Weather

Unsettled with front today, then a couple dry days…

September 2nd, 2014 at 9:18 am by under Weather

This morning, we saw some very heavy rain impact the Miami Valley through the early rush hour. Here are some of the totals our Weathercheckers reported:

rain

The steady rain is winding down, and we will get to enjoy some dry time today. However, the potential for a spotty shower or thunderstorm will really linger through mid-afternoon. While the threat for severe weather is very low, we will still have the potential for a heavy downpour… so the Flash Flood Watch continues through 4pm:

flood

It will continue to be humid, with highs in the lower 80s… right around normal. Wednesday will be a dry day, as high pressure briefly builds into the area. With more sun, we will warm into the mid-80s… and that warming trend will continue on Thursday. We expect another dry day with highs in the upper 80s. Friday will be our next chance of rain!

Jamie
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Humid again with spotty showers

September 1st, 2014 at 5:06 am by under Weather

We’re seeing some patchy fog this morning.  Look for some clouds with just a slight chance for a few spotty showers during the first half of the day.

VISITBILITIES

I don’t think it’s going to be a complete wash out but there is a chance for a few spotty showers before lunchtime.

MON 8AMMON 12P

If you’re running the 5K at the Holiday at Home event in Kettering it’s going to be a muggy one.  There’s a slight chance we may see a few spotty showers around parade time but the best chance of rain will be tonight.

HOLIDAY AT HOME

A cold front is going to head this way later tonight.  This will bring us a good chance for showers and thunderstorms overnight and into early Tuesday morning.  The rain may be heavy at times and we may see a few storms with gusty winds.

svr risk SURFACE MAP

The best chance of storms will be later tonight and early Tuesday morning.

MON 5P MON 10P

TUE 7AM TUE 12P

After the cold front moves through we’ll see the humidity drop a little late Tuesday night.  However it will be brief.  Temperatures rise again into the middle and upper 80′s.  Next weekend looks like we’ll finally drop to near normal and even below normal temperatures.

Happy Labor Day!

Tara
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Muggy with some showers

August 30th, 2014 at 6:23 pm by under Weather

The Labor Day weekend is going to be a little uncomfortable.  We’ve felt the sticky conditions today and that’s going to continue for the rest of the weekend.

almanac CURRENT DEW POINTS

Dew points or the measurement of how much moisture is in the air are near 70 which means it feels uncomfortable.  Dew points will still be high for tomorrow too.

SUN 8AM DEW POINTS SUN 6PM DEW POINTS

Along with the high humidity we’ll also see the rain chances increase tonight.  Showers and even a few thunderstorms will move through the area.  Right now the rain is south of us but it is moving to the northeast.

radar

The rain will be steady through the overnight hours.  We may see a few showers to start the day Sunday and then just a few scattered showers for the afternoon.

SUN 2AM SUN 8AM

SUN 1PMSUN 5PM

Monday will continue to feel muggy with highs in the middle 80′s.  We have the chance for a few spotty showers but the best chance of rain will come from a cold front late Monday night into Tuesday.

Have a great holiday!

Tara
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So-so holiday weekend forecast…

August 29th, 2014 at 7:44 am by under Uncategorized, Weather

Thursday was a beautiful day in Dayton & the Miami Valley, with highs in the lower 80s, low humidity and a good deal of sunshine. Today will be a little warmer, and we’ll also notice the humidity increasing in the later afternoon and evening hours. Despite this, most of the area will have another dry day, with a good deal of sunshine!

Friday night football starts tonight! Who is your team? I am a Fairmont High School grad, and we actually have our 20th reunion this weekend! Tonight Fairmont plays cross-town rival, Alter… and it should be a great night for Operation Football:

football

Saturday will be another very warm and humid day, and we’ll start to see the slight chance of a few showers late in the day. While not everyone will see rain Saturday, the chance is there that a few do. And most of the area has a good shot at rain on Sunday. We will have the best coverage Sunday, and there could be a few rounds of wet weather. There is even the chance of a few showers/t’storms on Labor Day. If you’re heading to Holiday at Home, be sure to keep Live Doppler 2HD handy on your phone!

event

Warm and humid will be the rule right through the long weekend!

Jamie
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Not as hot today, but still humid…

August 27th, 2014 at 6:37 am by under Weather

A slow-moving front is dropping through the Miami Valley today. It will still feel humid, but won’t be quite as hot as yesterday! We made it into the lower 90s:

almanac

Today, we’ll likely stay in the mid-80s for highs, but our dew points stay at sticky levels–in the mid-upper 60s. As the front moves through, there is the chance of a few showers and thunderstorms. Not everyone will see rain today, there will be many that stay dry… but if you do get a shower or thunderstorm, you could pick up some heavy rain rather quickly! One spot near the Fairfield Commons Mall picked up an inch of rain in less than an hour yesterday… while surrounding communities saw little, if any, rain:

DOPPLER EST

And here are some other totals sent in from our Weathercheckers:

RAIN MEASURED

It could be the same story today. The best chance of rain will be in the afternoon, although we couldn’t rule out an isolated shower through lunchtime:

FORECAST

Less humid air arrives tonight, and it will be quite pleasant Thursday, with highs in the lower 80s and low humidity. However, the break from the heat doesn’t last too long; Friday and Saturday we will heat back into the upper 80s/close to 90. The humidity also comes back over the weekend, and rain chances will be on the rise. It still looks like the best shot at rain will be Sunday.

Jamie
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Hot and humid for one more day, then changes…

August 26th, 2014 at 6:46 am by under Weather

We will continue to be in a hot and humid air mass, with a southerly flow ahead of a cold front today:

temps

We officially hit 89 yesterday, with just a few isolated showers in the area. Temperatures will make a run at 90 again today, with plenty of sunshine. We will continue a 20% chance of an isolated shower this afternoon, but as the cold front gets closer, the rain chance will go up. Especially this evening and overnight, a few spotty showers or even thunderstorms will be possible.

FORECAST

The front is a slow-mover, so it will still be in the area Wednesday… and we will continue the chance for a few showers or thunderstorms. It won’t be quite as hot, but it will still be humid. We will notice a big drop in humidity Wednesday night and Thursday, but temperatures will still be just above normal:

TEMP TREND

Over the holiday weekend, the humidity will increase again and the rain chances go back up. The best chance right now looks to be Sunday. There is a lot going on this weekend, so it’s an important forecast!

Jamie
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Hot and humid weather to continue this week…

August 25th, 2014 at 6:41 am by under Weather

We hit highs in the upper 80s on Sunday, and we expect similar conditions this afternoon. In fact, the next three days look to be fairly close to that 90-degree mark:

temps

We will enjoy plenty of sun this afternoon, but do have a slight chance of a pop-up shower or thunderstorm. It looks to be isolated, however, so most will end up staying dry. We’ve actually caught up on rainfall for the month and year… we are in good shape:

precip

Rain chances will continue to be low on Tuesday, but then increase Tuesday night and Wednesday as our next cold front arrives:

sfc

Scattered showers and thunderstorms look more likely mid-week, and this will be followed by a drop in temperature. Highs will be closer to normal (in the lower 80s) for the end of the week.

A look ahead to the holiday weekend: right now it looks a little unsettled, but not a wash-out. Scattered showers and thunderstorms with highs in the low 80s.

Jamie
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The heat is on…and the humidity

August 24th, 2014 at 5:45 pm by under Weather

If you were out today it certainly felt hotter than it actually was outside.  It’s all due to the muggy air mass overhead.  Middletown Airport did manage to hit 90 this afternoon but Dayton topped off at 88.

almanac

The heat index – what it actually feels like outside – was at or near 90 for much of the day.

TODAY HEAT INDEX

We have high dew points not only in Ohio but across much of the central and eastern part of the country.  These upper 60′s and 70 degree dew points make it feel muggy and are tropical like.  See you really didn’t need to spend money on a trip to Florida – the Florida weather came to us!  However not sure where the ocean view is????

HEAT WARNINGS CURRENT DEW POINTS

Dew points will still be high for tomorrow and the next few days.

MON 5PM DEW POINTS

The reason for this latest batch of heat and humidity is all thanks to a ridge of high pressure in the upper levels of the atmosphere.  This dome of high pressure will keep the humidity around through much of the week.

upper flow wednesday

Tomorrow will be much like today.  Slight chance for a bit of patchy fog in the morning, sunny skies, hot and humid.  There’s a slight chance we may see an isolated shower pop but most locations will be dry.

mON 9AM MON 2PM

Tuesday will be much of the same.  Sunny, hot and humid.  However later in the evening there’s a better chance of seeing some showers.

TUE 7AM TUE 7PM

Stay cool and stay hydrated!

Tara
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Summer makes a return

August 23rd, 2014 at 6:49 pm by under Weather

Today felt more like summer.  Highs were in the upper 80′s but the humidity made it feel worse.

almanac

Dew point values are in the lower 70′s.  That means it’s sticky, muggy, uncomfortable or whatever adjective you would like to use.

The reason our temperatures and dew points are so high is because of our jet stream or storm track.  There’s a big area of high pressure in the upper levels of the atmosphere.  This will allow heat to build across the nation’s midsection.  This pattern is going to stick around for the next several days.

upper flow sat 8am upper flow wednesday

Highs will be approaching 90 degrees through Wednesday.

Right now we have a few spotty showers popping around the area and a large batch of rain to our west.

radar

This batch of rain is moving south-southeastward.  Many of our  computer models are suggesting it’s going to weaken and miss the Dayton area.  We will likely see some clouds from this system but the rain will hold off and may clip our western counties.

Tomorrow morning we’ll start off the day with some patchy fog.  Look for another humid and warm day with highs approaching 90 degrees.

sun 8am Sun 5pm

There’s a slight chance we may see an isolated shower pop up in the afternoon.  This may occur through the next several days.  But not everyone will see rain.

Stay cool!

Tara

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More thunderstorms… flooding potential

August 22nd, 2014 at 8:53 am by under Weather

Once again, the morning drive is plagued with a steady rain, and imbedded heavy downpours. Parts of the Miami Valley have seen 2-3″ of rain over the past day, and with saturated ground and rain still falling… there are flooding concerns:

rain

flood

Flood Advisories highlight the ongoing high-water: ponding on roadways, standing water in low-lying or poor drainage areas. Localized minor flooding will continue through the rest of the morning in these areas. ALL of the Miami Valley is in a Flash Flood WATCH through 10pm.

The steadier rain will be likely through early afternoon. It does look like we’ll have the best shot at some dry periods in the mid to late afternoon hours, much like yesterday. BUT a spotty shower or thunderstorm will still be possible during this time. Heavy rain will accompany the thunderstorms, too.

We still have a decent shot at some scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday–best chance in the afternoon. An upper level ridge will build in for the weekend and start of next week. This will really bring in the heat and humidity, as rain chances die down:

500

Highs will be up  near 90, and potenitally into the lower 90s Monday and Tuesday. With the high dew points, our heat index, or “feels like” temperature, will be in the  mid-upper 90s. This will persist until mid-week, when the next system will bring in another chance for rain and cooler temperatures.

Jamie
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Showers and thunderstorms at times, then HOT

August 21st, 2014 at 9:19 am by under Weather

We’re dealing with several rounds of showers and thunderstorms over the next few days. An active summer weather pattern has developed for the Miami Valley… and we will likely feel the hottest temperatures of the summer over the next several days.

Rain and thunderstorms will be most likely today through mid-afternoon. During the latter half of the day, I do expect more dry time. Tonight is in question, as a complex of thunderstorms may develop to our northwest and dive down our way. If this materializes, we could see some stronger wind gusts as they move in. While a lot is still uncertain, we have been included in an elevated risk for severe storms:

SVR

Keep tabs on the rain on LIVE DOPPLER 2HD all day long!

Heat and humidity build for the end of the week and the weekend. Highs will be in the upper 80s on Friday, and near 90 degrees for Saturday and Sunday… and even up there early next week. Look for the heat to break mid-week-ish, as a cold front moves in with rain and drops temps!

Jamie
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A mostly-dry day, still hot and humid

August 20th, 2014 at 7:14 am by under Weather

After overnight rain and thunderstorms impacted the Miami Valley, we are settling back into a quieter weather pattern for the day ahead. We still do have a cold front to our west, which will sag down on the area today:

temps

It will basically stall-out over the region, and keep us with at least a 20% chance of an isolated shower or t’storm popping up this afternoon. But most will miss out on rain. Highs will be in the mid-upper 80s, and it will still be very humid.

The chance for showers and thunderstorms goes back up late tonight. The front will slowly lift north as a warm front on Thursday. This will keep us unsettled, with showers and thunderstorms likely tomorrow:

forecast

On the south side of the front, and with an upper level ridge building in… we are really going to heat up for the end of the week and the weekend. Take a look at this stretch:

TEMP TREND

Three 90-degree days in a row is officially a “heat wave”… and we may be getting a late one soon!

Jamie
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Showers and thunderstorms late day…

August 19th, 2014 at 10:02 am by under Weather

We have a cold front approaching from the west today. Ahead of it, we will be dealing with a warm and very humid afternoon. Highs will reach the mid-80s, and dew points will be in the upper 60s to near 70-degrees. This will make it feel even hotter! Heat index values will be up near 90-degrees.

We expect the chance for a few showers and thunderstorms to fire up as the front gets closer. Initially, in the late afternoon, these will be fairly isolated. But showers and thunderstorms will fill in during the evening and overnight hours. Any of them will have the potential to produce heavy rain, and a few could also be strong to severe. A portion of the Miami Valley is included in an Elevated Risk for severe storms:

Severe Outlook

Damaging winds and hail will be the main threat. The threat will die down as the night goes on, and dry weather returns for the Wednesday morning commute. The front stalls south of us for a day, before moving back north as  a warm front on Thursday. This will allow even warmer air to build in for the end of the week and weekend. We could see 90-degree highs by Sunday.

Jamie
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More humid this week, and still unsettled…

August 18th, 2014 at 8:23 am by under Weather

We have a slow-moving area of low pressure to our south this morning, and our southern counties have been dealing with a few small showers to start the day:

temps

As we heat up this afternoon, the potential for showers will continue, and even increase a little, with heavy downpours  possible. Any shower or thunderstorm that develops will also be a slower-moving cell… so some localized flooding could be a concern later today. Watch for ponding water if you are out traveling. Notice how the rain will be scattered–not everyone will see it:

forecast

A wave of low pressure will move in from the west on Tuesday, increasing the chance for rain late in the day. Widespread severe weather is not expected, there could be a few cells that do produce stronger winds or even hail. And the threat for heavy downpours will continue, as moisture will be plentiful in the region. Our dew points will be in the upper 60s, to near 70… and it will feel quite sticky!

While clouds and the potential for rain will keep temperatures close to normal today and tomorrow, we have a warming trend for the rest of the week:

TEMP TREND

Summer is back, just in time for the first full week of school in many communities! Good luck to all students and staff this week!

Jamie
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Warmer but unsettled

August 17th, 2014 at 5:48 pm by under Weather

We had a few early morning sprinkles around parts of the area today.  The bulk of the rain stayed south of the Dayton region.  There’s a very slim chance we may see a spotty shower pop tonight but again most of the rain should stay south.  We stayed cloudy for most of the day but our temperatures were just a touch warmer than yesterday.

almanac

I’ve lowered our rain chances tomorrow.  It looks like we’ll see mainly cloudy skies for much of the day with just a slight chance for a few scattered showers.

mon 9am mon 8pm

You’ll begin to notice the humidity values climb tomorrow.  Right now our dew points ware in the low to middle 60′s.  Those will rise a few more degrees for tomorrow.

dew points

It looks like Tuesday will bring us the better chance for rain and even a few thunderstorms.  I think many of the lawns could use it!  It’s been a while since we’ve seen a decent rain over the entire area.

Tue 7am tue 7p

Next week looks like summer will make a return.  Temperatures will climb into the middle and even upper 80′s.

WED 850 TEMPS

Along with the warmer highs we’ll also see several chances for showers and thunderstorms.  Stay cool and dry next week!

Tara
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More scattered showers for the weekend

August 16th, 2014 at 5:55 pm by under Weather

We saw some early morning sunshine before the clouds moved in and stayed here for the rest of the day.  We even had a few showers pop on the radar.

Here’s a look at the 5:45pm radar image:

radar

Scattered showers will be possible through the early evening otherwise we’ll stay mostly cloudy.

cloudy troy

It’s also a little more humid.  Dew points have climbed into the middle 60′s.

dew points

We have an area of low pressure to the west of us that’s keeping us cloudy, cool and unsettled.

surface map

This storm will slowly progress eastward through the weekend.  Keep the umbrella handy just in case you get caught in a shower tomorrow.

sat 8p Sun 8a

We’ll see a few breaks in the rain on Sunday so it won’t be a complete washout.

Sun 2p Sun 8p

There’s a chance we may see some heavy rain at times late Sunday night and Monday.

Mon 7a Mon 7p

Next week looks like summer may make a return.  Temperatures will climb into the middle and even upper 80′s.  Along with the warmer temperatures comes several chances for rain.

Have a great weekend.

Tara
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A fall-like finish to the week, but warming for the weekend…

August 15th, 2014 at 7:44 am by under Uncategorized, Weather

High pressure is building in from the northwest, and it’s cleared skies this morning! Along with relatively calm winds, we’ve seen temperatures tank!

temps

A lot of spots have hit the upper 40s…

Springfield: 48
Richmond: 46
Piqua: 49
Celina: 47

…and it is our coolest morning of the month! The last time we felt 40-degree temps was way back in June. While it is a little chilly, the record low for today is 45-degrees… so we don’t expect to officially get THAT cold. This afternoon will be pleasantly warm, as we climb into the mid-70s under mostly sunny skies. Just spectacular weather for outdoor activities! If you are heading down to Mason for tennis… it doesn’t get much better than this:

tennis

The high shifts east of the area over the weekend. This will allow a southerly flow to develop, and warmer conditions will build in. We expect 80s for Saturday and Sunday, with increasing humidity for the second half of the weekend. The rain chance will also be going up, and we could see scattered showers and thunderstorms around Sunday and Monday.

Jamie
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Cooler and less humid today

August 13th, 2014 at 7:26 am by under Weather

A chilly start this morning.  Temperatures are in the upper 50′s with a wind out of the northwest making it feel like a crisp fall day.  We are about 10-12 degrees cooler than yesterday morning.  We had some clouds this morning but now they are already beginning to move out of the Dayton area.

wed 8am 24hour temp change

We’ll see sunny skies for the afternoon but we’ll still be below normal.  Our normal high is around 83.  We’ll stay in the 70′s for the rest of the week.

cool temps wed 6pm

A weak disturbance passes through our region later tonight.  We’ll see a few clouds and there’s a slight chance we may see a few spotty showers after midnight toward daybreak Thursday.

thu 7am Thu 12pm

Temperatures will stay below normal for the week before a warmup this weekend.

850 temps Wed 850 temps sat

Along with the warmer air we’ll also see the chance for a rain by the end of the weekend.

Have a great week!
Tara
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Cooler less humid air is on the way

August 12th, 2014 at 5:14 am by under Weather

We’re dealing with some patchy fog this morning.  Visibilities haven’t dropped too much this morning but be aware of a some fog in low lying areas.

patchy fog

We still have humid conditions in place this morning and for much of the day.  There’s some good news though….look at the dew points to the west they are in the 50′s.  We’ll see that air mass move in later tonight and tomorrow.

midwest dew points

A cold front will track through the area today.  We’ll see a chance for showers and storms.  I don’t think we’ll see as much coverage as yesterday but if you’re out be aware a shower or storm could pop up.

Tue 8am tue 5pm

rain percentage

Yesterday some areas saw a good soaking.  Showers and thunderstorms developed in the humid air mass.

weathercheckers rain

But we did have a great sunset!  Thanks to Lisa for sending this photo via Report!t.

sunset Lisa Hampshire Englewood

After the cold front moves through temperatures and humidity levels drop.  High pressure builds across the area for Wednesday.

wed 8am wed 5pm

We’ll continue to see highs below normal through the rest of the week.

temps this week

Long range computer models suggest we’ll see a warm up for the weekend.

Have a great day and don’t forget to look up!  The Perseid meteor shower is peaking.  However the full moon may limit viewing.  All you have to do is look up at the northeast part of the sky.

perseids

Tara
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Humid with rain likely today

August 11th, 2014 at 6:02 am by under Weather

Showers and thunderstorms will be likely today especially after noon.  We’re tracking an area of low pressure moving through the Miami Valley today.  It will be muggy with dew points in the upper 60′s and lower 70′s.  The “frizz factor”  will be high today and tonight.

Mon 6pm dew points

Showers and thunderstorms will be likely through much of the day.  The best chance will be between 2pm and 7pm.

rain percentage

We’ll see mostly cloudy skies through the day today with high humidity values as an area of low pressure tracks through the Miami Valley.

Mon 8am Mon 5pm

We’ll see another chance for a few showers and storms tomorrow as a cold front tracks through the area.

Tue 8am Tue 5pm

Humidity values start out high tomorrow but once the front moves through it will turn less humid and cooler.

wed 12am dew points

Temperatures will drop into the 70′s as high pressure keeps us high and dry for the middle of the week.

temps this week surface map today

The Perseid meteor shower will peak in a few days.  However the full “super moon” is going to put a damper on the show.  Because of the full moon we may not see as many meteors as we usually do.  Skies will clear late Tuesday night and early Wednesday just in time to see some shooting stars.

perseids

Have a great day!

Tara
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