Thunderstorms Monday and Tuesday

July 6th, 2014 at 5:50 pm by under Weather

We had a few scattered showers this morning.  Didn’t really amount to much around the Miami Valley but enough to leave spots on the car and wet pavement.   We did see a lot of clouds this morning but as promised some sunshine came out this afternoon.

Humidity levels are too bad here right now but look out to the west.  Dew points are in the upper 60′s and 70′s.  This means sticky conditions tomorrow and Tuesday.

current dew points

The muggy air will play a role in our thunderstorm chances for tomorrow.  We’ll see a cold front approach the area and with the humid conditions we’ll see showers and thunderstorms fire up.  The first chance of rain will be in the morning on Monday.  We’ll see a break and then another round of showers and thunderstorms will fire up.  It’s this second round in the afternoon that I’m slightly concerned about.  We’re under a slight risk for severe weather from the Storm Prediction Center.  This means in the afternoon we may see some stronger storms with gusty winds and hail.

svr risk

Right now it looks like a few showers during the early morning.

Mon 7am

A break for the mid-morning/early afternoon before a line of showers and storms develop.

Mon 2pm

Some of our computer models are suggesting the storms fire right in the middle of the Miami Valley and move south.  It all depends on some of the boundaries that are left over from the morning rain.

There’s another round of showers and storms expected on Tuesday too.

tue 3pm

Some of these storms may be on the strong side with gusty winds and hail.

Dew points will climb into the upper 60′s and near 70 for Monday & Tuesday.


We’ll finally return to less humid air and dry conditions for the middle and latter half of the week.

Have a great week!



A great weekend before rain and humidity return

July 5th, 2014 at 6:14 pm by under Weather

After a great Fourth of July we ended up with a great holiday weekend too!  We had lots of sunshine, low humidity and temperatures right around normal for this time of year.


The sunshine has really been helping farmers and many of the flowers around the area.  Bill Norman from Farmersville sent some pictures of his sunflowers.  He says some of them are about 6 feet tall!


A few high level clouds have moved into portions of the Miami Valley from a storm system to the west of us.  This piece of energy will head into the area late tonight and early tomorrow morning.  We may see a few spotty showers very early Sunday morning but they should be out of here by lunchtime.


We’ll start off with cloudy skies on Sunday but will see some sunshine Sunday afternoon.  Highs will be in the low to middle 80′s.


A cold front will arrive on Monday.  This will bring an increase in humidity and also the chance for showers and storms.  Dew point values have been in the 50′s for the last few days but now it’s on the rise for early next week.  Dew point values will climb into the 60′s and near 70.  This means it’s going to feel much more humid.


The cold front will head this way on Monday.  We’ll see clouds increase late Sunday night with showers and storms likely for Monday afternoon.


There’s another system heading this way for Tuesday.  It will bring another round of rain for the day.

Enjoy the rest of your weekend!




A beautiful 4th of July weekend

July 4th, 2014 at 5:56 am by under Weather

The holiday weekend forecast looks great!  High pressure will keep us dry and sunny through much of the weekend.

If you’re heading out early this morning temperatures are on the cooler side with readings in the 50′s.  If you’re heading to any of the parades this morning temperatures will be in the 60′s with lots of sunshine.

parade forecast

Tonight’s fireworks displays won’t see any rain.  If you’re out though you may need a long sleeve shirt or light jacket as temperatures will fall in the 60′s.

In the past temperatures on the 4th of July have either been in the 70′s or 80′s.  Only two days saw triple digit readings.

July 4th Climo

Check out these great pictures from Amy Hoying in Fort Loramie.  She says the “amber waves of grain” will likely be harvested this weekend.

Amy Hoying Wheat Amy Hoying Corn

Arthur is picking up steam and is currently a category 2 storm as of 5am Friday.  It will begin to clip the east coast and eventually head farther into the Atlantic this weekend.


Quiet conditions continue for us as we see high pressure dominate our weather this weekend. Look for lots of sunshine throughout the day today and through Saturday.

Fri 5pmFri 10pm

Sat 8am Sat 5pm

We’ll start off with some sunshine on Sunday morning but we’ll see clouds increase as a storm system heads this way for early next week.

boating forecast weekend

Happy 4th and have a wonderful weekend.


Just a few more showers today, but a GREAT holiday weekend

July 3rd, 2014 at 6:00 am by under Weather

We have a much cooler and less-humid airmass in place! Our dew points were in the 60s and 70s earlier this week–true “air you can wear”! But now they’re in the 50s, which feels nice and refreshing. You can see the cooler air moving in, too, on the northwest winds:


It may feel a little like fall to you today, as we only climb into the lower 70s for highs this afternoon. We’ll see a mix of sun and clouds, and a lot of dry weather. But the clouds will thicken in spots from late morning into the early afternoon as an upper level disturbance moves through. This feature may kick off a few spotty light showers. But don’t worry, after 3 or 4pm we should return to dry weather. It still looks great for area fireworks tonight… and again Friday evening:


Remember John and I will be co-emcees for the Kettering fireworks tonight. We will be introducing some great entertainment– Blood, Sweat & Tears, Bo Bice and Neil Sedaka will be there! This all starts at 6pm, with the fireworks just before 10pm. I hope to see you there!

While we have two cooler days today and Friday… things warm up a bit over the weekend. It looks like it will be a lovely weekend at the pool or one of our area lakes!


In the tropics, we officially have the first hurricane of the Atlantic season! Arthur’s winds strengthened to 75mh early this morning, making it a category 1 storm. It is expected to move to the northeast, skimming the Outer Banks late Saturday night/early Friday morning:


Because I will be out late at the fireworks tonight, Tara Hastings is covering for me Friday morning. I hope you all have a wonderful 4th of July, and holiday weekend!


Another round of heavy rain overnight, now fairly quiet…

July 2nd, 2014 at 7:51 am by under Weather

Tuesday was another hot and humid day in the Miami Valley! I had the privilege of dining with Meteorologist Tara Hastings at The Greene for lunch… and then we sat outside while the kiddos splashed around in the fountain:


It was fairly sunny at the start, but by the time we were leaving… the clouds were getting thicker in spots. My daughter is suddenly obsessed with RAIN… and she always asks to check the radar lately. I mean ALWAYS. She definitely takes after me, because when I heard the thunder overnight, I went right to my phone to see what the radar looked like! What I saw–heavy rain hitting the southern portion of the Miami Valley. There were flood advisories issued for many of our southern counties as the torrential downpours occurred over a very short period of time. Here’s a look at Doppler estimated rainfall, and amounts called in by our Weathercheckers:


You can see tons of lightning pictures captured as the storm rolled through here: LIGHTNING PHOTOS

With the front now east of us, winds will shift in from the west as the day goes on. THIS will tap into cooler and less humid air and draw it right into the Miami Valley:


Upper level energy crosses the region tonight, so a few showers will be possible, but then we dry out after that. In fact, we have some pretty fabulous weather in store for the second half of the week and holiday weekend! Highs on Thursday and Friday will be in the mid-upper 70s. Thursday will feature more clouds… and we can’t rule out an isolated shower early on… but the chance is very low. Skies clear out for Thursday night fireworks… and you might want to bring a sweatshirt or light jacket, as we drop into the 60s!

John Seibel and I will be co-emcees for the City of Kettering’s Rock-N-Boom celebration at Delco Park. We start at 6pm with the fun… and Blood, Sweat and Tears will perform! Fireworks start at 9:45pm. Hope you can come out for the evening! If you can’t make it Thursday, there are other communities setting off fireworks on Friday. You can get the full list here: WDTN FIREWORKS SCHEDULE

Over the weekend, temperatures will warm, and we will be in the low-mid 80s Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances hold off until early next week.

In the tropics, we have our first named storm of the season, Tropical Storm Arthur! This system is forecast to move along the over the next few days, and to potentially strengthen into a category 1 hurricane just off the coast of the Carolinas. Here’s the forecast path:


Have a good one!

A hot and humid start to the week…

June 30th, 2014 at 6:55 am by under Weather

We had warm and humid weekend, peppered with a few showers and thunderstorms. Thankfully, we were able to get the Air Show in both Saturday and Sunday! I caught a glimpse of the Blue Angels on Sunday–I wasn’t at the airshow, but I attended a cookout up north and they flew RIGHT over us! Breathtaking!

Today, the humidity continues to be high, and while we are starting off dry… there is a 10-20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm as the day goes on. You can see how small the coverage would be if this does pan out… most stay dry:


There is a moderate risk for severe weather to our northwest this afternoon, as you can see below:


While we don’t have a big severe threat today, we will continue to see the potential for heavy rainfall. Heat and humidity continue on Tuesday, as temperatures climb up near 90-degrees… and it will feel even hotter! Our heat index will be in the mid-upper 90s Tuesday afternoon.

A cold front will move through on Tuesday… with another on Wednesday. This will keep us with a 30% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms each day. If storms do form on Tuesday, there is the potential a few could become severe. The SPC has us in an elevated risk for Tuesday afternoon and evening. The main threats will be strong winds and hail… with the potential for heavy rain, as well.

Wednesday won’t be AS hot OR humid, but we expect the cooling and comfortable trend to be fully in place for the second half of the week. It looks like it will be an amazing 4th of July weekend!


Muggy with more rain tomorrow

June 28th, 2014 at 5:20 pm by under Weather

I’m back for the weekend shift after having a week off going to a wedding, visiting friends/family and relaxing!  I had such a great time and now feel like I need another day off to unpack and clean.

One of my college friends (who is also a meteorologist) got married in Rockford last weekend.  There were 8 meteorologists at the wedding.  Including Tom Skilling from WGN.  Seven of us posed for a picture (My friend Alan is a professor at St. Cloud State and he missed the photo opportunity)  Can anyone name all 7?  The other guys work in Illinois and Wisconsin.  A hint…two aren’t actually on tv.

weather gang

I returned back to Dayton and I guess I brought the humidity with me.  Yuck!  Dew point values are in the 70′s which means it’s extremely humid.

dew points

The heat and humidity are going to stick around for the next several days.  We finally get a break after a cold front moves through Tuesday night.

850 monwed 850 temps

Until then we’ll see the heat, humidity and chance for rain.  An isolated shower is possible tonight and for the first half of Sunday.

sat 11pmSun 8am

There’s a better chance of showers especially during the peak heating of the day.  After 1pm through the evening is the best chance of seeing rain.  If you are heading to the Vectren Dayton Air Show make sure you bring along the rain gear and drink plenty of water.

air show

Showers and storms will be likely after 1pm through the early evening hours.

Sun 2pm Sun 8pm

There’s a slight chance for a few showers on Monday but the heat will be the main story here.  Highs will approach 90 degrees during the afternoon.

Stay cool this weekend!

Another great day today, but some rain around over the weekend…

June 27th, 2014 at 8:03 am by under Weather

High pressure to our  northeast is bringing about a beautiful morning here in the Miami Valley, with mild temperatures and dry conditions:

temps     satrad

We have had a little haze or light fog. This will mix out over the next hour or so, and we expect a lot of sunshine during the afternoon. It looks like another fabulous pool day, with no threat of rain:


The dry conditions stick around this evening–if you’re heading to Freedom’s Call Tattoo or the Air Show Parade, it will be warm:


Unfortunately, humidity and rain chances come up over the weekend. We will see a few scattered showers in the area on Saturday:


But not everyone will see rain–it will be scattered. Better coverage arrives on Sunday, with increasing rain chances. Here’s how it plays out for the Dayton Airshow:


Temperatures will continue to warm early next week, and it looks like Monday could be the hottest day of the next seven… with highs reaching the lower 90s.


Still a shower chance today, but drying out for the 2nd half of the week!

June 25th, 2014 at 5:39 am by under Weather

We saw another round of heavy rainfall late in the day Tuesday and into Tuesday night. Here is a look at some of the totals our Weathercheckers measured… and Doppler estimates:

rainfall    dop est

A disturbance is moving through the Miami Valley this morning. It has kicked off a few early showers:

temps     ld2hd

Humidity is still extremely high, with dew points near 70-degrees. These values will drop a little this afternoon, but will hang in the mid-60s today… so it will still feel a little muggy. As upper level energy trails the surface low, we will keep a slight chance of a pop-up shower or thunderstorm in the forecast during the afternoon. But we expect any activity to clear out overnight.

Speaking of clearing, clouds may do just that tonight, too. With winds relatively light… and plenty of low level moisture… we could see a little patchy fog form. Visibility may be a bit lower in spots for the Thursday morning drive.

We expect a good deal of sunshine in the area Thursday afternoon, and THIS is when we will finally notice that drop in humidity. It will feel pleasantly warm, with highs in the lower 80s. Good weather continues on Friday, with just the slight chance of a spotty shower. We should have a decent stretch of days with quiet conditions… before rain chances increase for the second half of the weekend. They will stay at about a 30-40% chance through Tuesday. Temperatures also warm slowly between now and next week. We should be up near 90 by Monday!


First week of summer starts hot and humid, with a few t’storms…

June 23rd, 2014 at 9:08 am by under Weather

Heat and humidity will build as we kick off the first full week of summer. We expect to hit highs in the upper 80s today, but it will feel like the 90s! That is thanks to the high dew points in the area, with HUMID conditions expected. We are starting off with sunshine, but as we go through the afternoon… in our unstable air mass… we expect a few thunderstorms to pop:


You can see how spotty the coverage will be today. Not everyone sees rain–you may see towering or dark clouds in the distance, but never get a drop. Or you may get caught under one of the cells. If you do, you could experience heavy rain and gusty wind. The rain should only last 20-30 minutes, though, so most of the day will be dry.

There is a better chance for showers and thunderstorms Tuesday, as a cold front moves into the region. You can see the better coverage Futuretrac is forecasting:


We will still have the chance for heavy downpours and gusty wind. It will not be quite as hot, either, with clouds & rain around. Highs on Tuesday will be in the lower 80s. The seasonable temperatures will stick around through the rest  of the week, as quieter weather builds in for Wednesday and Thursday.


Unsettled through the end of the week…

June 19th, 2014 at 8:50 am by under Weather

As expected yesterday, we once again reached the lower 90s for an official high of 91-degrees in Dayton. A few isolated showers/thunderstorms popped up in the afternoon, and these became more numerous in the evening and overnight. We did have some strong storms, as well… here is a look at our area storm reports and peak wind gusts:

storm reports     wind

Today we will continue the chance for showers and thunderstorms. The best shot will be through the  morning, and then going towards the early afternoon, the trend will be to dry out. However, with a weak front slowly drifting through today, we could see a few more showers/t’storm pop as we heat up this afternoon:


Although not everyone will see rain, with many more clouds around, we won’t be QUITE as hot! It will still feel humid, however, and we’ll top out in the mid-80s.

On Friday, a disturbance will ride along the front… which will still be draped across the region. This will lead to more showers and thunderstorms in the area:


Rain chances now look to drop over the weekend. We will have just a slight chance for a few showers Saturday, but really a lot of dry time. Sunday looks completely dry… and a little less humid, too!


Still hot and humid, now add thunderstorms…

June 18th, 2014 at 8:28 am by under Weather

Not much has changed on the surface map this week. We still have an area of high pressure to our southeast, and a stalled front to the north:


All of the active weather overnight and early this morning has been near that front, as you can see on the 8am satellite/radar image:


You can also see that we’ve been dealing with some clouds FROM those thunderstorm complexes. They are thin enough that the sun is still getting through, and the first part of the day should be mostly sunny. We have a high UV Index:

uv index

As we reach peak heating (again climbing into the lower 90s) and as the front sags into the area, we may see a few isolated thunderstorms pop late this afternoon. The chance will start around 3 or 4pm for isolated… and will then increase to scattered during the evening. Any thunderstorm will have the potential to produce heavy rain and gusty winds. We are in an elevated risk for severe weather:


We will keep you posted on air and online if we get any watches or warnings. The front will be just south of us Thursday, keeping us with a good chance of rain… especially as we get that daytime heating. Unsettled weather actually continues into the weekend! Although, with more cloud cover… and showers at times… our high temps will not be quite as hot. We should be in the mid-80s Thursday through Sunday. Humidity stays up until next week.


First time we hit 90 this season

June 17th, 2014 at 6:07 pm by under Weather

Well we made it.  Dayton International Airport hit 91 degrees this afternoon.


Of course it felt uncomfortable not because of the high heat but also the humidity.  Dew point values are in the upper 60′s and near 70.

dew points

When you factor in the humidity with the heat it feels slightly warmer.  Here are current heat index values.

heat index

We’ll see dry conditions tonight and it will be muggy once again.  Just like we saw last night and this morning.  We’ll be dry for the most part tomorrow but there’s a chance for a few thunderstorms especially in the afternoon and evening.  Some of the storms may be on the stronger side.

Wed 7am wed 5pm

wed 11pm

There’s a better chance of showers and storms on Thursday afternoon and evening.  Humidity values will still be high.

thu 8am Thu 7pm

The chance for showers and storms will be possible through the end of the week.  Especially during the afternoon and evening during the peak heating of the day.

Have a great evening!


The heat is on

June 16th, 2014 at 6:11 pm by under Weather

I hope you had a wonderful weekend!  We had lots of sunshine and warm temperatures.  I went to Caesars Creek State Park and went on a long but gorgeous hike.  There were many people who enjoyed water skiing and swimming in the lake.

We got a great picture sent to us.  Don’t forget you can always send your photos via on our website. Thanks for sharing!


Today we saw some thunderstorms pop earlier this afternoon.  All of those storms have moved eastward but there’s still a slim chance we may see an isolated storm pop this evening but most of us should remain dry.


We started out this morning with dew point values in the lower 60′s but they quickly jumped into the upper 60′s and near 70 for the afternoon.


It’s going to be a while before the humidity ends.  Dew point values will stay in the upper 60′s and lower 70′s for the next several days.  This means it’s going to be hot and humid in the afternoon and muggy at night.  The AC unit will be getting a work out for much of the week.

dew points tue 5pmdew points wed 9 am

We will see the potential to reach 90 degrees a couple times this week.  The last time we hit 90 was in September of last year.

the heat is on

We’ll see sunshine to start Tuesday with a few clouds in the afternoon.  It looks like we’ll be dry.  If thunderstorms do pop they’ll be widely scattered.

tue 9amtue 6pm

There’s a much better chance of rain on Wednesday afternoon.  With highs again in the lower 90′s.

wed 8am Wed 7pm

Stay cool this week!


Heat and humidity build this week…

June 16th, 2014 at 6:44 am by under Weather

I’m back from my vacation–which was actually a staycation. But working this shift, sometimes it’s nice to stay home and just be on a NORMAL schedule for awhile. :) I really enjoy doing this in the summer months, because we can stay outside having fun, later! It was definitely a week filled with kid-activities for me! From catching lightning bugs, to a Dragons game, bubble fun, Cosi, a hike to the Patterson Monument and just enjoying family/friend time… it was fabulous to be “normal” :)


The weather wasn’t quite pool weather last week, but it will be a completely different story this week! Heat and humidity build, and we will be warmer each day through mid-week:


Rain chances are there each day, however. Today… the rain chance will be highest from mid-morning through mid-afternoon as a weak front drifts in. Scattered showers will be around–although not everyone will see the rain:


An upper level ridge really builds in Tuesday and Wednesday, so temperatures will be even warmer… and the rain chances will go down. These days look to be great days to hit the pool!

upper flow

There is just a 20% chance of an isolated shower/thunderstorm each day. Rain chances go up again on Wednesday night/Thursday, as temperatures lower a bit with the ridge flattening out over the area. Right now, the threat of organized severe weather looks low through that time. We will keep you posted of rain timing each day… stay with us!


A fantastic weekend

June 13th, 2014 at 4:55 am by under Weather

Wow we have a great weekend forecasted around the Miami Valley!  Lots of sunshine and warmer temperatures will head this way.  First we have to get through clouds and a few showers this morning.

We’re tracking a cold front moving through the Miami Valley this morning.  Look for lots of clouds and a slight chance for a few showers from now until about 11am.

fri 8am

Skies will become mostly clear by the afternoon with lower humidity values.  Dew points to the west of us are in the 40′s and 50′s.

midwest dew pointsfri 7pm

Saturday morning will start off with clear skies and cool temperatures.  Readings will drop into the upper 40′s and lower 50′s early Saturday.  So if you have any late night plans tonight or early Saturday morning grab the light jacket or sweater.  By the afternoon Saturday will be great with highs a bit warmer into the middle and upper 70′s.

sat 8amSat 5pm

This may be one of the best graphics Brian Davis has ever left me.  If you’re heading to Versailles this weekend for Poultry Days it’s going to be great.  Great theme folks “Cluck Dynasty.”

poultry days

Temperatures do rise on Sunday.  If you have any Father’s Day plans outside it will be great!  Look for lots of sunshine with highs climbing into the 80′s on Sunday.

fathers day

By the way – today is Friday the 13th AND we have a full moon!  The next full moon on a Friday the 13th won’t happen for another 35 years.

Fri 13th moon

Have a WONDERFULL weekend!!!


More humid today with showers

June 11th, 2014 at 5:36 am by under Weather

Today may not be the greatest hair day.  We have higher humidity now that a warm front has lifted north of the area.   Dew point values are in the middle 60′s which means it feels a little sticky out there.

dew points

The warm front brought us showers and thunderstorms yesterday.  Dayton picked up about a quarter of an inch but three quarters of an inch feel in Wilmington.

48 hr rainfall total

We have an area of low pressure to the south and west of us.  The warm front is now north of the Miami Valley.  This means more humid conditions and the chance for a shower or storm to pop anytime today.

surface map

Look for partly to mostly cloudy skies today with dry conditions around 8am.  Later in the afternoon there’s a chance for showers and storms.

wed noonwed 5pmwed 7pm

There’s a slight chance for a few showers on Thursday and early Friday morning but we’re in store for a great weekend!  High pressure builds across the area for Saturday producing lots of sunshine with highs near 80.



Rain today and tonight

June 10th, 2014 at 5:11 am by under Weather

Good Tuesday morning!  We have some rain developing south of the Miami Valley.

Here’s the radar picture at 5am:

5am radar

Rain will be light to moderate for the first part of the morning.  Clouds will stick around for much of the day with temperatures in the low to middle 70′s.

tue 8am tue 12pm

Rain becomes a bit more scattered around the lunch hour through about 2pm.  Another round of showers with some thunderstorms will develop after the dinner hour.

tue 5pm tue 7pm

The rain tonight may be heavy at times.  If you’re heading to the Dayton Dragons or the Reds games be sure to pack the poncho.

dayton dragons

Low pressure sticks around the area for the day tomorrow.  A warm front will lift northward and that means we’ll feel the humidity rise a little more Wednesday with showers and thunderstorms possible.

wed 3pm

Have a great day!




Dry today but a wet week ahead

June 9th, 2014 at 5:46 am by under Weather

Some patchy fog this morning.  Visibilities are sitting at 3-6 miles in many locations.


Look for partly to mostly cloudy skies through the day.  We’ll see some breaks in the clouds today from time to time.  Highs will be near normal in the upper 70′s close to 80.


If you’re heading to Great American Ball Park we’ll see dry conditions with temperatures int he 70′s.


We’re tracking an area of low pressure that will bring us a good chance of showers and thunderstorms through the day tomorrow.


Showers and storms will continue for the next couple of days.

rain percentage

We’ll see the chance for another 1-2 inches total for the week.  This will continue to add to our June monthly rainfall total.


Have a wonderful day!

Some showers to end the weekend

June 7th, 2014 at 5:28 pm by under Weather

What a fantastic day with lots of sunshine and highs in the lower 80′s.  There’s a storm system off to our west.  In a few hours you’ll begin to see the clouds increase as this storm gets a littler closer to us.

sat rad

The rest of the evening will be dry just increasing clouds.  The best chance of rain will come after midnight.

sat 8pm sun 2am

There’s a chance for a few showers especially early in the morning.  Between about 2am and 10am Sunday will be the best chance of rain.  Showers will be come a bit more scattered through about 2pm.  The rain finally begins to taper off for the later half of the afternoon.  We may even break into a little sunshine by the late afternoon.

sun 8am sun 2pm

I don’t think it’s going to be a complete wash out but if you’re heading to Troy for the Strawberry Festival grab the umbrella just in case.

strawberry forecast

It will be dry for Sunday night and the first part of Monday.  Temperatures again will be around normal.

Mon 6amMon 3pm

Another storm system heads this way for Tuesday.  It will bring us a chance for rain with highs in the upper 70′s.  Rain chances continue for the first part of next week.

Have a great weekend!