Slow warming trend into the weekend…

September 18th, 2014 at 6:43 am by under Weather

High pressure continues to dominate the region, bringing another cool start to the day. With the clear skies and light winds overnight, we are once again going to start the day with some fog or low clouds. This will mix out through late morning, and the sun will be out this afternoon. Today starts a warming trend, which will continue into the first part of the weekend:

temp trend

We will remain dry through this time, as well. Changes arrive with a cold front on Sunday:

sfc

This will bring in scattered showers and thunderstorms to the Miami Valley. The image above is the GFS model forecast for 8am. So, right now it looks like the first half of the day is when we will be most likely to see rain. Drier conditions should build back in for the afternoon and evening hours. Of course, we then cool off behind this front for next week!

Jamie
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Cool nights but warmer afternoons

September 16th, 2014 at 7:35 am by under Weather

We’re starting off with cloudy skies around the Miami Valley this morning.  Clouds will begin to break for the afternoon and we’ll see lots of sunshine.  Temperatures are going to be well below normal today but eventually will rise to the middle and upper 70′s for the weekend.

temps this week ABOVE NORMAL

Cloudy conditions this morning but high pressure builds across the area for the afternoon.

tue 8amtue 5pm

We’ll see temperatures fall into the 40′s tonight with clear skies and calm winds.  You’ll definitely need the jacket Wednesday morning.

wed 8am wed 5pm

High pressure will keep us cool at night but allow for lots of sunshine during the afternoon.

Looking ahead to the weekend:  Many of you may be running the Air Force Marathon this weekend.  The weather so far is looking great!  We’ll see temperatures in the lower 70′s for the 5K on Friday and in the 50′s for the full marathon Saturday.  Good news BOTH days look dry!

air force marathon

Have a great week!

Tara
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Showers possible today/tonight, then pleasant all week…

September 15th, 2014 at 8:27 am by under Weather

We are starting the day with mostly clear skies and cool temperatures, as high pressure is still in control:

TEMPS

But there are clouds to the west that will be moving in across the Miami Valley as the day goes on. There are even some showers out that way:

SATRAD

Our rain chances go up later in the day. First, across the northwestern counties mid-late afternoon… and then the rest of the Miami Valley late afternoon-evening. Rain chances linger overnight as the front moves through:

FORECAST

Highs will be coolest across those northern counties today–reaching the upper 60s. In the central and southern Miami Valley, we should climb up near 70-degrees. Behind the front, slightly cooler air will move in for Tuesday, with highs in the 60s:

HIGHS

Tuesday afternoon will be the coolest of the week, and then we will see some really pleasant weather! Lots of sun Wed-Fri, with highs in the lower 70s… and overnight lows in the upper 40s.

Jamie
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Cool tonight with showers late Monday

September 14th, 2014 at 6:05 pm by under Weather

Many locations started out in the low to middle 40′s this morning.  Lowell Miller one of our weathercheckers in Greenville dropped to 42!  Officially Dayton dropped to 45.

almanac

Despite the chilly start we saw lots of sunshine for the afternoon and warmed near 70 for the afternoon.

BEAVERCREEK CAMERA

We’re going to see clear skies once again tonight and temperatures will drop into the middle and upper 40′s.  So a few degrees warmer than this morning.

LOWS TONIGHT NORTH LOW TONIGHT SOUTH

We’ll start off with some sunshine Monday morning but we’ll see some clouds head this way for the afternoon.  A weak system is going to approach the Miami Valley and bring us a chance for some showers later in the afternoon and evening.

SUN 8PM MON 8AM

MON 5PMMON 8PM

After the system moves through Monday night we’ll see another cool day Tuesday but it will be sunny.  It will be dry for much of the work week with lots of sunshine and highs in the lower 70′s.

Have a great week!

Tara
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Chilly air this weekend

September 13th, 2014 at 6:20 pm by under Weather

Brrr!!  Grab the extra blanket tonight, temperatures are going to be well below normal.  Take a look at what it felt like this morning across the Great Lakes.

lows this morning

This chilly air mass is going to settle right over the Dayton area tonight/Sunday morning.  Temperatures will be in the low to middle 40′s by Sunday morning.  Don’t forget the jacket as you make your way out the door for church or grab an extra layer if you’re going for a long run.

Temperatures are suppose to be in the 70′s this time of year but we stayed in the 60′s for highs today.

almanac

Skies have cleared after a cloudy couple of days.  Those clear skies will allow our temperatures to drop into the lower 40′s for many spots.  With lots of sunshine expected tomorrow we’ll see highs near 70 Sunday afternoon but we’ll still be below normal for much of next week.

SUN AM 850 TEMPSWED 8AM 850 TEMPS

Despite seeing temperatures below normal we will see mostly sunny skies for the end of the weekend.

Sun 9am Sun 6pm

On Monday we’ll see a weak system move through Monday afternoon.  This will bring us a few showers late in the afternoon and evening.

Mon 8am Mon 7pm

I spent the last several days traveling around the Great Lakes.  I spent ten days traveling around four states, seeing friends, family and making great memories.  I had a lot of time in the car but it was well worth it to see many friends I haven’t seen in a long time.  I was in Green Bay, Minneapolis and Chicago.  Here are just a few of the pictures I took along the way.  Have great weekend!

chicagoMinneapolis

Tara

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A fall-like stretch through the weekend…

September 11th, 2014 at 9:09 am by under Weather

A strong cold front brought heavy rain to parts of the Miami Valley Wednesday and Wednesday night. Here are a look at some of the totals from our Weathercheckers and Doppler estimates:

rain    doppler est

Now, cooler air is moving in on northwest winds behind the front:

TEMPS

Highs today will only be near 70 degrees, and it will get slightly cooler each day through Saturday:

FRIDAY: 69
SATURDAY: 66

A real taste of fall! Late Friday night into Saturday morning would be our next chance for a few showers. Not everyone will see rain during this time, as the chance is fairly low at 20%. Otherwise, most of the weekend will be dry. Next week we will start a slow warming trend, which takes us back into the low and mid 70s as the week goes on!

Have a great weekend!

Jamie
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Thunderstorms today, then much cooler…

September 10th, 2014 at 9:25 am by under Weather

A strengthening storm system makes it’s way towards the Miami Valley today, and southerly winds ahead of it will continue to keep us warm:

TEMPS

The humidity is also going up… as dew points are climbing into the mid and upper 60s. As we heat up this afternoon, we will see the potential for showers and thunderstorms. During the early afternoon, we could see rain in the northwest counties, with the slight chance of something isolated popping up farther south and east. Rain chances through early afternoon look something like this:

POPS

Then, after 4 or 5pm, the rain chances go up area-wide. Several rounds of thunderstorms are possible late today into tonight:

forecast

And the thunderstorms have the potential to produce heavy rain and even strong wind. We have an elevated flooding threat, with a Flood Watch that goes in to effect at 4pm and continues through Thursday morning for all of the Miami Valley. There is also an elevated severe weather threat. We will be most at risk during the evening and overnight, as well:

svr

Rain will taper off Thursday morning, and as we dry out, cooler air will be spilling into the region! Take a look at highs tomorrow:

HIGHS

And over the weekend, we won’t get out of the 60s! Football weather, for sure!

Jamie
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Fog… to sun… to thunderstorms.

September 9th, 2014 at 8:26 am by under Weather

We started off very foggy in spots this morning! A Dense Fog Advisory in effect until 10am for low visibility–in some cases,  below a quarter-mile. Here are some foggy images:

kettering     beavercreek

Where it wasn’t foggy, it was nice and clear. Great viewing for the full moon, called the full Harvest moon… because it’s the closest full moon to autumn. Mix 107.7′s Jeff Stevens took this Harvest moon selfie early this morning:

tipp city

You can barely make out the silhouette of his head in the dark! :) Too funny!

By late morning, the fog will be lifting out, and we will see some sun during the afternoon hours. A southerly flow develops today, and this will help in a slow warming trend. Highs yesterday topped out right at the normal 79-degrees… and today we should push into the lower 80s. Southerly winds strengthen on Wednesday, and this will also draw moisture back into the Miami Valley. As dew points increase, it will start to feel much more humid. Highs Wednesday will reach the mid-80s.

A strong cold front will be moving our way Wednesday. In the warm and unstable airmass out ahead of it, we could see a few thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. But a better chance comes in the evening and overnight as the front moves through. Some of these could be severe:

svr risk    svr

We will keep you posted on any watches or warnings for the area. Rain and/or thunderstorms will be around early Thursday, but then we will dry out in the afternoon as cooler air builds in. Highs will only be near 70 on Thursday and Friday… and we likely won’t get out of the 60s over the weekend! And while fall-like temperatures are coming… we are already seeing visual signs of the change of seasons. Check out the fall color one of our viewers spotted in New Carlisle:

new carlisle

If you would ever like to share photos with us, just go to www.wdtn.com and use the “Report It” feature!

Jamie
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A slow warming trend through mid-week…

September 8th, 2014 at 6:29 am by under Weather

High pressure is off to our east, and we will once again have a delightful day here in the Miami Valley! It is a cool morning, however… and you may want a light jacket out the door:

TEMPS

But you won’t need it later this afternoon! High temperatures will be a few degrees higher than Sunday, as we make a run at 80-degrees. Plenty of sunshine will rule, and we will continue with dry conditions. A slow warming trend will ensue, and we expect lower 80s on Tuesday, and mid-80s on Wednesday. A strong cold front arrives Wednesday night, this will be our next chance for rain:

SFC

The chance will begin as early as Wednesday evening, and continue overnight. These storms have the potential to be strong to severe; we are already included in the SPC’s Elevated Risk area:

SVR

Damaging winds will be the main threat with these storms. We will continue to watch the developing situation. And temperatures will take a big DROP after the cold front moves through. While we’ll see highs in the 80s through the first half of the week, we will end it with highs only in the 60s!

Jamie
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One more hot & humid day, then big changes for the weekend…

September 5th, 2014 at 7:12 am by under Uncategorized, Weather

This morning is a muggy one! We sit in the “warm sector” of a storm system; high pressure is to our east, and there is a cold front to the west, with a southerly flow in between:

SURFACE MAP

These conditions, combined with afternoon sun, will allow highs to approach 90-degrees again (Thursday’s high was 89). But this will be our last HOT day for awhile! The cold front moves in bringing MUCH cooler weather for the upcoming weekend. It’s also bringing the chance for showers and thunderstorms.

As we heat up this afternoon, we may see a few thunderstorms develop. This would most likely occur in the northwestern Miami Valley, and if it does pan out… some of them could be strong to severe. The Storm Prediction Center has these counties in an Elevated Risk for severe weather:

SEVERE

Gusty winds and marginally severe sized hail will be the  main concerns, along with heavy downpours and frequent lightning. This could impact Friday night high school football games, so be sure you stay connected to what’s happening. A great way to do that is to use your smart phone to check out LIVE DOPPLER 2HD when you’re out and about! The threat for showers and thunderstorms will increase area-wide overnight and into Saturday morning. While we will likely start the weekend wet, it looks like we’ll dry out Saturday afternoon. Great news, as a lot is going on this weekend! Take a look at how comfortable it will be at our area festivals:

event

Feeling a little like fall, for sure! The Italian and Greek Festivals are also going on… so take your pick & enjoy!
Have a great weekend!
Jamie
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Morning fog, afternoon sun. Nice & warm today!

September 3rd, 2014 at 5:44 am by under Weather

We are starting the day with a Dense Fog Advisory for the counties in grey:

FOG

This is in effect until 9am. The overnight and early morning conditions have been perfect for fog formation. Clear skies, light winds, and plenty of low level moisture from the heavy rain we saw yesterday. You can see how the heaviest fell across the southern counties, where we’re seeing the thickest fog this AM:

rain

And the three-day total from Jamestown may make you do a double-take:

RAIN SINGLE

… especially if you live in one of the spots that didn’t get much over the weekend. High pressure is with us for the next two days, so we expect mostly dry conditions during this time. We will slowly heat up, with mid-80s for highs today, and then upper 80s Thursday and Friday. On Friday, rain chances increase in the late afternoon and evening. And as a cold front moves through Friday night into Saturday morning, rain chances will be highest. This cold front will also bring in much cooler weather for the weekend and early next week.

Jamie
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Unsettled with front today, then a couple dry days…

September 2nd, 2014 at 9:18 am by under Weather

This morning, we saw some very heavy rain impact the Miami Valley through the early rush hour. Here are some of the totals our Weathercheckers reported:

rain

The steady rain is winding down, and we will get to enjoy some dry time today. However, the potential for a spotty shower or thunderstorm will really linger through mid-afternoon. While the threat for severe weather is very low, we will still have the potential for a heavy downpour… so the Flash Flood Watch continues through 4pm:

flood

It will continue to be humid, with highs in the lower 80s… right around normal. Wednesday will be a dry day, as high pressure briefly builds into the area. With more sun, we will warm into the mid-80s… and that warming trend will continue on Thursday. We expect another dry day with highs in the upper 80s. Friday will be our next chance of rain!

Jamie
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Humid again with spotty showers

September 1st, 2014 at 5:06 am by under Weather

We’re seeing some patchy fog this morning.  Look for some clouds with just a slight chance for a few spotty showers during the first half of the day.

VISITBILITIES

I don’t think it’s going to be a complete wash out but there is a chance for a few spotty showers before lunchtime.

MON 8AMMON 12P

If you’re running the 5K at the Holiday at Home event in Kettering it’s going to be a muggy one.  There’s a slight chance we may see a few spotty showers around parade time but the best chance of rain will be tonight.

HOLIDAY AT HOME

A cold front is going to head this way later tonight.  This will bring us a good chance for showers and thunderstorms overnight and into early Tuesday morning.  The rain may be heavy at times and we may see a few storms with gusty winds.

svr risk SURFACE MAP

The best chance of storms will be later tonight and early Tuesday morning.

MON 5P MON 10P

TUE 7AM TUE 12P

After the cold front moves through we’ll see the humidity drop a little late Tuesday night.  However it will be brief.  Temperatures rise again into the middle and upper 80′s.  Next weekend looks like we’ll finally drop to near normal and even below normal temperatures.

Happy Labor Day!

Tara
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Muggy with some showers

August 30th, 2014 at 6:23 pm by under Weather

The Labor Day weekend is going to be a little uncomfortable.  We’ve felt the sticky conditions today and that’s going to continue for the rest of the weekend.

almanac CURRENT DEW POINTS

Dew points or the measurement of how much moisture is in the air are near 70 which means it feels uncomfortable.  Dew points will still be high for tomorrow too.

SUN 8AM DEW POINTS SUN 6PM DEW POINTS

Along with the high humidity we’ll also see the rain chances increase tonight.  Showers and even a few thunderstorms will move through the area.  Right now the rain is south of us but it is moving to the northeast.

radar

The rain will be steady through the overnight hours.  We may see a few showers to start the day Sunday and then just a few scattered showers for the afternoon.

SUN 2AM SUN 8AM

SUN 1PMSUN 5PM

Monday will continue to feel muggy with highs in the middle 80′s.  We have the chance for a few spotty showers but the best chance of rain will come from a cold front late Monday night into Tuesday.

Have a great holiday!

Tara
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So-so holiday weekend forecast…

August 29th, 2014 at 7:44 am by under Uncategorized, Weather

Thursday was a beautiful day in Dayton & the Miami Valley, with highs in the lower 80s, low humidity and a good deal of sunshine. Today will be a little warmer, and we’ll also notice the humidity increasing in the later afternoon and evening hours. Despite this, most of the area will have another dry day, with a good deal of sunshine!

Friday night football starts tonight! Who is your team? I am a Fairmont High School grad, and we actually have our 20th reunion this weekend! Tonight Fairmont plays cross-town rival, Alter… and it should be a great night for Operation Football:

football

Saturday will be another very warm and humid day, and we’ll start to see the slight chance of a few showers late in the day. While not everyone will see rain Saturday, the chance is there that a few do. And most of the area has a good shot at rain on Sunday. We will have the best coverage Sunday, and there could be a few rounds of wet weather. There is even the chance of a few showers/t’storms on Labor Day. If you’re heading to Holiday at Home, be sure to keep Live Doppler 2HD handy on your phone!

event

Warm and humid will be the rule right through the long weekend!

Jamie
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Not as hot today, but still humid…

August 27th, 2014 at 6:37 am by under Weather

A slow-moving front is dropping through the Miami Valley today. It will still feel humid, but won’t be quite as hot as yesterday! We made it into the lower 90s:

almanac

Today, we’ll likely stay in the mid-80s for highs, but our dew points stay at sticky levels–in the mid-upper 60s. As the front moves through, there is the chance of a few showers and thunderstorms. Not everyone will see rain today, there will be many that stay dry… but if you do get a shower or thunderstorm, you could pick up some heavy rain rather quickly! One spot near the Fairfield Commons Mall picked up an inch of rain in less than an hour yesterday… while surrounding communities saw little, if any, rain:

DOPPLER EST

And here are some other totals sent in from our Weathercheckers:

RAIN MEASURED

It could be the same story today. The best chance of rain will be in the afternoon, although we couldn’t rule out an isolated shower through lunchtime:

FORECAST

Less humid air arrives tonight, and it will be quite pleasant Thursday, with highs in the lower 80s and low humidity. However, the break from the heat doesn’t last too long; Friday and Saturday we will heat back into the upper 80s/close to 90. The humidity also comes back over the weekend, and rain chances will be on the rise. It still looks like the best shot at rain will be Sunday.

Jamie
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Hot and humid for one more day, then changes…

August 26th, 2014 at 6:46 am by under Weather

We will continue to be in a hot and humid air mass, with a southerly flow ahead of a cold front today:

temps

We officially hit 89 yesterday, with just a few isolated showers in the area. Temperatures will make a run at 90 again today, with plenty of sunshine. We will continue a 20% chance of an isolated shower this afternoon, but as the cold front gets closer, the rain chance will go up. Especially this evening and overnight, a few spotty showers or even thunderstorms will be possible.

FORECAST

The front is a slow-mover, so it will still be in the area Wednesday… and we will continue the chance for a few showers or thunderstorms. It won’t be quite as hot, but it will still be humid. We will notice a big drop in humidity Wednesday night and Thursday, but temperatures will still be just above normal:

TEMP TREND

Over the holiday weekend, the humidity will increase again and the rain chances go back up. The best chance right now looks to be Sunday. There is a lot going on this weekend, so it’s an important forecast!

Jamie
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Hot and humid weather to continue this week…

August 25th, 2014 at 6:41 am by under Weather

We hit highs in the upper 80s on Sunday, and we expect similar conditions this afternoon. In fact, the next three days look to be fairly close to that 90-degree mark:

temps

We will enjoy plenty of sun this afternoon, but do have a slight chance of a pop-up shower or thunderstorm. It looks to be isolated, however, so most will end up staying dry. We’ve actually caught up on rainfall for the month and year… we are in good shape:

precip

Rain chances will continue to be low on Tuesday, but then increase Tuesday night and Wednesday as our next cold front arrives:

sfc

Scattered showers and thunderstorms look more likely mid-week, and this will be followed by a drop in temperature. Highs will be closer to normal (in the lower 80s) for the end of the week.

A look ahead to the holiday weekend: right now it looks a little unsettled, but not a wash-out. Scattered showers and thunderstorms with highs in the low 80s.

Jamie
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The heat is on…and the humidity

August 24th, 2014 at 5:45 pm by under Weather

If you were out today it certainly felt hotter than it actually was outside.  It’s all due to the muggy air mass overhead.  Middletown Airport did manage to hit 90 this afternoon but Dayton topped off at 88.

almanac

The heat index – what it actually feels like outside – was at or near 90 for much of the day.

TODAY HEAT INDEX

We have high dew points not only in Ohio but across much of the central and eastern part of the country.  These upper 60′s and 70 degree dew points make it feel muggy and are tropical like.  See you really didn’t need to spend money on a trip to Florida – the Florida weather came to us!  However not sure where the ocean view is????

HEAT WARNINGS CURRENT DEW POINTS

Dew points will still be high for tomorrow and the next few days.

MON 5PM DEW POINTS

The reason for this latest batch of heat and humidity is all thanks to a ridge of high pressure in the upper levels of the atmosphere.  This dome of high pressure will keep the humidity around through much of the week.

upper flow wednesday

Tomorrow will be much like today.  Slight chance for a bit of patchy fog in the morning, sunny skies, hot and humid.  There’s a slight chance we may see an isolated shower pop but most locations will be dry.

mON 9AM MON 2PM

Tuesday will be much of the same.  Sunny, hot and humid.  However later in the evening there’s a better chance of seeing some showers.

TUE 7AM TUE 7PM

Stay cool and stay hydrated!

Tara
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Summer makes a return

August 23rd, 2014 at 6:49 pm by under Weather

Today felt more like summer.  Highs were in the upper 80′s but the humidity made it feel worse.

almanac

Dew point values are in the lower 70′s.  That means it’s sticky, muggy, uncomfortable or whatever adjective you would like to use.

The reason our temperatures and dew points are so high is because of our jet stream or storm track.  There’s a big area of high pressure in the upper levels of the atmosphere.  This will allow heat to build across the nation’s midsection.  This pattern is going to stick around for the next several days.

upper flow sat 8am upper flow wednesday

Highs will be approaching 90 degrees through Wednesday.

Right now we have a few spotty showers popping around the area and a large batch of rain to our west.

radar

This batch of rain is moving south-southeastward.  Many of our  computer models are suggesting it’s going to weaken and miss the Dayton area.  We will likely see some clouds from this system but the rain will hold off and may clip our western counties.

Tomorrow morning we’ll start off the day with some patchy fog.  Look for another humid and warm day with highs approaching 90 degrees.

sun 8am Sun 5pm

There’s a slight chance we may see an isolated shower pop up in the afternoon.  This may occur through the next several days.  But not everyone will see rain.

Stay cool!

Tara

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