Weather

More thunderstorms… flooding potential

August 22nd, 2014 at 8:53 am by under Weather

Once again, the morning drive is plagued with a steady rain, and imbedded heavy downpours. Parts of the Miami Valley have seen 2-3″ of rain over the past day, and with saturated ground and rain still falling… there are flooding concerns:

rain

flood

Flood Advisories highlight the ongoing high-water: ponding on roadways, standing water in low-lying or poor drainage areas. Localized minor flooding will continue through the rest of the morning in these areas. ALL of the Miami Valley is in a Flash Flood WATCH through 10pm.

The steadier rain will be likely through early afternoon. It does look like we’ll have the best shot at some dry periods in the mid to late afternoon hours, much like yesterday. BUT a spotty shower or thunderstorm will still be possible during this time. Heavy rain will accompany the thunderstorms, too.

We still have a decent shot at some scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday–best chance in the afternoon. An upper level ridge will build in for the weekend and start of next week. This will really bring in the heat and humidity, as rain chances die down:

500

Highs will be up  near 90, and potenitally into the lower 90s Monday and Tuesday. With the high dew points, our heat index, or “feels like” temperature, will be in the  mid-upper 90s. This will persist until mid-week, when the next system will bring in another chance for rain and cooler temperatures.

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Showers and thunderstorms at times, then HOT

August 21st, 2014 at 9:19 am by under Weather

We’re dealing with several rounds of showers and thunderstorms over the next few days. An active summer weather pattern has developed for the Miami Valley… and we will likely feel the hottest temperatures of the summer over the next several days.

Rain and thunderstorms will be most likely today through mid-afternoon. During the latter half of the day, I do expect more dry time. Tonight is in question, as a complex of thunderstorms may develop to our northwest and dive down our way. If this materializes, we could see some stronger wind gusts as they move in. While a lot is still uncertain, we have been included in an elevated risk for severe storms:

SVR

Keep tabs on the rain on LIVE DOPPLER 2HD all day long!

Heat and humidity build for the end of the week and the weekend. Highs will be in the upper 80s on Friday, and near 90 degrees for Saturday and Sunday… and even up there early next week. Look for the heat to break mid-week-ish, as a cold front moves in with rain and drops temps!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


A mostly-dry day, still hot and humid

August 20th, 2014 at 7:14 am by under Weather

After overnight rain and thunderstorms impacted the Miami Valley, we are settling back into a quieter weather pattern for the day ahead. We still do have a cold front to our west, which will sag down on the area today:

temps

It will basically stall-out over the region, and keep us with at least a 20% chance of an isolated shower or t’storm popping up this afternoon. But most will miss out on rain. Highs will be in the mid-upper 80s, and it will still be very humid.

The chance for showers and thunderstorms goes back up late tonight. The front will slowly lift north as a warm front on Thursday. This will keep us unsettled, with showers and thunderstorms likely tomorrow:

forecast

On the south side of the front, and with an upper level ridge building in… we are really going to heat up for the end of the week and the weekend. Take a look at this stretch:

TEMP TREND

Three 90-degree days in a row is officially a “heat wave”… and we may be getting a late one soon!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Showers and thunderstorms late day…

August 19th, 2014 at 10:02 am by under Weather

We have a cold front approaching from the west today. Ahead of it, we will be dealing with a warm and very humid afternoon. Highs will reach the mid-80s, and dew points will be in the upper 60s to near 70-degrees. This will make it feel even hotter! Heat index values will be up near 90-degrees.

We expect the chance for a few showers and thunderstorms to fire up as the front gets closer. Initially, in the late afternoon, these will be fairly isolated. But showers and thunderstorms will fill in during the evening and overnight hours. Any of them will have the potential to produce heavy rain, and a few could also be strong to severe. A portion of the Miami Valley is included in an Elevated Risk for severe storms:

Severe Outlook

Damaging winds and hail will be the main threat. The threat will die down as the night goes on, and dry weather returns for the Wednesday morning commute. The front stalls south of us for a day, before moving back north as  a warm front on Thursday. This will allow even warmer air to build in for the end of the week and weekend. We could see 90-degree highs by Sunday.

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


More humid this week, and still unsettled…

August 18th, 2014 at 8:23 am by under Weather

We have a slow-moving area of low pressure to our south this morning, and our southern counties have been dealing with a few small showers to start the day:

temps

As we heat up this afternoon, the potential for showers will continue, and even increase a little, with heavy downpours  possible. Any shower or thunderstorm that develops will also be a slower-moving cell… so some localized flooding could be a concern later today. Watch for ponding water if you are out traveling. Notice how the rain will be scattered–not everyone will see it:

forecast

A wave of low pressure will move in from the west on Tuesday, increasing the chance for rain late in the day. Widespread severe weather is not expected, there could be a few cells that do produce stronger winds or even hail. And the threat for heavy downpours will continue, as moisture will be plentiful in the region. Our dew points will be in the upper 60s, to near 70… and it will feel quite sticky!

While clouds and the potential for rain will keep temperatures close to normal today and tomorrow, we have a warming trend for the rest of the week:

TEMP TREND

Summer is back, just in time for the first full week of school in many communities! Good luck to all students and staff this week!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook

 


Warmer but unsettled

August 17th, 2014 at 5:48 pm by under Weather

We had a few early morning sprinkles around parts of the area today.  The bulk of the rain stayed south of the Dayton region.  There’s a very slim chance we may see a spotty shower pop tonight but again most of the rain should stay south.  We stayed cloudy for most of the day but our temperatures were just a touch warmer than yesterday.

almanac

I’ve lowered our rain chances tomorrow.  It looks like we’ll see mainly cloudy skies for much of the day with just a slight chance for a few scattered showers.

mon 9am mon 8pm

You’ll begin to notice the humidity values climb tomorrow.  Right now our dew points ware in the low to middle 60′s.  Those will rise a few more degrees for tomorrow.

dew points

It looks like Tuesday will bring us the better chance for rain and even a few thunderstorms.  I think many of the lawns could use it!  It’s been a while since we’ve seen a decent rain over the entire area.

Tue 7am tue 7p

Next week looks like summer will make a return.  Temperatures will climb into the middle and even upper 80′s.

WED 850 TEMPS

Along with the warmer highs we’ll also see several chances for showers and thunderstorms.  Stay cool and dry next week!

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+


More scattered showers for the weekend

August 16th, 2014 at 5:55 pm by under Weather

We saw some early morning sunshine before the clouds moved in and stayed here for the rest of the day.  We even had a few showers pop on the radar.

Here’s a look at the 5:45pm radar image:

radar

Scattered showers will be possible through the early evening otherwise we’ll stay mostly cloudy.

cloudy troy

It’s also a little more humid.  Dew points have climbed into the middle 60′s.

dew points

We have an area of low pressure to the west of us that’s keeping us cloudy, cool and unsettled.

surface map

This storm will slowly progress eastward through the weekend.  Keep the umbrella handy just in case you get caught in a shower tomorrow.

sat 8p Sun 8a

We’ll see a few breaks in the rain on Sunday so it won’t be a complete washout.

Sun 2p Sun 8p

There’s a chance we may see some heavy rain at times late Sunday night and Monday.

Mon 7a Mon 7p

Next week looks like summer may make a return.  Temperatures will climb into the middle and even upper 80′s.  Along with the warmer temperatures comes several chances for rain.

Have a great weekend.

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+


A fall-like finish to the week, but warming for the weekend…

August 15th, 2014 at 7:44 am by under Uncategorized, Weather

High pressure is building in from the northwest, and it’s cleared skies this morning! Along with relatively calm winds, we’ve seen temperatures tank!

temps

A lot of spots have hit the upper 40s…

Springfield: 48
Richmond: 46
Piqua: 49
Celina: 47

…and it is our coolest morning of the month! The last time we felt 40-degree temps was way back in June. While it is a little chilly, the record low for today is 45-degrees… so we don’t expect to officially get THAT cold. This afternoon will be pleasantly warm, as we climb into the mid-70s under mostly sunny skies. Just spectacular weather for outdoor activities! If you are heading down to Mason for tennis… it doesn’t get much better than this:

tennis

The high shifts east of the area over the weekend. This will allow a southerly flow to develop, and warmer conditions will build in. We expect 80s for Saturday and Sunday, with increasing humidity for the second half of the weekend. The rain chance will also be going up, and we could see scattered showers and thunderstorms around Sunday and Monday.

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Cooler and less humid today

August 13th, 2014 at 7:26 am by under Weather

A chilly start this morning.  Temperatures are in the upper 50′s with a wind out of the northwest making it feel like a crisp fall day.  We are about 10-12 degrees cooler than yesterday morning.  We had some clouds this morning but now they are already beginning to move out of the Dayton area.

wed 8am 24hour temp change

We’ll see sunny skies for the afternoon but we’ll still be below normal.  Our normal high is around 83.  We’ll stay in the 70′s for the rest of the week.

cool temps wed 6pm

A weak disturbance passes through our region later tonight.  We’ll see a few clouds and there’s a slight chance we may see a few spotty showers after midnight toward daybreak Thursday.

thu 7am Thu 12pm

Temperatures will stay below normal for the week before a warmup this weekend.

850 temps Wed 850 temps sat

Along with the warmer air we’ll also see the chance for a rain by the end of the weekend.

Have a great week!
Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+


Cooler less humid air is on the way

August 12th, 2014 at 5:14 am by under Weather

We’re dealing with some patchy fog this morning.  Visibilities haven’t dropped too much this morning but be aware of a some fog in low lying areas.

patchy fog

We still have humid conditions in place this morning and for much of the day.  There’s some good news though….look at the dew points to the west they are in the 50′s.  We’ll see that air mass move in later tonight and tomorrow.

midwest dew points

A cold front will track through the area today.  We’ll see a chance for showers and storms.  I don’t think we’ll see as much coverage as yesterday but if you’re out be aware a shower or storm could pop up.

Tue 8am tue 5pm

rain percentage

Yesterday some areas saw a good soaking.  Showers and thunderstorms developed in the humid air mass.

weathercheckers rain

But we did have a great sunset!  Thanks to Lisa for sending this photo via Report!t.

sunset Lisa Hampshire Englewood

After the cold front moves through temperatures and humidity levels drop.  High pressure builds across the area for Wednesday.

wed 8am wed 5pm

We’ll continue to see highs below normal through the rest of the week.

temps this week

Long range computer models suggest we’ll see a warm up for the weekend.

Have a great day and don’t forget to look up!  The Perseid meteor shower is peaking.  However the full moon may limit viewing.  All you have to do is look up at the northeast part of the sky.

perseids

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+


Humid with rain likely today

August 11th, 2014 at 6:02 am by under Weather

Showers and thunderstorms will be likely today especially after noon.  We’re tracking an area of low pressure moving through the Miami Valley today.  It will be muggy with dew points in the upper 60′s and lower 70′s.  The “frizz factor”  will be high today and tonight.

Mon 6pm dew points

Showers and thunderstorms will be likely through much of the day.  The best chance will be between 2pm and 7pm.

rain percentage

We’ll see mostly cloudy skies through the day today with high humidity values as an area of low pressure tracks through the Miami Valley.

Mon 8am Mon 5pm

We’ll see another chance for a few showers and storms tomorrow as a cold front tracks through the area.

Tue 8am Tue 5pm

Humidity values start out high tomorrow but once the front moves through it will turn less humid and cooler.

wed 12am dew points

Temperatures will drop into the 70′s as high pressure keeps us high and dry for the middle of the week.

temps this week surface map today

The Perseid meteor shower will peak in a few days.  However the full “super moon” is going to put a damper on the show.  Because of the full moon we may not see as many meteors as we usually do.  Skies will clear late Tuesday night and early Wednesday just in time to see some shooting stars.

perseids

Have a great day!

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+

 

 


Rain chances increase next few days

August 9th, 2014 at 6:32 pm by under Weather

We managed to squeak out a dry day today.  Showers formed east and south of the Dayton area.  We’re seeing a deck of clouds over the central half of the Miami Valley right now but some sunshine is breaking through. We were right around normal for today.

almanac

Humidity values have increased today and will be a little higher tomorrow.  Dew points are already in the middle 60′s.

dew points

Tonight we’ll continue to see dry conditions with a few clouds around.  We’ll see a few more clouds Sunday morning than we did today.

Sun 9amSun 2pm

There’s a slight chance for a few showers to pop up for the afternoon and evening.  It won’t be a complete washout but a few showers are possible.

Monday will be the better chance for rain as an area of low pressure heads this way.

mon 7am mon 7pm

Showers are possible on Tuesday as a cold front moves through the Miami Valley.  Then we turn cooler for the middle of the week with highs in the 70′s.

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+


Parade of storms in the Pacific Ocean

August 8th, 2014 at 11:51 am by under Weather

I’ve received a couple of questions regarding the two tropical systems now in the Pacific:  Iselle and Julio.  I’ve been watching these closely too.  It’s not too often Hawaii sees tropical activity.  I found a map that shows tropical storms and their tracks since 1950 around the islands.

Hurricanes passing toward Hawaii since 1950

The last time a hurricane made landfall on one of the Islands was back in 1992 – Hurricane Iniki.

Right now Tropical Storm Iselle is producing rain and some heavy surf on the Big Island of Hawaii.  The storm will continue to move westward and weaken through the weekend.  It looks like it will stay south of the other islands.

Tropical Storm Iselle Fri 11amTS Iselle Fri 8pm

TS Iselle Sat 8am

We do have a sister station in Hawaii – KHON.  Here’s a link if  you would like more information or want to see some of the news coverage via the internet.

One of our co-workers from WDTN is vacationing in Hawaii.  I’m pretty sure he didn’t expect to see this while on the beach!  Here are a few of his pictures on Oahu.

5 2 3 4

Now attention turns to the other tropical storm, Hurricane Julio.  This is right now a category two hurricane with winds near 105 mph.  It looks like Julio will track north of Hawaii and not make landfall on any of the Islands.

Hurricane Julio Fri 11amHurricane Julio Sat 8am

Hurricane Julio Wed am Hurricane Julio Sun 8am

Again if you want to see more video and pictures head to KHON2.com our sister station in Hawaii.

Have a great weekend!
Tara
facebook
Twitter
Google+

 


A worry-free day, then the rain chance goes up again…

August 7th, 2014 at 9:20 am by under Weather

High pressure to our norther is bringing northeast winds to the Miami Valley this morning, and dew points have dropped. This means it feels much more comfortable out there, as we’ve lost the mugginess:

temps

We will see highs near 80-degrees this afternoon, and it will be pleasantly warm. The front to our south will stay there today, but that area of low pressure over Missouri will slowly track our way. We’re already seeing some clouds from this system, and while we consider today “mostly sunny”… we won’t see a bright blue sky. The thin clouds will filter the sun, and it will look more “milky” overhead.

Clouds thicken tonight, and the potential for showers and thunderstorms returns on Friday. The southern half of the Miami Valley will have the best chance at rain:

pops     forecast

The low will be a slow-mover, and rain chances will linger into the weekend. While it doesn’t look like a wash-out, we could have some heavier downpours around, as moisture increases over the region. Temperatures also warm, and we should be back in the mid-80s by Sunday. Still no 90s in sight!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Mostly dry, with just a few showers/t’storms today…

August 6th, 2014 at 6:16 am by under Weather

A front is draped to our south this morning, and an area of high pressure sits off to the northwest:

temps

We are starting off with some dense fog in spots, and a Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for the far northern counties until 9am. Visibility may drop below a quarter-mile in spots, so be aware that you may approach fog rather quickly.

Dry conditions have settled back in after a few showers/thunderstorms late yesterday and overnight. For the second day in a row, the Dayton International Airport picked up rainfall:

Monday’s rain:  .48″
Tuesday’s rain:  .04″

And here’s a look at how our monthly and yearly totals compare to average:

precip

With some heating and the front near by… we may see a few more showers, even a thunderstorm pop up late this afternoon or evening, as upper level energy crosses the region. Right now, it looks like the highest rain chance will be across the southern counties, closer to the front:

forecast

And even if showers do get going, you can see how spotty they will be–meaning not everyone will see rain. The high then builds in for Thursday, bringing a dry day and lots of sunshine. Then, scattered showers and thunderstorms will return to the area for the end of the week.

Right now, the weekend looks mostly dry and warmer, with highs in the mid-80s!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Gorgeous today but rain possible tomorrow

August 4th, 2014 at 5:33 am by under Weather

We have high pressure nearby and that’s producing clear skies and calm winds around most of the area.  There’s some patchy fog developing east and south of Dayton.

fog

Once the sun comes up the fog will quickly dissipate and we’ll see lots of sunshine for the day.  High pressure keeps us sunny and dry.  High temperatures today will be near normal in the low and middle 80′s.

 

mon 5pm surface map today

High pressure moves east of us tomorrow and a cold front will head this way.  This front will bring us a chance for some showers and storms for the afternoon.

tue 8am tue 5pm

Temperatures will stay around normal through the rest of the week.  There’s a slight chance we may see a few showers by the end of the week.  A few of the computer models are suggesting we will see rain while others suggest we’ll be dry.  Stay tuned to the forecast.

rain percentage

Have a great week!
Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+


A nice end to the weekend

August 2nd, 2014 at 6:16 pm by under Weather

We had some spotty showers today but now we’re beginning to see those come to an end and see some peeks of sunshine.

TROY

Highs today were around 80 which is a little below normal for this time of year.  Highs will be in the lower 80′s tomorrow with more sunshine than what we had today.

Look for some sunshine for much of the day tomorrow with a few clouds for the afternoon.  There’s a slight chance for a shower but it looks like the best chance will be in our far eastern counties if any do develop.

SUN 8AM SUN 8PM

Temperatures will slowly rise for next week with readings a few degrees above normal. Friday it looked like we would see middle to upper 80′s for next week.  Right now it appears we’ll stay in the low to middle 80′s.

MON 850TEMPSWED 850 TEMPS

Monday is not looking to bad either.  Look for a mix of sun and clouds with highs in the middle 80′s.  Next wee we’ll see a several chances for showers and thunderstorms.

MON 7AMMON 7PM

The final numbers have come in for July.  July 2014 will be the third “coolest” July on record.  We didn’t hit 90 degrees at all in the summer month.  However it was rather humid.

COOL JULY

Have a great weekend!
Tara

Facebook
Twitter
Google+


A warming trend as we head through the rest of the week…

July 30th, 2014 at 7:47 am by under Weather

We are starting off cool again, but will see a warming trend from here on out. Yesterday we did get close to one record… and then we actually TIED another record. Here are the details:

Tuesday’s record low:  51
Tuesday’s actual low:   52

record

Today we have mid-upper 50s to start, and highs will make it into the upper 70s. We will continue in that warming direction through the end of the week:

temps

Rain chances are also increasing. We still have the trough in place over the Great Lakes, and some energy will swing through the Miami Valley today… providing better forcing than we’ve seen the past couple of days. This, combined with daytime heating will kick off scattered showers and even a few thunderstorms this afternoon:

forecast

While widespread severe weather is not expected, we could see a little small hail in a thunderstorm or two. Drier conditions return for Thursday, and it will likely be a pretty nice day–the nicest of the week, perhaps? Rain chances return for Friday and the weekend, but we will remain warm, with highs in the lower 80s.

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook


Tornado touchdown now cooler air in place

July 28th, 2014 at 6:15 pm by under Weather

The storm which prompted a tornado warning Sunday afternoon did produce a tornado.  It was a weak EF zero tornado in Champaign county between Cable and Mechanicsburg.

Champaign Co tornado Tornado stats

The storm system that produced the strong storm is now east of us.  Cooler and less humid has replaced the muggy air we had over the weekend.

Cooler Tempsalmanac

Highs today were in the 70′s and will stay that way for the next couple of days.

We’ll continue to see partly cloudy skies through the overnight hours and start off dry Tuesday.

tue 9am

There’s a chance for a few showers tomorrow in the late afternoon and evening.

tue 3pm tue 8pm

The chance for showers will continue on Wednesday too.  Keep in mind the showers will be light and scattered but it may be a good idea to keep the umbrella handy.

wed 9am wed 5pm

Have a great week!

Tara
Facebook
Twitter
Google+

 


Another taste of Fall this week…

July 28th, 2014 at 9:21 am by under Weather

After a humid weekend, with scattered showers and thunderstorms… we are getting a taste of fall here in the Miami Valley! Highs will be running about 10-degrees below normal through the middle part of the week:

temps

Not only is it cooler… but it feels nice and refreshing with the lower humidity. Gone, are the sticky 70-degree dew points of Sunday… and the 50s have settled in behind our cold front:

dew

That front brought some severe weather Sunday afternoon. A funnel cloud was spotted near West Liberty in Champaign County around 3pm… this prompted a tornado warning. One of our viewers, Matt Harper, sent us some video of a wall cloud near his home in Cable… here is an image from that footage:

wall

This was Harper’s view as he looked toward Rt. 559 from Cable. And it’s a very ominous sight… the wall cloud is a lowering of the cloud base in a thunderstorm. If there is a tornado, this is where it would most likely materialize! And indeed, storm damage occurred around 3:25pm near Mechanicsburg. Below is a map so you can get an idea of where this occurred:

storm report

As of this morning, the NWS did not have official plans to survey damage, but they do say they may head out to a few sites today. We will let you know what they determine if they go to Champaign County.

We won’t see severe weather today, and in fact, the chance of any lightning or thunder is low. But a few showers will be possible this afternoon, as an upper-level trough is in place over the Great Lakes:

500

This cool and slightly unsettled pattern will stay with us most of the week!

Jamie
@JamieJarosik
Google+
Facebook