What a beautiful morning! Even though it was frosty–with temperatures in the 30s–we had clear skies and a beautiful view of the full moon:
The April full moon is known as the Pink Moon, because of the wild flowers that are typically growing at this time of year… also called the Sprouting Grass Moon, Egg Moon and Fish Moon by different tribes.
The cold front that slowly moved through yesterday brought a nice soaking to the Miami Valley. Here’s a look at rainfall totals:
We are now back above normal for monthly and seasonal rain… but running just below normal for yearly rain. However, not THAT far below normal:
I think we’re in a pretty good place right now! Today, the rain chance is low–just a 20-30% shot–and mainly across our northern counties. A disturbance will just brush those areas this afternoon, and may kick off a brief passing shower:
But it’s really lacking moisture, so most of the area will stay dry.
High pressure builds back in overnight, and skies will clear again… so another frosty morning Friday is likely. After a cold start in the 30s, we’ll see a nice rebound Friday afternoon as we climb into the low 60s for highs. The mild 60s stick around for the weekend, too, and it does look to be even warmer next week. Rain chances increase slightly on Sunday… but at this point it does not look like a wash-out!
When we went on-air on WDTN at 4:30 this morning, most of the Miami Valley was still quite mild. Lots of 50s and even 60s on the 5am temperature map:
But there is MUCH cooler air just west of us! This will take over all of the region, as a cold front continues to move through… and winds shift in from the northwest:
The front is not only bringing the wind shift and colder air… but also rain. As expected, we’re in for a wet start to the day, and the chance of showers will even linger through lunchtime:
But Futuretrac does show us drying out during the mid-afternoon… beyond 2 or 3pm. So it looks dry for the drive home from work:
Hopefully the rain will help to settle some of the pollen! Yesterday with the continued dry conditions and a developing breeze– tree pollen got into the “very high” category. Today’s rain may help to reduce the pollen count by washing pollen from the air… so there may be some relief. Plus, overnight, we will see clouds break a bit, and with the colder airmass we will drop into the mid-30s. That means patchy frost will be a possibility through mid-morning Thursday. Thursday afternoon will be cool, and we can’t rule out a spotty shower especially north of town, as a cold front grazes our northern counties.
Yesterday was an absolutely gorgeous day across the Miami Valley… full sunshine, and highs reached 68-degrees. The one problem–the tree pollen. If you have seasonal allergies, you know it’s up there. We’ve seen moderate-to-high levels of tree pollen over the past couple weeks. Today, expect another nice one… but if you’re going to spend some time outside & have these allergies, today is not a day to skip on the medicine!
We will see more clouds today than yesterday, but still expect a high UV Index:
Today’s daylight hours look mostly dry, but showers and thunderstorms will approach our western counties late in the afternoon & into the evening hours:
A better chance of rain comes overnight into early Wednesday as a strong cold front moves through. The Wednesday morning drive looks a bit rainy:
It looks like a general 1/2″ of rain will fall… with some spots seeing closer to 3/4″. During the afternoon, the cold front heads east and the rain will move away with it… but then we’ll see the cool air move in. Highs will only be in the lower 50s, so about 20-degrees cooler than today. Yes, we head back down… and could even see a little patchy frost Thursday or Friday mornings. But the 60s are back by Friday afternoon, and near-normal temperatures are expected over the weekend. There is also the slight chance of showers this weekend… so stay with us as we fine-tune that forecast…
Temperatures this morning will drop into the mid and upper 30s across the Miami Valley, and with clear skies and light winds, this is a set-up for patchy frost formation. We do have a Frost Advisory in effect for the entire area through 9 am. Not quite as cold as yesterday, however, when we had a good freeze for much of the Valley–official low was 28-degrees! After the cold morning, sunshine and a light southerly flow will have temperatures climbing quickly as we head through the day. Expect highs in the mid-60s, right around normal for this time of year!
We’ll see south winds increase on Tuesday, ahead of a cold front. This will help boost high temps up near 70 Tuesday afternoon. Most of Tuesday will be dry, with some sun to start and increasing afternoon clouds. By late afternoon/evening, we’ll start to see the slight chance of a few spotty showers or thunderstorms. This chance then peaks overnight into early Wednesday morning, as seen on Futuretrac:
This front does have a push of cooler air behind it, and temps will dip mid-week. Expect highs in the mid-50s Wednesday and Thursday, with overnight lows in the 30s… and another frost threat!
Karrie Rossmiller and I went to Mix 107.7′s Time Warp Prom over the weekend–what a blast it was!! It is THE best totally 80s party around. One of the best parts of the night was seeing all the rad 80s outfits & chatting with the people wearing them about how they came up with the outfit/where they bought it, etc. Thanks to all for making it such a fun night… here are some of the cool people we met!
A strong cold front came through the Miami Valley early this morning. It brought with it steady rain, with an embedded line of torrential rainfall… and a wind shift, which is allowing for COLD air to take over. When I came to work this morning, we were in the lower 70s… take a look at how temperatures have played out over the past few hours:
And look at the amazing temperature spread across the Miami Valley this morning:
The cold air will win out… most of this afternoon will be in the 40s, as the cold air continues to move into the region. We’ll still be windy, with lots of clouds, and we can’t rule out a few spotty showers today. A far cry from the 81-degrees we saw yesterday afternoon! We had ice cream and went to the park for some fun… because I knew the warm conditions weren’t going to last…
It’s hard to believe that was less than 24-hours ago! I hope you got to enjoy it, too!
Now that the heaviest/steadiest rain is over, we’ll just deal with a few spotty showers through early afternoon. Expect a lot of cloud cover today, and windy conditions will continue as winds gust to 40mph. Clouds do look to linger tonight, as the breeze stays up… so this will help to limit frost on Saturday morning. Temps will still drop into the mid-upper 30s, however. AND high pressure then builds in Saturday afternoon, helping to break up the cloud cover:
It will still be a cooler day, with highs near 50… and with more clearing overnight… Sunday morning temps could be down near freezing! So be sure to protect those plants you’ve already got out there… bring IN what you can. After that frigid start Sunday morning, we’ll start a warming trend and be back in the 60s for the first half of next week.
After a warm and windy day we’re tracking storms out to the west of the Miami Valley. Right now as of 7pm there are no watches or warnings in effect for the area and no warnings with the line in central Indiana.
The latest discussion from the Storm Prediction Center says that the watch will likely be dropped early to the west and another one will not be issued farther west.
Here’s the latest look from our future trac forecast model that we run in house here at WDTN. Like we’ve been saying yesterday and this morning the line will likely reach the Indiana/Ohio state line by 10 or 11pm
The main threat with these thunderstorms will be gusty winds at times and moderate to heavy rain. We may see wind gusts with some of these thunderstorms near 40-50 mph. There may also be some localized minor flooding due to seeing so much rain all at once. The moderate to heavy rain will continue through the Friday morning rush hour but will quickly move east of the area by lunchtime.
Temperatures will fall throughout the day. We’ll see our highs early on Friday into the 50′s the fall into the 40′s for the afternoon with breezy westerly winds.
High pressure takes over for the weekend. This means lots of sunshine but cooler temperatures.
Lows will be in the 30′s Saturday and Sunday morning and highs will stay in the 50′s for the afternoon.
We are starting off with a strong southerly flow this morning, as the warm front is now north of the area. Winds will gust as high as 35-40 mph this afternoon, but this (in combination with some sun) will have temperatures soaring. We are going for highs almost 20-degrees above normal:
Most of the day will be dry, although we couldn’t rule out an isolated thunderstorm. The better chance for thunderstorms–some of which could be severe–will be overnight. A strong cold front will move into the region, and a line–perhaps more than one line–of thunderstorms will affect us. As Tara mentioned in yesterday evening’s blog… the timing is typically when storms tend to weaken (early morning hours)… but there is a lot of energy to work with. So the SPC continues to have the area in an Elevated Risk for severe storms, with a Moderate Risk JUST off to our west (to coincide with those prime hours of instability):
We will keep you posted of any watches and warnings on WDTN, Channel 2 and www.wdtn.com. If you have a NOAA weather radio, be sure it’s plugged in tonight, as the threat of strong storms is highest when most will be sleeping. Right now the storms look to move into our northwest counties after 11pm and then continue to affect the area for several hours as they work from west to east.
Strong thunderstorms will be over by the Friday morning commute, but we still could have some rain in the area. Windy conditions will also continue, and it will be much cooleras we finish the week. It looks like we’ll hit an early high near 50-degrees, with afternoon temperatures falling into the 40s. Over the weekend, nighttime lows will drop into the mid-30s… take note if you’ve done early planting, as there could be some patchy frost.
We’ve seen an active weather pattern the last few days and it will finally come to an end as a strong cold front moves through tomorrow night.
Today we saw the warm front lift northward. Most of the northern half of the Miami Valley stayed in the 60′s for the afternoon while the southern and central portions jumped into the lower 70′s. You can see where the warm front set up – north of it highs were only in the 50′s while south of it temperatures soared into the middle 70′s and even 80′s.
As of Wednesday evening there are some severe storms firing in northern Illinois and Indiana. Those are going to lift north of the Miami Valley. So tonight we’re going to be dry but tomorrow night is a different story.
First out ahead of the cold front tomorrow we’ll see VERY windy conditions. Sustained winds will be near 10-20 mph but wind gusts will reach 30-35 mph. Here’s a look at one of our computer models is suggesting what the sustained wind speeds will be.
These strong winds will bring warm air northward. Temperatures tomorrow will soar into the upper 70′s close to 80 degrees.
With all of the warm air and energy in the upper levels of the atmosphere thunderstorms are going to flare up to our west. By the early evening strong thunderstorms will form in northern Illinois and Indiana again. This time (unlike tonight) they will form a large line and head eastward.
Some of the storms within this line will be on the stronger side. The Storm Prediction Center has the Miami Valley in an elevated risk of severe weather. Keep in mind – *most* of the day on Thursday will be dry. This line of storms will move through after 11pm Thursday.
The one thing we have to watch is timing. The line of storms will be moving through after the sun has set and we’ll lose the daytime heating. On the other hand there is a lot of energy in the upper levels of the atmosphere. Basically we have to watch and see if the storms hang onto their strength as they move eastward or if they will weaken before they get here.
It’s a good idea to make sure your NOAA Weather Radio is plugged in and ready to go. Meteorologist Jamie Jarosik and I will be watching this closely. She’ll have the latest computer model trends tomorrow morning on 2News Today.
We had thunderstorms with heavy rain move through the Miami Valley overnight. The power went out at my house, and I’m told a little over 400 DP&L customers in Montgomery county went without power due to a lightning strike. Scattered activity will taper off during the later morning hours, and a lull in precipitation will continue into the early afternoon. A stalled front sits south of us this morning, and we are in a cooler airmass:
That front starts to head back north as a warm front this afternoon. We will, again, see a pretty good spread of temperatures… with cooler highs across the north, and warmer readings in the southern counties:
As we get to peak-heating hours… the potential will be there for a few more showers and thunderstorms to develop. The coverage and strength of today’s activity will likely be less than yesterday, when we did have quite a few hail reports:
Green dots = 1″ or larger
You can always share your photos with us, by using the Report It feature at www.wdtn.com.
We will be completely in the warm sector on Thursday, with highs getting close to 80-degrees… and windy conditions. We can’t completely rule out a spotty shower or thunderstorm during the day, but there will also be a lot of dry weather to enjoy. A stronger cold front is still set to arrive early Friday, bringing in more showers and thunderstorms in the morning… tapering to showers during the later morning. This front will also drop temperatures, as we expect early highs in the upper 50s, and then falling temperatures in the afternoon. The weekend looks dry, but cool!
A cold front just west of us this morning will move into the Miami Valley today–slowly–bringing in the chance of showers and thunderstorms. This morning, there is an area of rain northwest of us on Live Doppler 2HD… here is the 7am shot:
Our Futuretrac forecast model seems to have a pretty good handle on the day ahead. The best chance of rain through the first part of the day will be across the northern counties (although coverage doesn’t look quite this good):
The threat of severe weather through early afternoon is minimal. Around lunch, we couldn’t rule out a spotty shower or two, but it does look like a general lull in the activity. Late this afternoon, as the front moves into our southern counties… with daytime heating & increasing instability… we are likely to see new development. There’s even the chance of thunderstorms later today, especially across that area:
There is a slight chance a few of the thunderstorms could have some stronger winds or hail… mainly in southeast Green county… and portions of Butler, Warren and Clinton counties.
With the front splitting the area today, we are going to have a pretty good temperature spread. Here are the forecast afternoon highs… generally cool in the far north, and warm in the far south… mild in the middle:
I’ve circled the area included in the slight risk for stronger storms. There is still a lot in question about whether this will occur, so be sure to stay tuned to WDTN and www.wdtn.com!
The front stalls south & then lifts back north on Wednesday… so we will stick with above-normal temperatures and unsettled weather for the next few days.
Once again, we find ourselves in the “warm sector” of a storm system. A warm front is north of us… and southerly winds have developed. Take a look at how mild we are this morning:
Breezy conditions will continue this afternoon, and we’ll get even warmer than we did yesterday (Sunday’s high was 67-degrees). Expect lower 70s this afternoon, with more clouds than sun. Even though we’ll see clouds, the chance for any rain is low today… we will likely stay dry for the daylight hours. BUT as pictured on the surface map above, there is a cold front to the west, which will move into the region tonight. THAT will kick off scattered showers and thunderstorms after midnight and into Tuesday morning:
Tuesday afternoon also looks unsettled, as the front slowly moves just south of the area… then stalls out. We will be a touch cooler Tuesday, with the front south & the chance for rain–highs in the upper 60s. THEN, the front heads back north as a warm front, which will do two things: 1) keep us with a chance of rain… and 2) keep temperatures above normal. The 70s are back for Wednesday and Thursday… with Thursday being the warmest day this week. Thursday does have the best potential to see mostly dry weather, as we could be in the warm sector again for a good part of the day. We will watch the trends & keep you posted!
Did you enjoy today’s weather? Temperatures are on the rise not only for the weekend but for much of next week as well. We will see more cloud cover and several chances for rain next week but there will be some sunny moments.
Around 5pm today we saw temperatures soar into the middle 60′s which is above normal and about 15 degrees warmer than what we had yesterday.
A warm front has lifted northward and with it more high level clouds too. We’ll see those clouds stick around tonight. Temperatures won’t fall too much either. Lows by tomorrow morning will be in the 50′s. A big difference from the 30′s we saw this morning .
Temperatures continue to rise for the next couple of days. We’ll see highs in the lower 70′s for much of next week. However we’ll be in an active weather pattern. This means several chances for rain and lots of clouds. One of two cold fronts this week moves through late Monday night and early Tuesday. Most of Monday will be dry, breezy and warm.
The cold front gets closer to the Miami Valley late Monday night and this means our rain chances will increase. Rain will be likely by Tuesday morning. The air behind this cold front isn’t all that cold so we’ll continue to see temperatures in the 70′s for the rest of the week.
A stronger cold front moves through the area Thursday night. Behind this front there is a big difference in the temperatures. Highs will drop back into the 50′s for the end of the week and next weekend.
There’s a bit of a buzz about our chances for seeing the Northern Lights tonight. It is a little unusual for auroras to be seen this far south in Ohio however space scientists suggest the solar energy that will hit the Earth tonight is going to be rather strong.
The chance for us to see auroras stems back to Thursday when a coronal mass ejection (CME) or solar flare left the sun. Click here to see a video of the CME. Now it takes a couple of days for this solar energy to travel through space and get close to the Earth. When the electrically charged particles head into the Earth’s atmosphere they collide with other gas particles and we see the brilliant colors dancing across the sky.
Now I want to point out we are on the southern fringe of the line. There’s a chance we may not see them this far south. If you want to take a look tonight find a dark spot, away from any city lights, look up and be patient. From the research I did it appears that the energy should reach the Earth’s atmosphere sometime after 9 pm eastern. I did find a service through NOAA that provides email alerts. Click here to see the site. If you happen to catch the northern lights please remember to send a photo using our report!t feature at wdtn.com
Now the question becomes will the clouds clear out across the Miami Valley…yes I think they will just in time. Clouds are beginning to break up right now and we’ll continue to see the clear throughout much of the overnight. There will be an increase in clouds by Sunday morning. This batch will be due to a warm front heading this way.
This warm front will bring us VERY warm temperatures again for Sunday afternoon and much of next week as well. Look for breezy winds during the afternoon and some sunshine. Those winds will help boost our temperatures into the upper 60′s which is about 10 degrees above normal.
Most of Sunday will be dry however there’s a slight chance for a few isolated showers Monday. But the warm weather continues for most of the week.
Temperatures soar ahead of the cold front but once the cold front gets closer our rain chances also increase.
Finally the front gets a little closer to use on Tuesday. This means a much better chance for rain Tuesday.
Rainfall was plentiful across the Miami Valley over the past two days. Here’s a look at some of the totals:
Notice the bullseye of 2+” north of Dayton. Some of our northern counties are included, and that is where water is running very high. A flood warning is in effect for Miami & Shelby Counties, along the Great Miami River. Minor flooding is likely near the west side of Custenborder field in Sidney:
The river should crest this evening & fall below flood stage overnight. Measurable rain is pretty much done for the day, although we can’t rule out a spotty sprinkle or brief light shower later this afternoon.
The BIG story today is the cold air that has moved in. At 7am, we dropped down to 39-degrees in Dayton… which is about 15-degrees colder than the same time yesterday. The chill will last into the afternoon, with highs running about 10-degrees below normal with breezy conditions. And although we won’t be fighting soaking rains at the Dragon’s rescheduled home-opener this evening… it will be quite cold! Be sure you have some warm ball park attire
Saturday also looks to be a cool day, but then some recovery for the second half of the weekend & into next week:
Yesterday, as expected, the northern counties took the brunt of the severe weather and heavy rain. Here’s a look at storm reports and rainfall totals:
Because rain over two inches fell in some locations in the north, we do have a FLOOD WATCH in effect up that way today into tonight:
We are likely to see two rounds of rain today–the one that is occurring this morning, and another later this afternoon. The current rain does have some heavier areas of rain… which may slow things a bit for the morning drive. There is a huge temperature spread across the Miami Valley this morning, with a front draped right across the middle:
So highs this afternoon will range from near 60-degrees across the far north… to the lower 70s in our southern counties. The morning rain will should taper off during the late morning hours and the lull will linger into the early afternoon. After 3 or 4pm, we expect a line of thunderstorms developing along a cold front to move into the western counties. This will spread east through the late afternoon into the early evening… and THIS is the line that could produce a little hail and stronger winds. BUT the SPC has now removed all of the Miami Valley from the Elevated Risk for severe weather.
As suspected, cooler air and extensive cloud cover will help limit the severe coverage here. Still, we will keep you posted of any warnings. As we’ve been discussing all week, rain and possibly t’storms will impact Dragon’s Opening Day… so there could at least be a delay. We have team coverage of weather AND opening day on WDTN, Channel 2 at noon and again this evening, beginning at 5. We will also do severe updates, as needed.
That is the warmest we’ve been since September! We were able to get so high because the sun came out and remained with us through most of the day. No showers/t’storms developed, either… so temps soared!
Today, it looks like the same set-up:
But we do have a slightly higher rain chance. This morning some widely scattered showers have developed, so don’tModels sag that front a bit more south into our area this afternoon… and the best chance of thunderstorms will be closest to the boundary. Here’s how t’storm chances will play out today:
Even though there’s only a 30% chance in the Dayton area… any thunderstorm that develops does have the potential to be strong to severe. Here is the ELEVATED risk area, highlighted by the SPC:
The main threat will be strong winds… but large hail is also possible. We will keep you posted on-air and online. On Thursday, the strong cold front will increase the chance of thunderstorms even more so and any of them could be severe again.
Yesterday, I got to go speak with students at Jane Chance Elementary School in Miamisburg all about severe weather and how to read weather maps. We had a great time, and they were so sharp–asking fantastic questions. Thanks to the school for having me!
A stalled front remains north of the Miami Valley, and we continue to enjoy the “warm sector” of this storm system. Yes, it is breezy… but the southerly winds have really been pumping in the mild air. Take a look at yesterday’s highs in the region:
That 72-degrees is more than ten degrees above normal for Dayton. Today, we’ll likely be running 15-degrees above normal, with a high in the mid-70s. This morning, winds are relatively calm, but they are going to increase again this afternoon… making for another breezy day. The focal point for more showers and a few thunderstorms will be along that stalled front, so areas north of Dayton stand the best chance at seeing rain today. Here is what our Futuretrac model is forecasting for this afternoon:
I am keeping the rain chance around 30% today. Tomorrow, the chance increases slightly… especially in the afternoon and evening. And even more so as a strong cold front moves through the area on Thursday:
During the Wednesday to Thursday time frame, the Storm Prediction Center has placed the Miami Valley in an ELEVATED risk for severe weather. We will continue to monitor the storm as it heads our way and bring you updates on WDTN, Channel 2 and wdtn.com as needed.
Behind the cold front, colder air will work into the Miami Valley… check out the 24-hour temperature change this morning:
People in Fargo, Rapid City & Denver are in shock with that drop in temperature… and windy conditions to go along with it. We’ll feel it here on Friday.
When I left for vacation, I still had some snow in the forecast… but I am SO happy to come back to talk about warmer weather and the shower and thunderstorm chances! I hope you all had a great week last week… we had a blast on our trip to Florida. Got to see some old friends, the weather was fantastic, and the kids enjoyed their time on the beach!
While time off is always nice, I do love routine… so it is nice to be back at it today
A front is sitting just north of the Miami Valley. A few light showers moved through our southern counties early this morning, but they have dissipated and we are back to dry conditions. Notice the area of rain to our west:
Most of that stays north of us, but there is a 30% chance of a shower or thunderstorm as we head into late morning/early afternoon. The best chance of rain today is across the northern counties, closer to the front:
That front stays north of us through the next few days… which means we will continue to be breezy and unseasonably mild. But in the “warm sector”… we will also carry a slight chance of showers/t’storms each day. Here is how those rain chances play out this week:
Notice the peak on Thursday… that is a cold front coming through. We will have to watch for the potential for stronger storms late Wednesday and into Thursday. Stay tuned. Temperatures will turn cooler after that front comes through, so highs will only be in the lower 50s Friday into the first part of the weekend.
So it’s Friday and like many people I am pumped for the weekend! I hope the weather forecast is making you excited too. I’ve been talking about a warm up all week for the weekend and here it is. First today – high pressure builds across the area bringing lots of sunshine to the area. We’ll see temperatures into the low to middle 50′s which is a few degrees below normal for this time of year.
Tonight will be chilly once again with lows near the freezing mark. But this will likely be the last chilly night at least for the next 7 days.
A warm front will lift northward on Saturday. This means warmer temperatures will head into the Miami Valley for the afternoon. Skies will be partly cloudy but the one thing you’ll notice will be the winds. They’ll be sustained at 10-15 miles per hour but may gust to near 20.
The cold front gets closer on Sunday and that means a chance for showers. The rain threat could come as early as Sunday morning.
We’re going to see more rain chances for next week as a well as warmer temperatures. And by warmer I mean 70′s!
Temperatures climb into the 70′s for Tuesday and Wednesday but we’ll see showers and thunderstorms possible with all of the warmer air.
This morning we’re seeing a thick cloud deck overhead. Temperatures aren’t as cold as they were the last couple of mornings but some spots are in the upper 20′s. The clouds will be with us for the next several hours and eventually this afternoon we’ll see a mix of sun and clouds.
If you’re heading to Great American Ball Park for the Reds game you’ll see a bit more cloud cover. Temperatures by first pitch will be in the upper 40′s but quickly rise into the 50′s for the afternoon.
Clouds begin to clear later tonight. Temperatures will still be on the chilly side but will not be as cold as the last couple of mornings. Eventually temperatures rise for the weekend and next week. Looks like spring has finally sprung
The warmer temperatures will last into the end of the weekend and for early next week as well. We will see more unsettled weather though with several rain chances Sunday through Wednesday. Until then enjoy the dry conditions!
On Friday another area of high pressure noses southward. This means sunny skies once again and highs in the middle 50′s. Low pressure gets closer for the weekend and out ahead of it winds really pick up out of the south and southwest. This means we’ll see a breezy day Saturday and highs rise into the 60′s.
Temperatures rise for early next week but there are several chances for rain and even a few thunderstorms. Stay tuned. You can always get the latest forecast by heading to wdtn.com on your mobile device as well.