday evening.  This will bring us a little more cloud cover and a chance for a few showers by the afternoon.

Mon 8a Mon 5p

There may be a little precipitation lingering when the cold air arrives late Monday and early Tuesday morning.  This cold air may change the rain showers over to a few flurries early Tuesday morning.  Right now it doesn’t look like a big snow at all.

The rest of the work week looks quiet with near normal temperatures.

Have a great weekend!
Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+Instagram

 

 


A soggy finish to the week…

December 5th, 2014 at 9:20 am by under Weather

We’ve been dealing with fog and a few light showers across the southern half of the Miami Valley this morning. Roads are just wet, as temperatures are thankfully above freezing:

Temps

That warm front lifts north as an area of low pressure heads our way today. That means the rain will fill in over the region, and fall steady this afternoon, evening and overnight:

forecast    forecast 2

Some of the heavier downpours will occur tonight, as an area of low pressure moves in. Most locations will pick up at least an inch–if not more–through Saturday morning. The rain will begin to decrease in coverage as we head through noon Saturday. That is when winds will shift in from the north… and temperatures will slowly drop:

forecast 3

We’ll see an early seasonable high in the lower 40s, and then drop into the 30s during the afternoon. There will also be a wind chill to deal with most of the day, and it will feel like we’re in the 20s. We end the weekend on a dry note, with partly sunny skies and highs in the lower 40s on Sunday.

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Spotty showers later today, then rain to end the week…

December 4th, 2014 at 7:39 am by under Weather

High pressure right over us this morning is keeping us dry and calm as we start the day with some frost:

Temps

We have lots of clouds overhead again, and during the afternoon, we’ll see a scattered showers move in from the southwest. Right now they’re located in Illinois, Indiana and Kentucky:

SATRAD

The southern half of the Miami Valley will have the best chance at seeing rain today. A better chance of an area-wide soaking rain tomorrow will arrive in the afternoon. It looks like rain will fall steady at times, and continue through Friday night into Saturday morning. Most forecast models give us over an inch of rain:

ACCRAIN

For the weekend, we will dry out Saturday afternoon, and experience near-normal temperatures with highs in the lower 40s. Sunday will be a dry and seasonable day!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook

 


Chilly for a couple days, then temps come up a bit

December 3rd, 2014 at 9:48 am by under Weather

We have morning clouds, fog and even drizzle and flurries to deal with. It’s another gloomy start here in the Miami Valley:

troy     beavercreek

Most of today, we will deal with clouds. There is a chance (but not a guarantee!) that they will break in spots this afternoon. We should see highs climb up near 40-degrees… so a little warmer than yesterday. There is another push of cold air behind a front to our northwest:

Temps

That arrives later today, and keeps us cold tonight as we drop into the 20s. Tomorrow afternoon will also feature below-normal temperatures, with a high near 38. Unfortunately, the clouds thicken back up on Thursday, and we can’t rule out a spotty shower late in the day. A really decent chance for rain is back on Friday, with showers likely in a good portion of the Miami Valley. Rain chances remain high for the first part of the weekend. Temperatures during this time frame will actually be a bit above normal, as we experience highs in the mid-40s. This could be the start of something–the extended outlook for the month of December is warmer-than-normal:

trend

And the precipitation outlook for December is an “Equal Chance” at being above/below normal… so not a clear picture at this point!

Have a good day!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Light wintry precipitation today…

December 2nd, 2014 at 8:27 am by under Weather

A Freezing Rain Advisory has been issued for all of the Miami Valley until 1pm today.

advisory

This morning, we’ve seen a wintry mix of snow, graupel, sleet and freezing rain. This will become mainly freezing rain/freezing drizzle for the rest of the morning, and may cause a light glaze of ice in spots. Expect slick conditions to develop where precipitation falls. Surface temperatures are in the upper 20s in most of our cities at 8:30am. So how is liquid falling, when it’s this cold? Well in the atmosphere above our heads, there’s actually a warmer layer:

Wintry Mix

Frozen precip will melt in this layer… and then it reaches our colder layer at the surface and will either partially refreeze as it falls (sleet)… or stay liquid until it makes contact with an object (freezing rain). Where we don’t see actual measurable precip today, there is the potential for freezing drizzle. You can stay connected to the changing weather conditions by using the NEW 2News Weather App.

Conditions will improve as we head towards lunch and beyond, with temperatures rising above freezing:

meteogram

The precip coverage will also decrease later in the day, and we expect dry conditions for Wednesday and Thursday. Both of these days will feature lots of clouds, and a little sun… and seasonably chilly temperatures. Highs will be in the lower 40s.

The next chance of rain arrives on Friday, and we could even see a few scattered showers on Saturday. But the weekend overall looks pretty nice, with highs in the mid-upper 40s.

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Dramatic temperature drop

November 30th, 2014 at 5:39 pm by under Weather

Hopefully you enjoyed the warm temperatures today!  I saw someone riding a motorcycle and others tending to the yard.  We saw highs in the middle 60′s today!

almanac

The warmer temperatures were due to strong winds out of the southwest.  Winds were gusty during the day.

Wind gusts

There’s a cold front to our west.  You can pick it out with the sharp temperature contrast.  We’re in the 60′s but it’s in the 30′s in Chicago and 20′s in Iowa.

Temps

This front will move through the Miami Valley later tonight.  We’ll see our winds switch to the northwest, temperatures drop and also see a chance for some light showers.

Radar

Notice the coverage in the rain west of Indy.  The showers we see tonight will be light and scattered.

Sun 7p Sun 11p

By Monday morning a lot of the showers will be gone.  There’s a slight chance we may see a few showers south of Dayton but the bulk of the area will be dry.

Mon 9a Mon 6p

It will be cloudy, breezy and temperatures will be below normal.  Temperatures will start out in the 30′s and stay steady through the day then fall into the afternoon.

departure from normal monday

Temperatures will be well below normal through the nation’s midsection.  Highs will slowly moderate to near normal for the rest of the week.

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+
Instagram


Windy and warm to end the weekend

November 29th, 2014 at 5:49 pm by under Weather

Wow it was windy today!  These winds will continue to be howling tonight and tomorrow.

Wind gusts

The winds did help transport warmer air northward.  Our highs today climbed into the 50′s.  Tomorrow we’ll be even warmer with highs approaching 60.

almanac

Winds will be the main story along with the warmer temperatures tomorrow.  Wind speeds will be 10-25 mph with gusts near 30 again.

winds sun 6pm

These winds will help to bring a little more moisture northward Sunday.  There’s a chance for a little light drizzle or spotty shower at any time during the day tomorrow.  However the best chance of rain will be after 5 p.m.

Sat 11pm Sun 9am

Sun 3pmSun 7pm

 

A cold front will move through the area Sunday.  Once the front approaches the Miami Valley by late Sunday evening that’s when we’ll see the best chance of rain.  The rain will be on the light side and won’t amount to very much in the rain gauge.

Mon 7amMon 7pm

There’s a slight chance we may see a few rain showers very early Monday morning.  Cold air will drop southward once the front moves through the area.  There’s a slight chance we may see a few snowflakes mix in south of Dayton however the chance is very small.

We received a few sunrise pictures in our reportit file that I would love to share.  Don’t forget you can always share your photos by sending picture to reportit@wdtn.com

Wallace Campbell Sunrise Roger Garber Dayton Sunrise

Enjoy the warmer temperatures Sunday!

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+Instagram


Colder air is here again…

November 25th, 2014 at 7:39 am by under Weather

A strong cold front moved through the Miami Valley yesterday, and our winds were quite gusty! We had two times where the winds really peaked– once during the mid-morning as some thunderstorms moved through. And the second time happened as the cold front moved across the area in the early afternoon:

day wind

Here are some of the highest wind gusts we saw:

gusts

Today will not be as gusty, but it will still be a breezy day. Winds will generally be between 10 and 15mph, adding a wind chill to already cold temperatures. We’ll see highs in the upper 30s, and it will feel like the 20s pretty much all day long. At least we have dry conditions in place for the big travel day on Wednesday. Most regional travel will be  problem-free weather wise.

If you are traveling farther east, that is where you’ll run into some significant problems. Parts of West Virginia, Virginia, Pennsylvania and on into the Northeast will be dealing with a wintry mess.

Here at home, on Thursday, we have the potential to see a few light snow showers through the day, as a reinforcing shot of cold air moves in:

holiday

So while it won’t be the COLDEST Thanksgiving on record, we will be running about 10-degrees below the average temperatures for the holiday. Here is a peek at Thanksgiving climatology:

event

Temperatures will reach their coldest early Friday morning. So if you’re heading out to catch some good deals, be prepared for some frigid conditions, with readings in the upper teens!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


A warm but soggy end to the weekend

November 22nd, 2014 at 6:35 pm by under Weather

After a brief period of light freezing rain/showers this morning we quickly warmed up.  Highs today were above normal for the first time in more than ten days.  Just like that the snow pack we once had is now gone.

almanac

It will be above normal for tomorrow and Monday before temperatures drop back into the 30′s for daytime highs.

Tonight we’ll see mostly cloudy skies and there’s a slight chance we may see a few isolated showers.  The best chance will be shortly before sunrise.

Sunday 9am

Look for a mild, mostly cloudy day Sunday.  If you have any outdoor plans the earlier you can do them the better.  A large swath of rain will be heading this way for the afternoon and evening.

Sun 3pm Sun 11pm

The rain will continue through the overnight hours and there’s a chance we may still see some wet spots for the Monday morning commute.

Mon 9am

Rainfall amounts will be close to a half an inch.

Precip Amounts

Temperatures will be above normal for Sunday and Monday but another cold blast will head this way late Monday and into the rest of the holiday week.

850 temps Sun 850 temps Mon

Right now it looks like there’s a chance for a few flurries on Thanksgiving.  Temperatures will be below normal for the late week into next weekend.

Have a great weekend!
Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+
Instagram


Today will be the brightest day of the next week…

November 21st, 2014 at 8:59 am by under Weather

High pressure building into the region will bring us bright blue skies today! We’ll pretty much see wall-to-wall sunshine, but it is still cold! We tied the record low for the day:

event

After the frigid start, we’ll continue to run about 20-degrees below normal this afternoon. Then we get into a weekend warm-up!

temp trend

But that warm up will come along with the chance for showers. Most of the precipitation we will see this weekend will be rain, but early Saturday morning it will still be cold enough for some freezing rain. Temperatures will be in the upper 20s, and while there’s not a whole lot of moisture around at that time… there could be a few areas that get a little light freezing rain:

forecast

It doesn’t last long, and by mid-morning we should warm enough for the switch to all rain. Saturday won’t be a wash-out, showers will be scattered on and off. A much better chance of an area-wide rain is Sunday–especially in the afternoon and evening. But we’ll climb into the 50s!

It looks like we’ll stay in the 50s early next week, but we will turn colder as we head towards the Thanksgiving holiday. Enjoy your weekend!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Back in the deep freeze through the end of the week…

November 20th, 2014 at 9:26 am by under Weather

A cold front moved through late Wednesday, and that has opened the door for more cold air to spill into the Miami Valley! Morning temps have been  holding steady in the lower 20s, but it is colder where our winds are coming from:

temps

So that means we will continue a below-normal trend here in Dayton, with highs more than 20-degrees below the normal values. We are forecasting a high of 27. Clouds have been breaking up, but should fill back in through the day, and we can’t rule out a spotty flurry. It will still be breezy today, but High pressure builds right over us tomorrow, allowing winds to relax a bit. Look for plenty of sun on Friday, with highs similar to today–in the upper 20s.

Over the weekend, the high will shift off to the east… and southerly winds develop. You know what that means:

temp trend

Yes… a warming trend! Saturday we expect highs in the 40s, and we should reach the 50s on Sunday! This does come along with the chance for showers, however. And at least initially Saturday morning, it will still be cold enough for a little freezing rain or snow before we change over to all rain. It’s rain showers for Sunday and Monday, too.

But it’s nothing but SNOW in Buffalo, New York. We’ve been sharing images and stories on our newscasts this week about the incredible amount of lake effect snow that has most in that area snowed in! Here are some of my favorite pictures… and some statistics to compare just how much they’ve received to our normal and record snowfall in Dayton:

les   les 5

les 2   les 3

les 4   snow compare

LES happens when cold air moves over long stretches of relatively warm lake water. It picks up moisture here, and the lift is enhanced when that air mass hits land. This leads to narrow but intense bands of snow, that sometimes move very little. Here is the latest on the Lake Effect Snow Warning that is currently valid for the area, as they expect another 2-3 feet of snow:

* IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT
  OR NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TRAVEL AT TIMES IN THE HEAVIEST PORTION
  OF THE BAND. THUNDER AND LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE HEAVIEST
  SNOW. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL DURING THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW...EXPECT
  SEVERE WINTER DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH VERY LOW VISIBILITY AND
  DEEP SNOW COVER ON ROADS. SOME ROADS THAT HAVE BEEN CLEARED
  MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE AGAIN. DO NOT TRAVEL IN THE MOST HEAVILY
  AFFECTED AREAS! SNOW LOADS ON BUILDINGS MAY REACH CRITICAL
  LEVELS AND RESULT IN STRUCTURAL FAILURE.

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Record breaking cold today…

November 18th, 2014 at 8:00 am by under Weather

After the first significant snowfall of the season on Monday…

snow

…the Miami Valley is firmly in an arctic airmass! Morning lows were bitterly cold, and we officially set a new record:

temps     record

We will also hit a new record LOW high temperature this afternoon… and with this air mass, it won’t be that difficult!

event

We will see a mix of sun and clouds through the afternoon, with the slight chance of a spotty flurry or two. A better chance of scattered snow showers arrives on Wednesday. Winds will increase ahead of the system, and may gust up near 30mph through the day. Snow showers look most likely in the afternoon, and will linger into the evening… but any accumulation looks light:

snow forecast

Thursday and Friday look dry and cold, and then we will warm up over the weekend! We actually have 50-degree highs in the forecast by Sunday, but it will come along with the chance for rain.

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook