Warmer Wednesday… but it doesn’t last!

March 25th, 2015 at 7:46 am by under Weather

An area of low pressure to our west is pushing a warm front into the Miami Valley this morning:

temps

So as precipitation developed and moved through, it has been warm enough to see RAIN vs. any wintry precip. We have even seen some thunderstorms this morning… it’s a very Spring-like start to the day! The rain won’t last all day, and in fact, we expect most to be dry as we head beyond 8 am. The afternoon will be breezy and mild, and the sun will eventually come out. High temperatures climb well above normal:

highs

Enjoy it while you can! The cold front will eventually move through, and temperatures will drop. Take a look at the trend for the next few days:

trend

An area of low pressure will move along the front Thursday, bringing more rain to the area. And on Friday, as the cold air continues to advance in… we will be cold enough for scattered snow showers through the day. Any accumulation will be light. Saturday will continue to be cold, with morning temperatures in the upper teens to right around 20, and afternoon highs in the upper 30s.

Jamie
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Showers late today, warmer Wednesday…

March 24th, 2015 at 6:44 am by under Weather

We had snow and mixed precipitation affect the Miami Valley on Monday. Welcome to the first week of Spring, right?! The northern counties, as expected, picked up the most snow. The storm came through a little more potent  and we had some enhanced snow totals across the far north:

snow

Today, we are back to dry conditions. Clouds will be around through a good part of the day, but most of it will be dry. Temperatures will climb into the mid-40s this afternoon, after a cold start in the 20s. Here is the morning surface map… you can see a warm front south of us:

temps

That will lift into the area and bring the chance of showers back by late afternoon and evening. Initially, the showers will move into the south/southwestern counties late today:

forecast

And then spread area-wide during the evening and overnight:

forecast2

We could even hear some thunder tonight, and it will be breezy. As the southerly winds increase, temperatures will not drop off much at all, and we will have lows in the lower 40s. Expect a wet Wednesday morning, with showers around for the drive to work:

forecast3

But we will dry out in the afternoon, and it will end up being the warmest day of the week! It will become partly sunny, quite breezy… and we will see a high near 65-degrees! Of course it doesn’t last… a strong cold front brings more rain and thunder Wednesday night into Thursday… along with chilly temperatures.

Jamie
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A very active weather week ahead…

March 23rd, 2015 at 10:03 am by under Weather

After a really  nice weekend across the Miami Valley, we are getting back into an active weather pattern. This morning, we’ve seen clouds increasing as a disturbance to the west is moving eastward:

temps     satrad

Those showers to the northwest are going to head our way, too. Yes, some will see snow… and some will see accumulation. This is most likely to start across the northern counties as we head towards lunchtime, and then spread south through the afternoon. If you live along/north of I-70, you stand the best chance at staying all snow today… with some mixing possible as you travel along and south of I-70. Here is Futuretrac’s forecast for 3pm today:

forecast

Those that stay snow, will see the highest snow totals. This is what it looks like now:

snow

It’s not really what you want to see during the first week of Spring! But we will actually see a wide range of weather this week… take a look at the checklist:

checklist

There is the chance of showers pretty much each day of the week, but we will at least have a decent warm-up on Wednesday. Highs will get into the upper 60s with breezy conditions!

Jamie
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Cloudy and cool today, with rain arriving this evening…

March 19th, 2015 at 8:06 am by under Weather

High pressure north of the Miami Valley will keep most of us dry today. A storm system well to our south is already spreading clouds into the region, and they will be around through the afternoon, but the showers will stay south:

ld2hd

Cloudy and cool will be the rule, with highs reaching near normal values close to 50-degrees. Rain will spread in as we head toward late afternoon in the far south… and evening in the Dayton area. Here is how Futuretrac times it out…

5pm… rain moving in to the far southern counties:
forecast

7pm… rain moving into the Dayton area, mainly still south of I-70:
forecast2

11pm… rain falling in most of the Miami Valley:
forecast3

Everyone will see rain overnight, and the far northern counties could even see some wet snowflakes mixing in. We do not expect to see any snow accumulation. Rain will continue through Friday morning, so streets will be wet for the last morning rush of the week. We dry out and the clouds break up for Friday afternoon, and once again our highs will be right around normal. Something EXCITING happens on Friday… that we’ve all been waiting for!

spring

And for the first FULL day of Spring on Saturday… it will FEEL like Spring! Highs will make a run at 60, with partly cloudy skies and dry conditions. But a cold front moves through and then will drop temperatures for Sunday. We’ll be back to highs in the 40s through much of next week.

Jamie
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Much cooler weather for the rest of the week…

March 17th, 2015 at 8:35 am by under Weather

I hope you got to get out and enjoy the 70s Monday afternoon! The official high was 71 degrees, shortly after 5pm. Here is a look back at the past 24-hours:

temps observed

Over the past two hours, a cold front has been moving through the Miami Valley. Many have seen the winds shift in from the north and increase… and this is dropping temperatures even more. Get ready for a much cooler St. Patrick’s Day!

holiday

We will see temperatures in the mid-40s for most of the day, and with the breeze it will feel even colder! Wind chills will dip into the upper 30s. We have a lot of clouds in place this morning, but they should clear out a good deal during the afternoon. And if your’e heading out to the First Four games this evening, you might actually want a warmer jacket, it will continue to turn cold:

event

 

Our low tonight will actually drop down into the mid-20s! So it will feel frigid Wednesday morning. The rest of the week will be at or below normal temperature-wise. We will see highs in the upper 40s, and lows down in the low to mid 30s. For what it’s worth, Spring officially starts Friday!

Jamie
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Really really nice to start the week… then back to normal…

March 16th, 2015 at 8:25 am by under Weather

We had a gorgeous weekend–I really hope you got to enjoy the nice weather. Highs both Saturday and Sunday made it up near 60-degrees! The sun was a nice addition, too. :)

Today, we’re starting off nice, as our morning temperatures have been in the upper 40s and lower 50s. Not bad, nice and cool! High pressure is south of us… we will have a west-southwest wind today, and it will be a little breezy.

temps

Expect a mix of sun and clouds, and a high near 70 degrees! Soak it up, because this cold front will bring changes:

temps2

That drops in late tonight and into Tuesday morning. We will see an increase in clouds as it moves through, and we can’t rule out a few sprinkles in spots early Tuesday. But we expect mainly dry conditions through much of St. Patrick’s Day… just cooler weather, with highs in the lower 50s:

event

That high is actually much closer to normal for this time of year, and we will be at-or-below normal for the rest of the week beyond today. I know it may be hard to accept, but normal lows are just below freezing, and we have at least a couple mornings in the upper 20s over the next week or so. But Spring officially starts on FRIDAY!!

Jamie
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Fantastic today and even warmer tomorrow

March 15th, 2015 at 6:41 pm by under Weather

Did you like today?  It gets even warmer tomorrow.  We hit 60 for the first time this year Saturday and we’re going to take a run at 70 on  Monday.

almanac12 hour temps

 

We’ll see breezy winds tomorrow out of the west around 10-20 miles per hour with partly cloudy skies.

winds tomorrow

 

High pressure will move east of us tonight and tomorrow.  A cold front will swing through Tuesday morning.  Ahead of the front winds will be breezy and temperatures will soar.

850 temps Monday

A few clouds tonight and for tomorrow.

mon 7aMon 6p

The front will move through early Tuesday morning.  It looks like we’ll just see some cloud cover from it.  There’s a slight chance we may see a few sprinkles however much of the rain will stay to the north of us.

Tue 7a Tue 7p

 

Enjoy the forecast!

Tara
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Sunny and dry to end the weekend

March 14th, 2015 at 7:13 pm by under Weather

The rain has come to an end and high pressure will be taking over for the rest of the weekend.  After on and off rain Friday and early this morning most areas picked up one inch.

48 hour rainfall

 

After the rain ended this morning the clouds cleared and our temperatures soared to 60!

almanac

 

That’s the first time we’ve hit 60 in 2015.  We’ll take a run at hitting 70 on Monday!

lots of firsts

 

There’s a few high clouds around tonight but high pressure off to the west will head this way tonight.

sat image

 

Look for a sunny and dry day Sunday.  After starting out near freezing temperatures will be in the middle to upper 50′s.

Sun 7amSun 6p

On Monday it will be breezy and warmer with highs in the upper 60′s close to 70 with lots of sunshine.

Mon 7a Mon 7p

 

A cold front will pass through late Monday night and early Tuesday bringing just a chance for a few showers.

Temperatures drop to near normal conditions for the end of the week.

Enjoy the warmer temperatures!
Tara
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Rain returns as we finish off the week…

March 13th, 2015 at 9:24 am by under Weather

We had a pretty nice morning in the Miami Valley, as clouds and a southeast wind helped to hold temperatures in the lower to mid 40s in most spots. However, this will not last all day! Rain is moving in from the west, and will continue to overspread the area through lunchtime. Check Live Doppler 2HD to track the rain today. Most will be dealing with wet weather by noon:

FORECAST

This afternoon looks quite soggy, with rain falling steady through a good part of the day. Imbedded heavier rain will also be possible, and we have flooding concerns… especially in areas south of Dayton, which is the most likely place rainfall will exceed one inch:

RAIN

Rain will continue to fall this evening, so if you’re heading out to dinner… or going to watch the DAYTON FLYERS play in the A 10 Tournament :) … be prepared for wet weather! Rain continues tonight and even through Saturday morning. We will see a gradual drying trend Saturday afternoon, and it will be a cool day with lots of clouds:

FORECAST2

The sun returns for Sunday, and even though we’ll start off cold in the morning (temps in the 30s)… it will be a nice, cool afternoon as we hit highs in the lower 50s. It gets even warmer on Monday, as southerly winds increase! We are talking sunshine and mid-60s! THAT is going to feel great! But it doesn’t last long. We turn cooler on Tuesday, and take a look at the extended temperature forecast:

TREND

Much of the eastern part of the country will be below normal. Enjoy the warmer days while you can!

Jamie
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One more nice day before rain returns…

March 12th, 2015 at 9:23 am by under Weather

We’ve had a couple foggy mornings here in the Miami Valley! And I have received some pretty cool comparisons. One happened in just a matter of hours. This picture from Dayton… showing what it looked like in the morning, and then in the afternoon from the same vantage point:

fog 1

Very cool comparison! Another set of pictures shows us how things changed in 24 hours. Yesterday, a lot of the Miami Valley saw sun after a foggy start… with the exception of some of our northern counties. Amy up in Ft. Loramie (Shelby Co) says the sun only peeked out a few times, and the low stratus deck was quite stubborn. Good news for you, it is a different story today, as clouds broke early:

fog 2

It’s going to be a great day today!! Even though it’s been a chilly morning, the afternoon looks fantastic! You can’t beat this:

today

I really hope you can soak today up, because our next storm arrives on Friday. We will see rain spreading in from the southwest in the morning… and it will overspread all of the Miami Valley as we head into the afternoon:

FORECAST

It will fall steady… and even heavy at times. Many spots will see around an inch or even more than that. The best chance at some of the heavier precipitation will be in the southern half of the Miami Valley. Be prepared for some localized flooding issues in the spots that pick up decent and prolonged downpours. Ponding of water on the roads will be common, and area water ways will continue to run high!

Jamie
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Rainy today, then right back to nice weather

March 10th, 2015 at 7:46 am by under Weather

A storm system to our southwest is lifting north, and bringing Gulf moisture right along with it. This means rain today:

TEMPS       satrad

The rain will fall steady through a good part of the day. Steady rain will taper to scattered showers as we head towards evening. Even though it will rain most of the day, it will be a light to moderate rain… so accumulation won’t be out of control. Here is an idea of how much we’ll see… lesser amounts across the northern counties, and higher amounts south:

rainfall

Rain will fall even heavier in parts of southern Ohio, Kentucky and West Virginia. These locations could see over an inch of rain, and have a Flood Watch in effect. For us, showers end overnight, and high pressure builds in for Wednesday. We will start off with clouds in the morning, but they should break up for a mostly sunny afternoon. This will help temperatures push into the mid-50s for a nice, cool afternoon.

It will be even warmer on Thursday! We expect sunshine and highs in the upper 50s, close to 60 in spots! Then the next storm moves in for Friday and Saturday. We expect more rain out of this one, and it could be heavy at times. Models are indicating an inch or more will be possible, and with the ground saturated from melting snow and today’s rain… we could be dealing with some localized flooding. So stay tuned to the forecast as the situation develops!

Even though we look to cool off a bit on Sunday, we should be fairly close to normal, with highs in the mid-upper 40s.

Jamie
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Highs in the 50s for days…

March 9th, 2015 at 9:23 am by under Weather

While this morning has been cold, with temperatures in the low 30s (and even a few upper 20s)… we will continue a warming trend in the Miami Valley. Today, we climb up a degree or two higher than Sunday, and expect to be a little warmer Tuesday and Wednesday:

TEMP TREND

BUT there are rain chances in there!

Today looks dry, with a lot of sunshine in fact. We may notice clouds increasing late this afternoon, and that will continue into the evening. There is an area of low pressure developing in Texas today that will then lift northeast toward the Miami Valley:

TEMPS

We become mostly cloudy tonight, and start Tuesday with clouds for the early morning drive to work:

FORECAST

By mid-morning, rain will be spreading into the southern counties:

FORECAST2

That area of rain will continue to lift north, and reach the Dayton area by late morning. Periods of rain continue into the afternoon:

FORECAST3

The northern counties may see a few showers, but most of the rain will fall south of a line from Richmond to Greenville to Sidney. And even though we’ll see clouds and rain, we still expect to push into the 50s for highs!

The sun returns with high pressure on Wednesday and Thursday, and these will likely be the warmest days of the week. Hopefully you can get out and enjoy this taste of Spring… hit up a park, take a walk, or go for a bike ride! Enjoy it while we can, as we will likely still have some colder days to deal with!

Jamie
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Next week: temperatures on the rise

March 8th, 2015 at 5:31 pm by under Weather

It looks like spring has sprung!  Before I came into work I heard kids in my neighborhood outside playing.  There’s still a pretty big snow mound near my place but soon those will be disappearing.

While we did have some cloud cover today the thickest clouds and even a few spotty showers were just north of the Miami Valley.

Radar Sat image

Because we saw a lot more sunshine and the thicker clouds stayed to our north much of the Dayton area was in the middle and upper 40′s.  The cloud cover farther north did keep temperatures near 40 like Lima and Fort Wayne.

almanac Highs north

We’ll see a few clouds tonight and temperatures will fall into the upper 20′s and lower 30′s.

Sun 11p

 

High pressure builds across the area on Monday bringing lots of sunshine, lighter winds and warmer temperatures.  It looks like much of the Miami Valley will see highs in the lower 50′s.

Monday 7aMon 5p

A storm system is going to move from the south into the area on Tuesday.  We’ll see an increase in cloud cover and a good chance for some light rain.

Tue 7a Tue 7p

Temperatures will stay into the 50′s for a good part of the week.  Next chance of rain won’t be until Friday.

temps this week

I know a few of my friends are getting a little antsy to get out and play some golf.  I’m looking forward to enjoying some of our great Metroparks and do some spring hiking! Whatever you plan to do I wish you a great week!

Tara
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Spring like weather to help spring forward

March 7th, 2015 at 5:58 pm by under Weather

If you haven’t guessed by the title we “spring forward” or shift to Daylight Saving Time early Sunday morning.  It’s really my least favorite night of the year because magically an hour of my sleep disappears but I’m pretty sure I’m not the only one who feels this pain.  The one thing I do like about this day is I get to use the bouncing clock graphic during the weather cast.  (I know nerd alert – I just got excited about a weather graphic)

The great news is the sun will be setting an hour later this week which may be beneficial once you hear about the temperatures.

spring forward

 

Ok so we’re springing forward and we get to experience spring like weather right?  YES!  It all began today where we saw highs in the middle 40′s.  Now we’ve already been at 50 earlier this month – however it was raining all day.  So this was the first sunny 40 plus degree day.

almanac Beavercreek cam

 

It was also a great day to take some photos by drone!  This picture is sent to us by Paul Moody.
Don’t forget you can send your weather photo by using reportit@wdtn.com

Paul Moody Dayton Skyline

Tonight we may see a few clouds drift through our sky with lows falling into the 20′s.

Tomorrow a weak disturbance will pass just shy of our area bringing a little more cloud cover throughout your Sunday.  We should remain dry however there is a VERY slim chance we may see a sprinkle.  I think we’ll just see an increase in cloud cover.

Sun 8amSun 7p

Highs on Sunday will stay in the lower 40′s with a little more cloud cover at times.

By Monday an area of high pressure heads this way.  We’ll see more sunshine and temperatures will increase.

Mon 8a Mon 8p

Highs will continue to rise next week into the 50′s!  I do want to point out to be careful of spring fever.  We can still see significant snow in the middle and even end of March.  Remember Palm Sunday 2013?  We had several inches of snow fall that day.  I’ll do my best to keep it spring like.

Have a great weekend!
Tara
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Snow ends… now record cold possible…

March 5th, 2015 at 9:37 am by under Weather

The system that brought light snow accumulation to the Miami Valley is moving away from us today. We saw anywhere from a dusting in areas north of I-70… to a half-inch at the Dayton airport… to three inches in eastern Kettering… but overall, we got away easy compared to locations just south of the Miami Valley. Take a look at some of the morning snow totals from Kentucky and south central Ohio:

snow list       SNOW

We will have to deal with clouds through a good part of the day. They may break a bit later this afternoon, but Arctic air is spilling into the region, so there will not be much of a warm-up. Once again, we could be flirting with record cold both with our afternoon high today, and our low temperature tonight:

rec low high       rec low

If you are sick of the cold, hang in there… there are signs of a WARM UP!! We should be up near 40-degrees both Saturday and Sunday. And next week, I am thinking 50s for Wednesday and Thursday!

Jamie
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Another push of winter later this afternoon and evening…

March 4th, 2015 at 9:55 am by under Weather

We have another wave of moisture set to work into the Miami Valley later this afternoon. It looks like the best chance will come after 3pm. Initially, we could see a mix of snow and sleet across the southern Miami Valley, with snow more likely across the central portion of the viewing area. The drive home from work would be affected:

FORECAST

Temperatures will be dropping into the upper 20s as we head toward late afternoon and evening, so slick conditions will be possible. We will continue to see snow into the overnight hours, before it tapers off early tomorrow morning. There could be a few lingering snow showers Thursday morning, but this would mainly be across the southern counties. Here is the latest snowfall forecast:SNOW

The most recent models are taking the heavier snow a bit farther south. Again, by the tight gradient above, you can see that even a slight shift will have a huge impact on who sees what! So stay tuned, and be aware that as you travel south you will get into heavier snow and tricker travel conditions.

Much colder weather will follow this system, and we will drop back to near 10 degrees tonight, with highs on Thursday not getting out of the teens. Friday morning, expect single digits, and sub-zero wind chills.

Jamie
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Rain then more snow

March 3rd, 2015 at 6:15 pm by under Weather

More snow is expected.  The heaviest amounts will stay farther south but most of the Miami Valley will at least see some snowfall.

First let’s get through the rain – there’s rain on the radar and we’ll continue to see it through the night.  We’ve already picked up about a quarter of an inch in Dayton and close to an inch in Cincinnati. (As of 5 p.m.)

 

Rainfall as of 5p

With all of the snow melt and rain we’re seeing reduced visibility at times. Be sure to use caution tonight and tomorrow morning…it will be a little foggy.

visibilities

There’s also a FLOOD WATCH in effect for Warren and Clinton county.  The snow melt and moderate rain may cause some flooding issues.

Flood watch

 

The rain will continue tonight and into early Wednesday morning.

Tue 11pWed 8am

By Wednesday morning we’ll see the chance for a wintry mix as colder air moves into the area.  The colder air will eventually switch the mix over to all snow during the day.  There’s still a chance for some snow early Thursday morning.

Wed 6pThu 6a

A WINTER STORM WARNING goes into effect Wednesday at noon and continues until Thursday 1 p.m. for Warren and Clinton counties.  There’s a WINTER STORM WATCH for Butler and Greene counties.

winter storm warning

It looks like the heaviest snowfall will occur farther south.  However most of the area will still see the chance for some accumulating snow.

SNOWFALL FORECAST ADI

There’s going to be a tight gradient of snow – meaning there will be a big difference in amounts in a short distance.

We’ll continue to track this system as it moves through.  Be sure to check in with Jamie Jarosik in the morning for the latest conditions.

Tara
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Active pattern continues, with several potential problems…

March 3rd, 2015 at 9:36 am by under Weather

This morning we’ve seen periods of freezing rain and sleet in the Miami Valley. The concentration has been highest along/north of I-70, but we did have a few light showers that passed through Preble, Montgomery and Greene counties early on. More showers have developed to the west, and are filling back in over the region. Temperatures are still below freezing, so anything that falls will freeze on contact with untreated surfaces:

ld2hd     9am temps

Be aware that travel will continue to be slick through the rest of the morning. Notice the southern areas already up at 30-degrees… warmer air is on the way for the afternoon! As we head beyond noon, we expect a significant warm up for the Miami Valley, as we push into the mid-40s.

This will end the threat of freezing rain, and we expect on and off rain showers the rest of the day. It could fall heavy at times, especially as a cold front approaches this evening/tonight. This is when Futuretrac is forecasting the heaviest rain:

forecast

As you can see the southern & eastern counties stand the best chance at seeing the heavier rainfall. This could lead to flooding concerns with the snow melt and heavy downpours. So be on the lookout for high water… always a danger, but especially at night.

Then, to add to the complexity of the forecast… the potential for accumulating snow late Wednesday into Thursday. Remember that push of moisture I mentioned in yesterday’s blog? The one that would be mainly south of us, but that we had to watch? Well, it now looks to be a little farther north. With colder air in place, we will likely see snow… especially in the southern half of the Miami Valley. This is a very early look at snowfall potential… which will likely have to be tweaked as the disturbances organizes and moves in:

snow

Then we will turn colder. Thursday and Friday mornings, we dip into the single digits, and Thursday’s high will likely not get out of the teens. Oh, Winter, enough already!

Jamie
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A quiet day in-between storms…

March 2nd, 2015 at 7:35 am by under Weather

High pressure is building in for the day ahead, and this means nice quiet weather before the next storm arrives tomorrow. Morning temperatures have dropped into the teens across the Miami Valley, so watch for black ice for the drive to work. We have several school closings/delays because of slick conditions, and you can always get the full list here: WDTN SCHOOL CLOSINGS/DELAYS.

There may be MORE school delays to deal with on Tuesday, as the next storm system moves in. It will arrive in the early morning… and initially, it will be cold enough for some sleet or freezing rain throughout the Miami Valley:

forecast

We could pick up some light ice accumulation, which would make for a slick morning drive. Temperatures will warm to above freezing as we head into mid and late morning, so we will see a change over to rain… with improving travel conditions. And it will be a significant warm-up for the afternoon, with highs getting up near 50-degrees! We expect on and off showers during the day, with breezy conditions. As the front approaches us in the late afternoon and evening, there will be the potential for heavy rain in some areas:

forecast 2

And with the snow on the ground… melting + heavy rain (could) = flooding problems. The ground will be extremely saturated, so run-off will be an issue… be sure you stay tuned to the forecast for the latest.

As the system pulls away on Wednesday, colder air will be working back into the region. So we will see the slight chance of rain/snow showers in the morning. There are then model differences on what will happen Wednesday EVENING. There looks to be a zone of snow developing south of us… how far north this will be is in question. So stay tuned to the forecast on this, as well!

Jamie
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Snow totals and looking ahead to our next system

March 1st, 2015 at 6:30 pm by under Weather

The snow is exiting the Miami Valley now and we’re beginning to see temperatures fall.  There may be a little patchy fog this evening along with some icy patches on the roadways.  Use caution if you’re going to be out and about tonight.

Before I talk about the snow I want to go back and talk about February really quick.  2015 made the top 5 coldest February’s on record!  Brrrr

Cold February

Here’s a look at the snowfall we received today.  Most areas picked up 3-5″ while there were a few spots that got 6 or 7″

almanacSnowfall amounts

This was a heavy packing snow so many people made snowmen.  We got some great pictures and here are just a few.

Pic1 Pic2

Tonight we’ll see a few light flurries until about 8 p.m. otherwise look for cloudy conditions and some fog.

Clouds will begin to clear by daybreak and we’ll see high pressure build across the area.

Mon 7aMon 6p

Monday will be dry with lots of sunshine.  Temperatures will still be below normal with highs around 30.

On Tuesday the pattern changes.  We’ll see a storm system head this way and warm us up.  Along with the warm up we’ll also see freezing rain and rain.

Tue 7a Tue 7p

 

We may see some flooding issues – be sure to stay tuned to the forecast.

Tara
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