Morning fog… then sunshine and pleasant weather ahead!

April 17th, 2015 at 7:46 am by under Weather

We saw fog thicken over the Miami Valley this morning, and a Dense Fog Advisory is in effect until 10am:

fog

We expect improving conditions during the mid-to-late morning means a lot of afternoon sun! Temperatures will also be a little warmer, with highs getting back into the 70s. AND we have a few days of this… so enjoy…

trend

It looks like mostly sunny conditions will continue on Saturday. If you have things to do outside, THIS IS YOUR DAY! We may see a few clouds roll in late in the day, with increasing clouds at night. Then the next system moves in from the southwest for Sunday:

forecast

A warm front will lift into the Miami Valley on Sunday. Right now, it looks like we may stay dry until a least mid-morning, with the rain spreading in after 9am. At this time, widespread severe weather is not expected… but the rain chance will continue Sunday night and into Monday as the cold front then swings through. That front will usher in cooler weather for next week. We expect highs in the lower 60s, and lows in the lower 40s.

Jamie
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Unsettled today then the payoff…

April 16th, 2015 at 5:57 am by under Weather

Today, we return to unsettled weather in the Miami Valley. We don’t expect a wash out, but at any time today… we could have showers in the area. Here is Futuretrac showing several different periods today, and you can see how scattered the rain will be:

forecast forecast2 forecast3

Expect lots of clouds, and near-normal highs in the low to mid 60s today. It will continue to be breezy, with the southeast wind between 10 and 15 mph. Showers taper off overnight, and we’ll get back to dry conditions for the end of the week.

Friday will start off with lots of clouds in the morning, but the sun returns for the afternoon! It looks quite nice, as we warm into the lower 70s. Saturday looks great, too, with lots of sun through about mid-day, then increasing clouds. Saturday will definitely be the nicer of the two weekend days, with dry conditions and highs in the mid 70s. Rain returns for Sunday, and may even linger into Monday. Temperatures still look cooler as we head into next week.

Jamie
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Front south, clouds linger…

April 14th, 2015 at 8:07 am by under Weather

We had a beautiful start to the week… for most of Monday, anyway. A cold front moved into the northwest counties, and brought some showers by mid-afternoon. That line then progressed south and reached the Dayton area after 5 or 6pm. We saw rain and wind… and cooler air moved in. This morning, the front is stalled to our south:

temps

You can see an area of low pressure has developed and is lifting right along the boundary. That will keep the clouds in place across the Miami Valley today. There’s a lot of rain to our south, near the front:

satrad

There is maybe a 10% chance a shower will graze the far southern part of Butler, Warren or Clinton counties… otherwise it will be a dry day.

forecast

It will also be a COOLER day! We pushed very close to 80 yesterday afternoon… so today’s mid-60s will feel a lot cooler, especially with less sun and a good breeze going.

High pressure builds in for tonight and Wednesday, keeping us dry and actually clearing the clouds out. We’ll see partly to mostly sunny skies for mid-week. Temperatures won’t change much day-to-day, with highs in the mid-upper 60s right through the weekend. There are signs we’ll turn a little cooler next week.

Jamie
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Dry weekend but rain tomorrow

April 12th, 2015 at 5:52 pm by under Weather

We had a great weekend with lots of sunshine and dry conditions!  Highs hit the 70′s both Saturday and Sunday and while we’ll continue to stay above normal for next week we’ll also see several chances for showers and a few storms.

First today…after a sunny day we’re beginning to see a few clouds move into the area.

almanac Troy cam

 

Clouds will continue to stick around this evening.  There’s a very slim chance of an isolated shower this evening but most of us will be dry.

A cold front will be moving through the area tomorrow.  This will bring us gusty winds, cloud cover and a chance for showers and storms.

sat image

 

Most of the day will be partly cloudy, warm and breezy.  There’s a slight chance we may see a few showers ahead of the cold front but the best chance for rain will be after 5p.m. as the cold front passes through the Miami Valley.

Mon 7aMon 6p

Winds will be breezy out of the south and southwest around 10-20 m.p.h. with gusts around 25-30.

Winds Mon 8aWinds Mon 6p

The clouds stick around with showers likely Monday night.  By Tuesday the rain has moved eastward and we’ll see dry conditions for much of the day.

Tue 7a Tue 7p

 

We’ll see another chance for showers possible Wednesday evening.

Have a great week!
Tara
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Great today and great again tomorrow

April 11th, 2015 at 6:16 pm by under Weather

After a stormy week we finally see quiet and dry weather for the weekend.  It was a touch chilly this morning with lows in the 30′s but with lots of sunshine we saw temperatures climb to near normal.

almanac

 

We are still seeing clear skies out there right now.  Our camera in Beavercreek is showing no clouds at all.  We also received a great sky shot from wlsnaar through our reportit feature.  You can upload your photo or video through our Storm Team 2 Weather app.  We would love to share these online and on-air.  Thanks!

 

beavercreek cam report it pic

 

Tomorrow morning we’ll start out with temperatures in the lower 40′s.  So another cool start but look for lots of sunshine once again.

Lows tonight

 

If you’re going to the Dayton Dragon’s Opening Day the forecast looks great!

dayton dragons

 

High pressure remains in place for the rest of the weekend.  A cold front will move through the area on Monday.

sat image

 

Look for lots of sunshine on Sunday with clouds increasing Sunday night.

Sun 7aSun 6p

The cold front moves through on Monday bringing us a chance for showers and storms.  A line of showers and storms will develop to the west of us and will continue to move eastward.  This line may weaken as it moves toward the Miami Valley.

Mon 7a Mon 7p

 

Have a great weekend!

Tara
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One more day with a good severe weather threat

April 9th, 2015 at 7:50 am by under Weather

Several rounds of thunderstorms hit the Miami Valley Wednesday, and we picked up some record rainfall:

rain

We also had multiple severe thunderstorm warnings because of strong wind and the possibility of large hail. While we did have many hail reports, most of the hail was sub-severe in size (criteria is 1″ or larger). Some of the wind reports were up at 60 mph or higher… and we had scattered wind damage reported across the southern half of the area:

reports

Little has changed on our surface map over the past 24-hours. We still have a stationary front in the area, and tons of moisture, too. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH is in effect for all of the Miami Valley through Friday morning. The front lifts north as a warm front today, allowing a strong southerly flow to develop. We will hit highs in the upper 70s, so it will be a breezy but warmer afternoon. With upper level waves moving through today, we expect more showers and thunderstorms to develop. The highest likelihood of rain will be after 11 am… so heading toward lunchtime and beyond:

forecast

Anything that gets going today will have the potential to reach severe limits. Here is our severe weather outlook:

spc          threat

While activity this afternoon with be scattered, we expect a line of thunderstorms to develop to our west and then race through the Miami Valley overnight. This squall line could also bring severe weather, with wind damage and even isolated tornadoes. We will keep you posted on any watches or warnings throughout the day, on air and online at wdtn.com.

Stay safe!
Jamie
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Mild with more showers and thunderstorms…

April 8th, 2015 at 7:38 am by under Weather

We still have that pesky stationary front in the region, with waves of low pressure that continue to move through right along that boundary:

temps

That low is kicking off a decent cluster of thunderstorms well off to our west, but it’s heading our way:

ld2hd

We expect this to move into the area during the late morning/early afternoon. The potential will be there for scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the day, and some of them could be on the strong side. We are included in an elevated risk for severe weather today:

severe

Here are the main threats from any storm that gets going today:

severe2

While wide spread flooding is not expected, some localized flash flooding could occur… so stay weather aware today! It, at least, will be mild, with highs climbing into the mid-70s. Tomorrow will pretty much be a repeat performance, with highs in the 70s and on and off showers and thunderstorms. Thursday will also feature an elevated risk for severe weather, especially late in the day. A cold front comes through early Friday morning, bringing an end to the active weather pattern as we finish the week and head into the weekend!

Jamie
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Active week with periods of showers and thunderstorms…

April 7th, 2015 at 7:04 am by under Weather

Hello, Bloggers… I am back from vacation, and we have a lot to talk about weather-wise this week! A frontal boundary is stalled across the Miami Valley, and it is going to keep us active all week long:

temps

The front should lay across the northern portion of the viewing area today, keeping things cooler up that way. Celina will only see a high near 60-degrees… while the southern counties will be closer to 70 this afternoon. But everyone has a good chance of rain. You can see how unsettled it’s been already this morning:

satrad

We expect scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the day, with heavier downpours likely. But there will be some breaks where you can get out an enjoy a little dry time. The front will drift into the southern counties tonight, but lift back north on Wednesday. This will allow a good southerly flow to develop and help temperatures rise over the next few days:

trend

BUT we stay active. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible through Friday morning. That is when a cold front will sweep through the area, bringing big changes. Not only will we dry out, but the sun will come out in full just in time for the weekend. Right now both Saturday and Sunday are looking great!

Jamie
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Confirmed tornado Thur night; Sunny/warm for Easter

April 4th, 2015 at 6:38 pm by under Weather

Thursday night we had our first warning of 2015.  The National Weather Service in Wilmington issued a tornado warning for western Clark county just before 10 p.m. Here’s a look at the velocity from the FAA radar north of the airport.  The greens and reds close together mean circulation and a possible tornado.

tor warning

 

While the circulation was small and brief it DID produce a tornado.  The NWS in Wilmington confirmed that a small EF0 tornado touched down near New Carlisle.  Here’s a link to the survey

It’s important to note that years ago we probably wouldn’t have been able to issue a tornado warning and advise people of a possible tornado. Technology has advanced and now we have access to several FAA radars.  We’re able to see tighter circulations that we couldn’t see 25 years ago.  This allows meteorologists to issue warnings and alert people to severe weather.  Here’s a report from last night’s newscast about the better technology.

One quick note:  I want to explain that NO television meteorologists actually issue warnings.  The National Weather Service meteorologists are the ONLY ones who can issue warnings.  It’s our station policy to cut in during tornado warnings and stay on until the warning has expired.  The NWS in Wilmington is VERY good about lifting the warning if the circulation has weakened.  So we’re not staying on because want to ruin your program – we’re on to deliver safety information.  Chief Meteorologist Brian Davis mentioned this in his facebook post the other day it’s a part of our FCC license.  Every TV station in town has the same policy.  Seeing from the confirmation above there WAS cause for staying on – a tornado DID touch down.

Today we started out with temperatures around freezing.  It was a little cooler than normal but we did have lots of sunshine!

almanac Troy cam

Look for dry conditions tonight with temperatures falling into the 30′s once again. High pressure keeps us dry and sunny for Sunday.

Lows tonight sat image

Highs Sunday will climb into the 60′s with lots of sunshine and breezy winds out of the southwest.

Sun 7aSun 6p

Clouds increase on Monday and there’s a chance for on and off showers throughout the day.  Keep the umbrella handy just in case.

Mon 7a Mon 7p

 

If you’re heading down to GABP don’t forget the rain gear.  Showers will be possible for the parade and the game.

REDS FORECAST

 

Rain chances will continue for much of next week.  Our storm track or jet stream will shift to the south and southwest meaning waves of low pressure will move through the Miami Valley.

jet stream ridge

 

Have a great weekend!
Tara
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More rain today

April 3rd, 2015 at 9:25 am by under Weather

We saw our first severe weather warning of the season last night.  A thunderstorm with very strong rotation popped up quickly.  The tornado warning was in effect for about 10 or 15 minutes.  Here’s an image from the Dayton FAA Terminal Doppler Radar. The reds and greens close together indicate very strong rotation. This quick spin-up was very similar to the tornado that occurred in Vandalia a couple years ago.  These are very hard to predict.

tor warningSlow severe wx season

We picked up about a half inch to an inch of rain yesterday and we’re in store for more today.

wx checkers

 

 

We have a few showers moving through right now and more are expected around the lunch hour.

Fri 1p Fri 5p

The bulk of the stronger storms will stay south of the area. There is a FLOOD WATCH in effect for Butler, Warren and Clinton counties.

spc outlook

 

The rain finally comes to an end tonight but temperatures drop.

Fri 11p Sat 8a

 

Temperatures will start out around freezing early Saturday morning with a few clouds but we’ll see sunny skies and highs near 50 by the afternoon.

Sat5p Sun 7a

Look for lots of sunshine and warmer temperatures on Easter Sunday.

Easter

 

Enjoy the dry weekend because a series of storms will move through next week bringing us several chances for showers the next few days.

Tara
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Thunderstorms today

April 2nd, 2015 at 8:08 am by under Weather

Right now we’re seeing a few scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Some of these storms may produce periods of brief heavy rain.  You can track the storms on Live Doppler 2HD by clicking here.

Here’s how the day breaks down.

winter storm timeline

We’re going to see a windy and warm day as a storm system approaches the Miami Valley.  Winds will be out of the south and southwest at 15-25 m.p.h.  This will push high temperatures to the lower 70′s.

We’ll see some showers this morning, a lull this afternoon then another round when the cold front moves through later tonight.   Thu 8aThu 5p

Some of the storms with the cold front may produce some gusty winds, hail and heavy rain at times. Most of the Miami Valley is under an elevated risk of severe weather.

spc outlook Severe weather threat

 

Thu 8p

Showers and thunderstorms will be likely tonight and some of these thunderstorms may contain some heavy rain.

More rain is expected tomorrow too as the front stalls out and a wave of low pressure rides along the cold front.

Fri 10aFri 7p

It looks like we may see anywhere between 1 and 2 inches of rain during the next two days. So there may be some streams that swell along with high water on some roadways.

rainfall amounts

 

The good news is the rain will move out just in time for the weekend.

rain percentage

 

Have a great day!
Tara
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Sunny and pleasant but rain for the end of the week

April 1st, 2015 at 7:45 am by under Weather

We’re starting out with temperatures in the upper 20′s and lower 30′s this morning.   High pressure will keep us dry and sunny today.  Even with the chilly start temperatures will climb later this afternoon.

wed 8aWed 5p

 

Since it’s April 1st I thought we should take a look back at March.  Remember March 1st?  We had 4.5″ of snow and highs around freezing.  I like how we ended March much better.

march lion lamb

 

 

Winds will not be as breezy today as what they were yesterday.  It’s going to be a great day.  Winds will pick up tomorrow as a cold front moves through. Highs will be above normal through the end of the week.

Thu 8a

 

 

We’ll see highs in the lower 70′s Thursday but look for clouds along with showers and thunderstorms.

temps this week Thu 5p

We haven’t had any severe weather here in the Miami Valley this year.  The National Weather Service in Wilmington hasn’t had any watches or warnings issued for the Dayton area making it 98 consecutive days of no severe weather.

Slow Severe weather season

 

However we are under an elevated risk of severe weather on Thursday.  A cold front will move through and bring us a good chance of thunderstorms.  Some of these storms may be on the stronger side with gusty winds, hail and very heavy rainfall.

Severe weather threat svr weather outlook

 

A wave of low pressure will move along the cold front Friday meaning another round of rain will be possible.  Rainfall amounts may approach 1-2″ by the end of the week.

rainfall amounts

 

Right now it looks like it will be dry but chilly for Easter weekend.

Tara
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Breezy and warmer today

March 31st, 2015 at 8:02 am by under Weather

We have a weak area of low pressure and cold front moving through the area today.  We had a few sprinkles very early this morning but the rain is now gone.

Clouds begin to clear for the afternoon.  In fact many locations are now seeing mostly sunny conditions.  Here’s a look at the deck of clouds moving through Beavercreek early this morning.

Beavercreek cam

 

It will be sunny, breezy and mild today.  Winds will be out of the southwest and then west at 10-20 m.p.h.

Wind speeds

Highs today will be above normal.

ABOVE NORMAL

 

Skies stay mostly sunny through much of the day with breezy winds and mild temperatures.

Tue 5p

Winds diminish tonight and skies remain clear meaning lows in the 30′s early Wednesday morning. By the afternoon Wednesday we’ll see highs in the upper 60′s and lots of sunshine.

Wed 8aWed 5p

On Thursday a storm heads this way and brings a chance for showers and thunderstorms.

Thu 7prain percentage

 

Have a great day!
Tara
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Warmer week after a chilly weekend

March 30th, 2015 at 8:37 am by under Weather

This weekend we had lows in the 20′s and highs in the 30′s!  This week looks much better.

We’re starting out with temperatures in the 30′s this morning but look for lots of sunshine this afternoon.  This means temperature will rise to near normal in the middle 50′s.

Beavercreek cam

 

Skies will stay clear through the day.  It will be just a bit breezy with winds out of the west today.  Winds pick up later tonight and tomorrow. We won’t see any problems tonight for the drive home.

Mon 5p

 

A weak area of low pressure heads this way for Tuesday. It looks like the rain will stay to the northeast of us but we will see a bit more cloud cover for the afternoon.

Tue 8aTue 5p

Wednesday looks great with lots of sunshine and highs near 60.

Wed 7a

 

Temperatures rise even more on Thursday – however – there’s a really good chance for rain and thunderstorms as a storm system approaches. Highs will be near 70 Thursday.

850 thu temps

 

Have a great day!
Tara
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Chilly this weekend

March 28th, 2015 at 6:30 pm by under Weather

Looks were deceiving today.  It looked fantastic with all of that sunshine but it was chilly!

almanac Beavercreek cam

It’s going to be chilly again tonight.  Temperatures are going to drop to near record conditions.

Tomorrow lows

The reason we’re so chilly is due to our storm track.  Our jet stream is taking a dip right over the Great Lakes.

Jet stream trough

This pattern isn’t going to stay for long.  Temperatures will continue to climb to near normal and eventually above normal for next week.

jet stream ridge

High pressure is overhead today and will keep us clear and cold tonight.

sat image

We’ll start off chilly and clear Sunday morning but clouds will begin to increase ahead of a cold front that will head this way Sunday.

Sun 7amSun 6p

Look for a chance of showers after 6 p.m.  The rain will continue through the overnight hours but will end before the morning rush Monday.

Mon 7a Mon 7p

Monday looks good with partly cloudy skies and highs near normal.

Have a great weekend!
Tara
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Feeling more like winter for a couple days…

March 27th, 2015 at 8:53 am by under Weather

Northerly winds will continue today, keeping temperatures well below normal. Morning temps are in the 20s, and highs will only be in the mid-30s.

500

We are in an upper trough… so not only will we be cold, but clouds will fill in for parts of this afternoon. AND we couldn’t rule out a flurry or light snow shower. We don’t expect any accumulation, and high pressure will build in overnight, helping to clear out the clouds. This morning, the high is northwest of us, and you can see the cold air in place around it:

temps

We will be close to that cold Saturday morning, as the high moves in:

lows

And during the afternoon, the high will bring a good deal of sunshine to the area… but it will still be cold! Highs once again will be stuck in the 30s. We will see some rebound on Sunday. The jet stream will lift north, allowing warmer air into the Miami Valley:

500 2

Highs will push into the lower 50s, closer to normal. Sunday will start with sun, but clouds move in during the afternoon. There is also the slight chance of a few showers late in the day… but most of the day will be dry. Going through next week, we expect temperatures to be at or above normal, so there is something to look forward to!

I am off on Spring Break next week, and @MetTaraHastings will be holding down the forecast center in the morning. I hope you have a good one!

Jamie
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Rainy today and a colder stretch of weather is here…

March 26th, 2015 at 7:40 am by under Weather

A cold front moved through the Miami Valley, and now sits off to our south. Our winds have shifted in from the north and northwest, and this is helping to draw in colder air this morning:

temps

As the cold air continues to move in, temperatures will struggle this afternoon. We expect to hold steady in the low 40s all day–about 20-degrees cooler than yesterday’s high of 61! Notice the wave of low pressure on the surface map. That is moving right along the boundary, and helping to produce the rain we’ve been dealing with this morning:

satrad

Rain will fall steady through lunch, and then will become more scattered during the afternoon hours. We couldn’t rule out some wet snow mixing in across some of our northern counties… if you live up in Mercer, Auglaize, northern Darke, Shelby or Logan counties… don’t be surprised if you see some snowflakes today! We don’t expect any accumulation.

Tonight, we will dry out across the region, but it’s going to be COLD! Low temperatures drop down into the mid-20s, so watch for some slick spots developing overnight. On Friday, we’ll start the day with some sunshine, but clouds will fill back in as cold air continues to move into the region during the afternoon. A few scattered snow showers will be possible later in the day, again, with minimal accumulation. Highs only reach the mid-30s, however, so it will continue to be very cold!

Saturday will be another cold day, but the sun will be out. On Sunday, temperatures start to moderate and we’ll push into the 50s during the afternoon, and be fairly close to normal highs.

Jamie
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Warmer Wednesday… but it doesn’t last!

March 25th, 2015 at 7:46 am by under Weather

An area of low pressure to our west is pushing a warm front into the Miami Valley this morning:

temps

So as precipitation developed and moved through, it has been warm enough to see RAIN vs. any wintry precip. We have even seen some thunderstorms this morning… it’s a very Spring-like start to the day! The rain won’t last all day, and in fact, we expect most to be dry as we head beyond 8 am. The afternoon will be breezy and mild, and the sun will eventually come out. High temperatures climb well above normal:

highs

Enjoy it while you can! The cold front will eventually move through, and temperatures will drop. Take a look at the trend for the next few days:

trend

An area of low pressure will move along the front Thursday, bringing more rain to the area. And on Friday, as the cold air continues to advance in… we will be cold enough for scattered snow showers through the day. Any accumulation will be light. Saturday will continue to be cold, with morning temperatures in the upper teens to right around 20, and afternoon highs in the upper 30s.

Jamie
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Showers late today, warmer Wednesday…

March 24th, 2015 at 6:44 am by under Weather

We had snow and mixed precipitation affect the Miami Valley on Monday. Welcome to the first week of Spring, right?! The northern counties, as expected, picked up the most snow. The storm came through a little more potent  and we had some enhanced snow totals across the far north:

snow

Today, we are back to dry conditions. Clouds will be around through a good part of the day, but most of it will be dry. Temperatures will climb into the mid-40s this afternoon, after a cold start in the 20s. Here is the morning surface map… you can see a warm front south of us:

temps

That will lift into the area and bring the chance of showers back by late afternoon and evening. Initially, the showers will move into the south/southwestern counties late today:

forecast

And then spread area-wide during the evening and overnight:

forecast2

We could even hear some thunder tonight, and it will be breezy. As the southerly winds increase, temperatures will not drop off much at all, and we will have lows in the lower 40s. Expect a wet Wednesday morning, with showers around for the drive to work:

forecast3

But we will dry out in the afternoon, and it will end up being the warmest day of the week! It will become partly sunny, quite breezy… and we will see a high near 65-degrees! Of course it doesn’t last… a strong cold front brings more rain and thunder Wednesday night into Thursday… along with chilly temperatures.

Jamie
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A very active weather week ahead…

March 23rd, 2015 at 10:03 am by under Weather

After a really  nice weekend across the Miami Valley, we are getting back into an active weather pattern. This morning, we’ve seen clouds increasing as a disturbance to the west is moving eastward:

temps     satrad

Those showers to the northwest are going to head our way, too. Yes, some will see snow… and some will see accumulation. This is most likely to start across the northern counties as we head towards lunchtime, and then spread south through the afternoon. If you live along/north of I-70, you stand the best chance at staying all snow today… with some mixing possible as you travel along and south of I-70. Here is Futuretrac’s forecast for 3pm today:

forecast

Those that stay snow, will see the highest snow totals. This is what it looks like now:

snow

It’s not really what you want to see during the first week of Spring! But we will actually see a wide range of weather this week… take a look at the checklist:

checklist

There is the chance of showers pretty much each day of the week, but we will at least have a decent warm-up on Wednesday. Highs will get into the upper 60s with breezy conditions!

Jamie
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